Heisman Odds After Week 5: Bryce Young Injury Causes Shakeup
- Reigning Heisman winner Bryce Young was injured in college football Week 5
- The Heisman odds experienced a shakeup as a result of the injury
- See the latest Heisman odds, plus a Bryce Young injury update below
Alabama quarterback Bryce Young was injured in college football Week 5, causing a shakeup in the Heisman odds. Young entered the day as the second betting choice to win the award, but has since seen his odds fade drastically.
While Young’s injury really hurts the chances of him repeating, it opens the door for new contenders to enter the picture. Several players saw notable improvements in their Heisman odds after Week 5.
Let’s take a look at the updated Heisman odds and analyze the landscape.
|CJ Stroud (QB, Ohio State)||+150|
|Caleb Williams (QB, USC)||+500|
|Bryce Young (QB, Alabama)||+1000|
|Hendon Hooker (QB, Tennessee)||+1400|
|Adrian Martinez (QB, Kansas State)||+1800|
|Blake Corum (RB, Michigan)||+1800|
|Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, Alabama)||+2000|
|Stetson Bennett (QB, Georgia)||+2000|
|DJ Uiagalelei (QB, Clemson)||+2500|
|Dorian Thompson-Robinson (QB, UCLA)||+3000|
|Drake Maye (QB, North Carolina)||+3000|
|Miyan Williams (RB, Ohio State)||+3000|
|Sam Hartman (QB, Wake Forest)||+4000|
|Spencer Sanders (QB, OK State)||+4000|
|Jalon Daniels (QB, Kansas)||+4000|
|Will Anderson (DE, Alabama)||+5000|
|Cameron Rising (QB, Utah)||+5000|
Odds as of Oct. 2 at FanDuel Sportsbook.
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Ohio State quarterback CJ Stroud remains listed as the Heisman favorite. His +150 odds mean he has 40% implied probability to win the college football MVP award.
Bryce Young Heisman Odds
Alabama quarterback Bryce Young entered Week 5 with the second-best odds to win the Heisman at FanDuel at +500. Unfortunately, Young suffered a shoulder injury in the second quarter of his game vs Arkansas and was forced to exit.
Once it was officially announced Young wouldn’t be returning to the game, oddsmakers dropped Young’s Heisman odds. The second-year starter is now sitting at +900 to win the trophy. The latest Bryce Young injury update is that he is “day-to-day with a shoulder sprain.”
Bryce Young was frustrated heading to the medical tent with an apparent shoulder injury
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) October 1, 2022
It’s almost impossible for a Heisman winner to repeat, and this Bryce Young injury almost ensures that we won’t see it happen in 2022. Not only did Young finish Week 5 with only 173 passing yards due to the injury, but there’s also a chance he misses further time.
As unfair as it may be, the Heisman winner basically needs to play every game to win the trophy. Only five players in history have won the Heisman despite missing games, with that last one being FSU’s Charlie Ward in 1993 (1 game missed).
While we hate to see the original preseason Heisman favorite go down with injury, the door is now open for new contenders to emerge. Let’s dive into some players trending up following Week 5.
Risers in Week 5 Heisman Odds
The Heisman odds saw some new faces enter the mix following Saturday’s action. Two notable risers were Michigan running back Blake Corrum and Kansas State QB Adrian Martinez. Both players followed up impressive Week 4 performances with great outings in Week 5.
Corum rushed for 133 yards and one score vs Iowa, while Martinez rushed for 171 yards and three touchdowns against Texas Tech. Both players saw similar movement in their Heisman odds, as FanDuel adjusted their futures from +4000 to +1800, respectively.
Shake ‘n Blake#GoBlue | @blake_corum pic.twitter.com/7wd4x2IeC0
— Michigan Football (@UMichFootball) October 1, 2022
Another player who saw massive improvement in their odds was Alabama running back Jahmyr Gibbs. With ‘Bama dealing with the loss of Young, Gibbs put the Crimson Tide on his back, rushing for 206 yards vs the Razorbacks.
This was easily Gibbs’ best game since arriving in Tuscaloosa, and that’s reflected in the odds move. FanDuel shortened Gibbs’ Heisman odds from +10000 to +2000 after Week 5, placing the Georgia Tech transfer inside the top 10.
18 Rushing Attempts
206 Rushing Yards
2 Rushing Touchdowns
Jahmyr Gibbs was just awesome for @AlabamaFTBL against Arkansas. pic.twitter.com/Jk6cevUIHm
— SEC on CBS 🏈 (@SEConCBS) October 1, 2022
Depending on how serious the Bryce Young injury is, Gibbs could become a very interesting name in the Heisman race, especially considering the issues the team has had at wide receiver. The last running back to win the Heisman was Bama’s Derrick Henry in 2015.
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Fallers in Week 5 Heisman Odds
While we touched on some players who saw major improvement in their Heisman odds, there were also some contenders who went in the opposite direction. Aside from Young, a couple other players caught bad breaks in Week 5
The biggest faller in the Heisman odds this weekend was Oklahoma’s Dillon Gabriel. The Sooners’ senior pivot suffered a head injury in the second quarter of his game vs TCU and was forced to exit. Once it was announced he wouldn’t return to the game, Gabriel faded all the way to +15000.
TCU defender Jamoi Hodge was ejected for this hit on Dillon Gabriel
— PFF College (@PFF_College) October 1, 2022
Gabriel was a top-five Heisman candidate only a couple weeks ago, but oddsmakers clearly feel that he has no shot now. Oklahoma has suffered back-to-back defeats vs Kansas State and TCU, and there’s potential for Gabriel to miss serious time.
Another player who fell out of the top-10 was Washington’s Michael Penix Jr. The senior turned some heads with his performance vs Michigan State a couple weeks back, but he threw two costly picks in the team’s Week 5 loss vs UCLA, causing his Heisman odds to fade from +5000 to +10000.
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