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Heisman Odds After Week 6: C.J. Stroud Pulls Away

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in College Football

Oct 9, 2022 · 6:00 AM PDT

Ohio State Buckeyes quarterback CJ Stroud celebrates a touchdown
Oct 8, 2022; East Lansing, Michigan, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) celebrates after throwing his fourth touchdown in the first half of the NCAA Division I football game between the Ohio State Buckeyes and Michigan State Spartans at Spartan Stadium. Osu22msu Kwr 46
  • Ohio State QB CJ Stroud threw six touchdown passes in college football Week 6
  • Stroud became a heavy -140 favorite in the Heisman odds after the game
  • Read below to see the latest Heisman odds, plus analysis on the favorites

Ohio State quarterback CJ Stroud significantly improved his Heisman trophy chances in college football Week 6. The OSU pivot pulled away from the other favorites after showing out vs Michigan State on Saturday.

Sportsbooks were impressed by Stroud’s Week 6 performance, as they made him the odds-on favorite in the Heisman odds. UCLA QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson also saw a huge odds bump following Week 6.

Let’s take a look at the updated Heisman odds and break down the movement.

Heisman Odds

Player Odds
CJ Stroud (QB, Ohio State) -140
Caleb Williams (QB, USC) +1200
Hendon Hooker (QB, Tennessee) +1400
Bryce Young (QB, Alabama) +1600
Dorian Thompson-Robinson (QB, UCLA) +1600
DJ Uiagalelei (QB, Clemson) +2000
Blake Corum (RB, Michigan) +2000
Adrian Martinez (QB, Kansas State) +2500
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, Alabama) +3000
Sam Hartman (QB, Wake Forest) +4000
Spencer Sanders (QB, OK State) +4000
Stetson Bennett (QB, Georgia) +4000
Drake Maye (QB, North Carolina) +4000
Bo Nix (QB, Oregon) +5000
Will Anderson (DE, Alabama) +5000
Max Duggan (QB, TCU) +5000

Odds as of Oct. 9 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Use the FanDuel Sportsbook promo code to wager on the Heisman.

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CJ Stroud Heisman Odds

Ohio State quarterback CJ Stroud was already the +150 favorite to win the Heisman at FanDuel entering Week 6. By the time the Buckeyes’ clash with Michigan State concluded, however, Stroud had become an even heavier favorite.

Stroud threw for 361 yards and six TDs against the Spartans, becoming the first QB in OSU history to toss six Tds in three games. FanDuel rewarded Stroud by making him the first odds-on Heisman favorite (-140) of the 2022 season.

Stroud was once again without his top receiver target in Jaxon Smith-Njigba, which makes his performance all the more impressive. The OSU pivot ranks first nationally with 24 TD throws on the year, and his 207.6 passer rating is also tops in the country.

After losing out on the Heisman to Bryce Young last year, Stroud is coming for his hardware this season. Stroud’s new -140 Heisman price means he 58% implied probability to win the college football MVP award.

Will Stroud actually win the Heisman? Based on everything we’ve seen over the past two years, plus his projected NFL Draft ranking, he makes for a very strong bet. The big clash with Michigan looms, but that’s also the stage where he’s primed to get his revenge.

DTR Heisman Odds

The other top performer in college football Week 6 was UCLA quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson. The senior quarterback shot into the top-five of the Heisman odds after leading the Bruins to an upset win over Utah.

DTR passed for 299 yards and four touchdowns, while rushing for an additional score to lead the Bruins to a 42-32 victory. UCLA advanced to 6-0 after winning for the second straight week as underdogs.

Dorian Thompson-Robinson was +3000 in the Heisman odds entering Saturday’s game. FanDuel dropped those odds to +1400 after the game. DTR has never really been in the Heisman conversation during his five-year career, but he’s changing that narrative in 2022.

DTR’s passing stats don’t really jump off the page, but it’s his dual-threat ability (223 rush yds) that makes him a Heisman sleeper. The experienced pivot is making big-time plays with his legs that are making the highlight reels.

DTR still has a huge hill to climb to actually win the Heisman, especially considering that his team plays late on the West Coast when most voters are sleeping. His chances of being a finalist will come down to huge upcoming games against Oregon and USC.

Other Movement in Heisman Odds

Alabama quarterback Bryce Young didn’t play in the Tide’s Week 6 game against Texas A&M due to injury. Young entered the season as the favorite to repeat as the Heisman winner, but his odds have faded to +1600.

Young was deeply missed by the Tide as they narrowly escaped against the Aggies with a victory. Unfortunately for Young, the missed game almost guarantess he won’t repeat. History suggests the Heisman winner needs to play in every game to win.

Another player who fell in the odds was Georgia QB Stetson Bennett. The senior pivot garned Heisman hype after the first few weeks of the season, but his odds have faded to +4000 following Week 6.

Bennett had a career-best 64-yard touchdown run in UGA’s win over Auburn, but it marked his third straight game without a touchdown pass. It was hard to envision a Georgia QB winning the Heisman to begin with given their style of offense, but these mediocre showings from Bennett should officially take him out of the running.

 

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