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Jake Fromm 2019 Regular-Season Totals Predict at Least 26 TD Passes, 2,400 Yards

Georgia QB Jake Fromm passing from the pocket.
Jake Fromm enters his junior year with Georgia's National Championship hopes resting squarely on his shoulders. How will he perform under immense pressure in Athens? Photo by Tammy Anthony Baker (Wiki Commons) [CC License].
  • You can wager on Jake Fromm’s 2019 season total props at BetOnline
  • Props listed predict both regression and improvement for the Georgia QB
  • What is the best bet for Fromm’s passing yards, touchdown passes, and interceptions?

Jake Fromm isn’t the 2019 Heisman Trophy favorite, but he’s not far off. The Georgia pivot is one of the best returning passers in college football and leads a team that is behind only Alabama and Clemson in the National Championship odds.

Capitalizing on UGA’s massive fanbase and the hype around their junior starter, BetOnline has posted three prop bets on how Fromm will perform in the 2019 season. Their oddsmakers have listed three separate prop bets on his passing yards, touchdown passes, and interceptions in the regular season.

Jake Fromm’s Total Interceptions in 2019 Regular Season

Over/Under Odds at BetOnline
Over 5.5 Interceptions -115
Under 5.5 Interceptions -115

*All odds taken 08/21/19

Fromm  may not have the strongest arm, but he is very accurate and a smart decision maker.  The Georgia QB threw a total of six interceptions in 2018, but one of those came in the Sugar Bowl against Texas, so that wouldn’t have counted in this prop.

In his career, Fromm has an interception percentage of just 2.2%. 

While Fromm does have a lethally accurate arm, it’s asking alot for the third-year quarterback to throw no more than five interceptions in 2019. He attempted 306 passes in 2018 and that number should increase in 2019. Fromm’s backup from 2018, Justin Fields, is now starting for Ohio State, making Fromm the go-to-guy in Georgia.

Betting the over here is the safe choice. There’s going to be lots of pressure for Fromm to deliver this season and, in the past, he has struggled in some high-pressure situations. Fromm also sometimes gets caught by opposing defenses going for easy and predictable plays, which could lead to a few extra interceptions in 2019.

Pick: Over 5.5 Interceptions (-115)

Jake Fromm’s Total Passing Yards in 2019 Regular Season

Over/Under Odds at BetOnline*
Over 2400 Passing Yards -115
Under 2400 Passing Yards -115

*All odds taken 08/21/19

Fromm has thrown for 5,364 yards in his first two seasons. His 9.0 average yards per attempt ranked ninth in the country in 2018, and was a key reason why he finished with 2,749 passing yards.

Fromm has lost his top-pass catchers from 2018 in wide receivers Riley Ridley, Mecole Hardman, and Terry Godwin, plus tight end Isaac Nauta. Jeremiah Holloman should have been the team’s top returning receiver for 2019, but he was dismissed during the spring. Tyler Simmons and Trey Blount are the only two receivers who have caught passes thrown by Fromm.

While losing that many top receivers is sure to raise questions, Fromm remains dangerous no matter who is lining up next to him. The addition of Miami grad transfer Lawrence Cager should be big. Cager started in 12 of Miami’s 13 games last year, accounting for 374 yards on 21 receptions. Demetris Robinson didn’t have a catch last year, but he should improve in 2019 after he had  four rushes for 109 yards and a touchdown in 2018.

First-year offensive coordinator James Coley should also help improve Fromm’s passing game, as he ran a well-balanced run-pass attack during his three years in Miami. Fromm has also had all offseason to build chemistry with the younger players.

I’m betting on Fromm’s talent and experience in overcoming the losses at receiver. He’s averaged 2,682 passing yards per season in his first two years with Georgia, and I don’t see why he can’t at least replicate that success in 2019.

Pick: Over 2,400 Passing Yards (-115)

Jake Fromm’s Total TD Passes in 2019 Regular Season

 

Over/Under Odds at BetOnline
Over 26½ TD Passes -115
Under 26½ TD Passes -115

*All odds taken 08/21/19

Fromm threw 30 touchdown passes as a sophomore in 2018; only Heisman finalist Tua Tagovailoa had more passing scores in the SEC. Fromm is considered a longshot in the 2019 Heisman Odds.

As mentioned above, losing your top five pass catchers from a season ago is tough, but it isn’t the be-all and end-all. The return of elite running back DeAndre Swift will continue to force opposing defences to focus on Georgia’s explosive running game, which creates time and space for Fromm.

Fromm only threw 24 touchdown passes in his first season, but he improved that significantly in 2018. Betting on over 26½ TD passes  for Fromm does mean betting on receivers such as Robinson and Cager to have big years. Fromm throwing three touchdown passes to three different receivers against Missouri last season is a great showcase of his accuracy skills when throwing downfield.

 

Fromm has a great offense in front of him and is increible at making back shoulder throws. In his freshman year, he registered 10 touchdowns and 0 interceptions on passes of 20 yards or more, giving him the nation’s highest passer rating on the deep ball (135.4).

This one will be close, but Fromm’s accuracy and ability to know where the ball is going should lead to him completing over 26.5 touchdown passes.

Pick: Over 26½ Touchdown Passes  (-115)

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