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Jonathan Taylor and Bryce Love Emerge as Heisman Favorites

Trevor Lawrence
Trevor Lawrence's last game was the US Army All-American Bowl, and now he's a favorite to win the Heisman Trophy. Photo by Christopher Hernandez [Public Domain]
  • The Heisman Trophy odds are being led by a Wisconsin running back and *checks notes* two backup quarterbacks
  • Learn why the running back is a worse pick than the two backups

We’re less than two months away from kickoff of the 2018 College Football season. And as we draw closer to Week 1, we continue to see some movement in the odds to win the 2018 Heisman Trophy.

Odds to win the 2018 Heisman Trophy

Odds from Bovada as of 7/11/2018

Player School Position Odds
Jonathan Taylor Wisconsin RB +750
Bryce Love Stanford RB +800
Trevor Lawrence Clemson QB +900
Tua Tagovailoa Alabama QB +900
Jake Fromm Georgia QB +1200
Khalil Tate Arizona QB +1400
JK Dobbins Ohio State RB +1500
Jarrett Stidham Auburn QB +1600
Justin Herbert Oregon QB +1800
Trace McSorley Penn State QB +1800
Will Grier West Virginia QB +2000
Kelly Bryant Clemson QB +2000
Shea Patterson Michigan QB +2000
Jake Browning Washington QB +2200
Dwayne Haskins Ohio State QB +2200

New to the upper part of the list is Clemson freshman Trevor Lawrence, who has never played a real snap for the Tigers, but impressed in the spring game and is maybe the most highly-touted QB recruit in history. Jonathan Taylor stubbornly stays at the top of the odds sheet, despite that maybe not being a great pick based on our search volume metric.

Shea Patterson’s transfer to Michigan and first-year eligibility has had major effects on both this odds sheet and the national championship odds. He’s a supremely talented QB, and is maybe the missing piece Jim Harbaugh needs to get the Wolverines back on top.

Disappearing from the Bovada odds sheet is Alabama quarterback Jalen Hurts, who is widely expected to either transfer or lose his starting job after being benched in the second half of the national title game. None of that has happened yet though, and despite what a lot of fans think, Hurts has a great chance of starting under center for the Crimson Tide this fall.

Heisman Favorites Tracker

This charts how the average odds offered on each player have evolved. For more of this data, see the Heisman Odds Tracker

Stats of Heisman Hopeful Running Backs

Player School Odds 2017 Rushing Yards 2017 Rushing Yards/Attempt 2017 Rushing Touchdowns
Jonathan Taylor Wisconsin +750 1977 6.6 13
Bryce Love Stanford +800 2118 8.1 19
JK Dobbins Ohio State +1500 1403 7.2 7

As you can see, Jonathan Taylor isn’t exactly blowing his competition away, besides being the outright favorite to win the Heisman Trophy. Maybe look elsewhere!

Stats of Heisman Hopeful Quarterbacks

Player School Odds 2017 Passing Yards TD PY/A Rushing Yards TD
Tua Tagovailoa Alabama +900 636 11 8.3 133 2
Trevor Lawrence Clemson +900 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Jake Fromm Georgia +1200 2615 24 9.0 79 3
Khalil Tate Arizona +1400 1591 14 8.9 1411 12
Jarrett Stidham Auburn +1600 3158 18 8.5 153 4
Justin Herbert Oregon +1800 1983 15 9.6 183 5
Trace McSorley Penn State +1800 3570 28 8.4 491 11
Will Grier West Virginia +2000 3490 34 9.0 122 2
Kelly Bryant Clemson +2000 2802 13 7..0 665 11
Shea Patterson Michigan +2000 2259 17 8.7 -16 1
Jake Browning Washington +2200 2719 19 8.1 25 7
Dwayne Haskins Ohio State +2200 565 4 9.9 86 0

That’s right, neither of the two quarterbacks favored to win the Heisman Trophy started under centre for their current team in 2017. Obviously both Lawrence and Tagovailoa have huge upside, but at these odds you’d at least expect a starting job.

Trace McSorley had incredible stats last year, and not just because he was sharing a backfield with Saquon Barkley. This year will be a great opportunity to prove himself without his preternaturally talented companion, and he’ll likely work his way up the draft boards.

God help us all if Khalil Tate finds whatever form he had in October of last season. Tate was nigh on unstoppable until about the Oregon State game, and put up some incredible numbers against Colorado, Washington State, and every California team he could get his hands on.

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Alex studied political science in university but spent most of that time watching college football. Started covering sports betting for this site in 2017. Avid tennis player, golf nut, and motorsports nerd. Career .600 against Ryan Murphy in NBA Jam: Tournament Edition.