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After 1-3 Start, Cowboys’ Super Bowl Odds Fall to +3000; Can Dallas Turn it Around?

Blair Johnson

by Blair Johnson in NFL Football

Updated Mar 9, 2021 · 2:03 PM PST

Ezekiel Elliott celebrating with teammate Blake Bell
Can Ezekiel Elliott and the Cowboys offense get revenge on Washington's defense and take sole possession of first in the NFC East? (AP Photo/David Berding)
  • The Cowboys saw their Super Bowl odds fall to +3000 after a 49-38 home loss to the Browns
  • Dallas is now 1-3 in 2020 — with the lone win being a miraculous 40-39 victory over Atlanta
  • See how the team’s championship odds have changed from before the season started to now

The Dallas Cowboys’ Super Bowl odds (+2200) have been trending downward during the 2020 season as losses continue to pile up. Dallas lost 49-38 to Cleveland at home Sunday. And if it wasn’t for a miraculous comeback at AT&T Stadium two weeks ago that saw America’s Team rebound from a 15-point fourth-quarter deficit against Atlanta, the ‘Boys would be winless. Check out how the Cowboys’ odds have changed since the beginning of the season.

Dallas Cowboys Super Bowl 55 Odds

Team Odds on Sept. 3 Odds on Sept. 14 Odds on Sept. 21 Odds on Sept. 28 Odds on Oct. 4
Dallas Cowboys +1533 +1867 +1700 +1933 +3000

Odds taken Oct. 4

Dak Prescott put up another valiant effort Sunday against Cleveland, throwing for 502 yards (the first 500-yard game of his career) and four touchdowns while becoming the first NFL quarterback with at least 450 yards passing in three straight games. But it was all for not as Dallas’ defense simply could not stop Cleveland. The Cowboys allowed a franchise-worst 307 yards rushing — and the Browns lost their starting running back Nick Chubb to a knee injury in the first quarter.

 

The team’s Super Bowl odds have gone from legitimate sleeper to borderline longshot — with teams like the Colts and Bills with better odds of hoisting the Lombardi Trophy in Tampa come Feb. 7th. So, should bettors fade America’s Team? Or is now the chance to buy low on a team currently decimated by injuries to key defensive players? Let’s handicap Mike McCarthy’s squad’s title chances.

M*A*S*H Unit

Dallas is the first team since Oakland in 2012 to allow at least 38 points in three straight games in the same season. That Oakland team finished the year with a 4-12 record. Not exactly a mark — or a team —  to emulate.

This Cowboys group has given more traffic to The Star’s training room then a Metroplex rush hour. Linebacker Sean Lee — who is seemingly always injured — is recovering from a sports hernia with no timetable to return. Fellow linebacker Leighton Vander Esch suffered a broken collarbone in Week 1 and could return around midseason. And cornerback Chidobe Awuzie is due for a return off injured reserve during Week 6.

If the ‘Boys can get two of those three players back, things could turn around defensively. Or at least become less embarrassing.

Front-Loaded Schedule

Sunday’s loss to the Browns was bad on many levels. It was a game most Cowboys fans were assuming Dallas would win going into it. But when you allow 7.7 yards per carry to a team that’s down their best tailback for the better part of the game, you deserve to lose.

That said, there’s no shame in road losses to the Rams and Seahawks, who project as a pair of possible playoff teams. And the Cowboys were a play or two away from winning both. Of course, they needed another monumental collapse by the Falcons to earn their lone win so far in 2020 but they did beat this Atlanta. This is an offensively superior team led by an elite quarterback playing for a long-term deal.

And now, the schedule gets significantly less challenging. Next up are home games against the Giants and Cardinals (both very winnable). Those two are followed by road games against the Redskins and Eagles before hosting the Steelers heading into a bye week.

Running the table isn’t out of the question. If so, Dallas is looking at a 6-3 mark and leading the worst division in football.

NFC Least

Ah, yes. The NFC East. Once upon a time, this division was the class of the league. But that was a generation ago.

If that doesn’t sum it up, I’m not sure what does. As long as the Redskins and Giants are rebuilding and the Eagles are getting more injured than even the Cowboys, Dallas has a very good chance to win this division. And with it comes a playoff berth and a legitimate shot to earn a spot in the Super Bowl as the NFC’s representative. All you have to do is get there to have a chance, right?

At the end of the day, the first four games of the season haven’t changed my thoughts on the Cowboys. This is who they are: an elite offensive team that can win or lose to anyone. Is that a formula for being a Super Bowl contender, even at +2200? No. I’m fading Dallas once again this year.

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