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10 Best Super Bowl 52 Props

Matt McEwan

by Matt McEwan in NFL Football

Updated Apr 13, 2020 · 1:55 PM PDT

Nelson Agholar about to score
Nelson Agholar has six receptions this postseason. The wide receivers Super Bowl reception total is set at 3.5, and you should be betting it. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr) [CC License]

Weird props, like the color of Gatorade that will be dumped on the winning coach and how many times President Trump will tweet during the game, are fun side bets that add to the entertainment of the Super Bowl. But they’re not the props you should be betting if your goal is to make a profit.

If you are looking to make some money off Super Bowl 52 props, then focus your attention on props that pertain to the game itself.

Most of the side props, which are only tangentially related to football, don’t lend themselves to rational scrutiny, which is necessary for bettors to gain an edge over sportsbooks. If you are looking to make some money off Super Bowl 52 props, then focus your attention on props that pertain to the game itself, like the ten outlined below.

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1. First Play of the Game – Pass Play or Sack +160

In each of the previous seven Tom Brady/Bill Belichick Super Bowls, the Patriots have opened their first drive with a pass. Facing the league’s best rush defense, I do not expect that trend to change. Of course, New England may not possess the ball first. If not, the likelihood of a pass goes down significantly. But at +160, it’s well worth the risk.

2. Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards: 67.5 (Over -115)

The Patriots will target that matchup, especially when it’s Mills on Cooks.

The strength of the Eagles’ secondary is Patrick Robinson, the team’s slot corner. It’s likely he’ll be seeing a lot of Danny Amendola in Super Bowl 52, leaving Ronald Darby and Jalen Mills responsible for Cooks on most snaps. The Patriots will target that matchup, especially when it’s Mills on Cooks. Cooks’ speed makes the over an appealing play; he might only need three or four catches. Another smart wager is for Cooks to record the most receiving yards in Super Bowl 52 at +400.

3. Will Both Teams Make a Field Goal from 37 Yards or Longer? (Yes +130)

Stephen Gostkowski kicking a field goal
Stephen Gostkowski is a perfect 8/8 on field-goal attempts this postseason. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr) [CC License].

Jake Elliott and Stephen Gostkowski are two of the best kickers in the NFL. A 37-yard field goal is a chip-shot for them. With everything on the line, don’t expect either head coach to roll the dice too often on fourth down when they could opt for three points.

4. Player to Score 1st Eagles Touchdown – Blount +700

Although Jay Ajayi has taken on lead duties in the Eagles’ backfield, LeGarrette Blount still has a clear role in the offense: goal-line work. Blount has scored a touchdown in each of the Eagles’ two playoff games this season, and he’s a great bet to score Philadelphia’s first touchdown in a matchup against his former team.

5. Nelson Agholar Total Receptions: 3.5 (Over -125)

Nelson Agholar celebrating with teammates.
Nelson Agholor was becoming the focal point of the Eagles’ passing game before Carson Wentz went down. The receiver has a great opportunity to return to prominence in a matchup with Eric Rowe. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr) [CC License].

The weakness of the Patriots secondary is clearly slot corner Eric Rowe. He graded out at 43.6 this season per PFF. For the most part, Nelson Agholor works out of the slot, and will see plenty of Rowe on February 4th. With Bill Belichick likely to scheme to stop Zach Ertz, this is a matchup I fully expect Doug Pederson to target, especially early on to get Nick Foles settled into the game.

6. Will There be a Successful 2-Point Conversion? (Yes +160)

“Doug Pederson has proven he will chase a score early in the game, and his creativity has never been questioned.”

The Philadelphia Eagles attempted the most two-point conversions in the NFL this season (0.5 per game, including playoffs), and converted on 66.6-percent of those attempts. Doug Pederson has proven he will chase a score early in the game, and his creativity has never been questioned.

The Patriots didn’t attempt nearly as many as the Eagles (ranked 15th in two-point-conversion attempts per game) but they successfully converted all their attempts. Doug Pederson has proven he will chase a score early in the game, and his creativity has never been questioned.

7. Total Sacks in Super Bowl 52: 4.5 (Over -110)

Brandon Graham taking down Kirk Cousins
Brandon Graham led the Eagles with 9.5 sacks in 2017. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr) [CC License].

The Patriots and Eagles combined to average 5.2 sacks per game this season, while both are mediocre when it comes to protecting their own QB: 35 and 36 sacks allowed, respectively, during the regular season.

New England is going to have a difficult time slowing Fletcher Cox, and Bill Belichick will do everything he can to get pressure on Nick Foles.

8. Player to Score 1st Patriots Touchdown – Amendola +800

In his last three postseason games, Amendola has hauled in 26 balls for 274 yards and three TDs.

“The smart play would be to bet Amendola “

The 32-year-old has proven to be a clutch receiver, and has filled in nicely for Julian Edelman as Tom Brady’s security blanket. At +800, there’s a lot of value in Amendola scoring the Patriots’ first touchdown of the Super Bowl, especially when you consider how stingy the Eagles are against the run.

9. Will Donovan McNabb’s Vomiting Incident from Super Bowl 29 Be Mentioned During Broadcast? – Yes +150

Whether it actually happened or not, the story about McNabb vomiting when the Eagles played the Patriots in Super Bowl 29 remains one of the most prominent from that game. The broadcast will, without a doubt, look back to that game, and they are very likely to mention the vomit.

The only way you could run into trouble here is if the broadcasters decide ahead of time not to mention the former Eagles quarterback, due to his dismissal from ESPN following an investigation into accusations of sexual misconduct while working for NFL Network.

10. Length of the National Anthem: 2 minutes – Over -150

Four of the last five Super Bowl National Anthems have been over two minutes, and you can bet Pink will want to really show off her voice ahead of Super Bowl 52. Expect a drawn out version.

The OVER doesn’t pay out very well, but it will be easy money.

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