Upcoming Match-ups

2020 NFL Mock Draft – Full First Round Based Entirely Off Betting Odds

Matt McEwan

by Matt McEwan in NFL Football

Apr 9, 2020 · 7:36 AM PDT

SBD's full first-round mock draft
See SBD's full first-round mock draft based purely off betting odds.
  • The 2020 NFL Draft is scheduled to take place from Thursday, April 23 to Saturday, April 25
  • All sportsbooks offer a wide variety of NFL Draft props
  • We’ve gathered all the odds and pieced them together to form a full first-round mock draft

Everyone and their mother has a mock draft these days. But this is not just any ordinary mock draft. The mock you will see below is unlike others because it is not simply based on my own opinion and doesn’t have any hot takes for click-bait.

This is how the sportsbooks see the first-round of the 2020 NFL Draft playing out.

All major sportsbooks offer a wide variety of NFL Draft props – over/unders on when players will be selected, first player to be selected at each position, number of players at each position to be selected etc. – and I have gathered and pieced them all together like it was a 100,000-piece puzzle.

Sportsbooks do one thing really, really well: make money. Far too often, they have the inside scoop on events like this where outcomes may be predetermined. Remember when they knew Tom Brady was signing with the Bucs before anyone else? With this mock, you’re not getting the info one insider has, but the info that all insiders have.

2020 NFL Mock Draft

SBD's 2020 NFL Mock Draft
Click on the image above to view and download SBD’s first-round mock draft.

>> See SBD’s 1st-Round NFL Mock Draft <<

Any red font in the mock denotes a trade.

Odds Say Lions Stay Put and Take Okudah

While many believe the third-overall pick, which currently belongs to the Lions, is the spot where someone will move up for Tua Tagovailoa. And while the odds supported that belief about a month ago, they do not any more.

The odds now favor Ohio State corner Jeff Okudah being the third player taken in the 2020 NFL Draft. If that’s the case, it makes little sense for the Lions, who project to start Desmond Trufant and Justin Coleman at corner after trading Darius Slay to the Eagles, to move out of the pick.

Giants Take Best Player Available with Fourth-Overall Pick

A lot of insiders are expecting the Giants to take an offensive lineman with the fourth pick in the draft, but that’s not what the odds say. Isaiah Simmons’ odds of being a top five pick are listed at -155, while Tristan Wirfs, who has the best odds among offensive linemen, is listed at +300.

Simmons is also favored to be the Giants first pick in a separate prop. New York could move out of this pick, but I can’t see a team moving up too far to select an ILB.

Dolphins Stay Put and Get Tua

The Tagovailoa vs Justin Herbert debate is starting to heat up, but the odds still heavily favor the Bama signal-caller. Tua’s odds of being a top five pick are listed at -1250 and he’s also the odds-on favorite to be the second offensive player selected.

Bucs Trade up to Protect Brady

Louisville’s Mekhi Becton has the second-best odds to be the first offensive lineman selected in the draft, only behind Tristan Wirfs. Tampa Bay made it clear they were all-in on 2020 when they signed Tom Brady, and they simply cannot enter the season with Joe Haeg starting at RT.

Once Wirfs comes off the board, which is favored to happen in the first eight picks, there are too many OL-needy teams picking ahead of the Bucs – Jacksonville, Cleveland, and New York (Jets) – to assume Becton, Jedrick Wills Jr, or Anthony Thomas will be there for them at 14. And with the Jaguars needing to fill a ton of holes on their roster, they’re the perfect trading partner for Tampa Bay.

I’ll leave it to the Bucs to decide whether they play Becton at right tackle or swing Donovan Smith over.

Colts Come up for Love

After acquiring DeForest Buckner from the 49ers earlier in the offseason, the Colts are left without a first-round pick. But they do possess the 34th, 44th, and 75th overall picks. It would likely take the former and latter to convince Minnesota to give up the 22nd-overall pick.

According to the odds, Utah State’s Jordan Love is the fourth and final quarterback that will be selected in the first round.

Based off what we saw from Philip Rivers in 2019, there’s no certainty that he’s going to be much of an upgrade from Jacoby Brissett. And even if Rivers does perform in 2020, Indy has only signed him for one season, so it makes sense that they’ll want to bring in their next franchise QB.

With the depth of talent at wide receiver, the 44th pick should still net the Colts a talented pass-catcher to play opposite of TY Hilton.

Author Image