Best Bears vs Packers NFL Same-Game Parlay

• The Bears and Packers square off at Lambeau Field on Sunday Night Football (Sept. 18, 8:20 pm ET) in Week 2
• We’ve crafted a +700 Chicago vs Green Bay same-game parlay
• See the picks for the Bears vs Packers same-game parlay on SNF below

The Chicago Bears (1-0, 0-0 road) and Green Packers (0-1, 0-0 home) square off on Sunday Night Football in Week 2. The game projects to be slow paced, but we’ve got a same-game parlay to help make the game a whole lot more entertaining.

Both Chicago and Green Bay want to run the ball first and foremost and, judging by the line in the Bears vs Packers picks, the projected game script should put Packers RBs Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon in position to run the rock early and often.

Bears vs Packers SNF Same-Game Parlay Picks

Odds as of September 17 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo code.

This Chicago vs Green Bay same-game parlay is built around increased rushing volume for Green Bay, and a decrease in rushing attempts for Chicago. As an added bonus, DraftKings Sportsbook is offering up to a 100% Profit boost on all same-game parlays this Sunday.

The Packers are currently 10-point favorites, and while the majority of the tickets in the Bears vs Packers public betting trends are siding with Chicago, the big money bets are on Green Bay. Just 26% of the ATS wagers are on Packers -10, but those bets make up 78% of the spread handle.

Aaron Jones Over 49.5 Rushing Yards

Aaron Jones was criminally underutilized in Week 1. He’s arguably Green Bay’s most explosive player, yet he touched the ball a grand total of eight times despite averaging 9.5 yards per interaction.

Both Aaron Rodgers and Matt LaFleur were adamant that Jones needs more touches if this team is going to be successful, and we should expect heavy volume for #33 on Sunday Night Football.

If a head coach says they need to get a player more touches, believe them.

This is an Aaron Jones tweet.

Big bounce back on tap this week.

— Frank Ammirante (@FAmmiranteTFJ) September 16, 2022

Jones is a threat both in the run and passing game, but the majority of his work should come on the ground. Green Bay’s offensive line is banged up, as detailed in the Bears vs Packers injury report, and it’s far easier for inexperienced linemen to run block than it is to pass protect.

Jones saw double-digit carries 10 times during the 2021 regular season, eclipsing 50 yards in all but two of those contests.

AJ Dillon Anytime Touchdown

With an implied team total of 26.5, the Packers are expected to be in the red zone often against Chicago. Jones will get plenty of opportunities for the reasons outlined above, but so will Dillon, especially around the goal line.

Carries that resulted in a 1D or TD among all players with 10+ attempts…

Trey Lance 46.2%
Cordarrelle Patterson 45.5%
AJ Dillon 40.0%
Saquon Barkley 38.9%
Jalen Hurts 37.5%
Antonio Gibson 35.7%
D'Andre Swift 33.3%

— Rich Hribar (@LordReebs) September 12, 2022

Dillon punched in the only Green Bay TD in Week 1, giving him five touchdowns in his last six games dating back to last season. He’s the Packers short-yardage and goal-line back, and converted 50% of his carries inside the 5-yard line in 2021 into touchdowns.

David Montgomery Under 49.5 Rushing Yards

If we expect Green Bay to run all over Chicago, then it’s likely the Bears have to abandon the run early in catch-up mode. That’s bad news for David Montgomery, who looked nothing like a feature back in Week 1.

David Montgomery had ZERO redzone opportunities vs SF, Khalil Herbert took 100% of those RB opportunities.

Something could be cooking here. stay tuned for WK2.

— LaQuan Jones (@RealDealFantasy) September 12, 2022

Montgomery ran 17 times for only 26 yards against the Niners. For those of you math wizards, that’s a 1.5 yards per carry average. What’s worse, is that his backup handled nearly as much work. Khalil Herbert earned nine carries, and was far more effective averaging 5 yards a pop. Herbert was already stealing passing down work from Montgomery, and if he’s taking away base work as well, it’s going to be a long season for D-Mont.

Justin Fields Over 179.5 Passing Yards

One of my favorite bets when the Bears vs Packers props were first released was the over on Justin Fields’ passing yards. The game script should lean to Chicago playing from behind, which will elevate Fields’ volume.

Great photo of Bears’ QB Justin Fields and his teammates splashing and celebrating their opening-day win over the 49ers from @briancassella of the Chicago Tribune. pic.twitter.com/735RiLTZLz

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) September 12, 2022

Fields was far from efficient in Week 1, but that was largely weather dependent. The last time he faced Green Bay he threw for 224 yards, in spite of a 55% completion rate. He cleared 220 yards in three of his final four games as a rookie, and should on Sunday Night as well.

Chicago Bears Under 17.5 Points

Last but not least, let’s fade the Bears team total. The Packers defense is loaded with talent at every level, and while they did give up a lot of yards to the Vikings in Week 1, they clamped down in the red zone.

Green Bay yielded just one red zone touchdown on three Minnesota trips, and held the Vikings to 4-for-13 on third downs. Chicago meanwhile, got to 19 points last week, but only due to a 51-yard broken play that wound up for a score, and a Trey Lance interception deep in his own zone that led to an easy TD.