Best Eagles vs Texans Same-Game Parlay for TNF
- Check out our three-leg Eagles vs Texans same-game parlay for the Week 9 Thursday Night Football matchup that pays +360 odds
- Will Miles Sanders exceed 64.5 rushing yards? Can Philly score 14 first-half points?
- Keep reading for our Week 9 Eagles vs Texans same-game parlay picks below
It’s a case of best versus worst record-wise to kick off Week 9 on Thursday Night Football. The undefeated Eagles (7-0, 3-0 away), the lone NFL team yet to taste defeat, travel to Houston to face the lowly Texans (1-5-1, 0-2-1 home).
Philadelphia is fresh off a dominating win over Pittsburgh, while Houston was just abused on the ground in a loss against Tennessee. We expect the Texans’ rush defense woes to continue in this outing as few teams run the ball as well as the Eagles.
As a result, we’re buying Miles Sanders and the Philly offense in our Eagles vs Texans same-game parlay, while also relying on a recent primetime trend to continue to hit.
Eagles vs Texans Same-Game Parlay
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Miles Sanders Over 64.5 Rushing Yards | -265 |
| Philadelphia Eagles Over 13.5 First-Half Points | -165 |
| Under 48.5 Total Points | -150 |
| PARLAY ODDS | +360 |
Odds as of November 2nd at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo code where you can get up to a 100% profit boost on any SGP in Week 9.
Our Eagles vs Texans same-game parlay features only three legs, but still pays out +360 odds if it hits. Yes, it starts with a bet on Sanders, but it’s just as much a wager against the putrid Houston defense.
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TNF SGP Pick #1: Miles Sanders Over 64.5 Rushing Yards
No matter which stat or advanced metric you look at, the Texans run defense ranks either at or near the bottom. They’re surrendering a league-worst 186 rushing yards per game, and were just tagged for 314 yards on the ground by Derrick Henry and the Titans.
Houston ranks dead last versus the run per DVOA, and boasts the league’s worst rush defense grade per Pro Football Focus. They’re dead last in adjusted line yards and 29th in tackling.
Texans defense has allowed the week's overall PPR RB1 or RB2 in five of their seven games this season lmao. This is a Miles Sanders tweet.
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) November 1, 2022
Philly on the other hand is a top-five rushing team per DVOA and rank seventh in rushing success rate. Sanders is fresh off 78 rushing yards on just nine carries versus the Steelers, and has exceeded 70 yards on the ground in five of seven games, including three of his past four outings.
We’re being a tad conservative only targeting over 64.5 rushing yards for Sanders here, but he’s still a strong play at over 80.5 rushing yards in the Eagles vs Texans player props.
TNF SGP Pick #2: Philadelphia Eagles Over 13.5 First-Half Points
So we know the Texans’ run defense is a mess, but they also rank below league average against the pass. Only three teams give up more total yards than Houston, while the Texans have surrendered at least 34 points to the only top-12 scoring offenses they’ve faced.
Houston is dealing with injuries on the defensive side of the ball per the Eagles versus Texans injury report, which is not ideal given the strength of this Philly offense. The Eagles rank second on offense per DVOA, and third in scoring and total yards.
The QB-Center griddy you've all been waiting for.@JalenHurts | @JasonKelce#FlyEaglesFly pic.twitter.com/AXkG45HkMX
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) November 1, 2022
The scary thing is that the Eagles have put up such impressive numbers despite taking their foot off the gas in most games. Philly is averaging 21 points in the first half of their seven games this season, but just seven points in the final 30 minutes.
They’ve scored at least 14 first-half points in every outing so far, reaching at least 20 points in the opening half in six of seven matchups.
TNF SGP Pick #3: Under 48.5 Points
The Eagles’ unwillingness to keep the pedal down in the second half is one reason we’re targeting the under in this game, but it’s not the only one. Philly’s defense is elite, and it’s hard to imagine Houston’s offense finding much success.
The #Eagles DVOA Rankings:
OFFENSE
Overall: 3rd
Pass: 6th
Rush: 5thDEFENSE
Overall: 2nd
Pass: 2nd
Rush: 22ndSPECIAL TEAMS
Overall: 26th— Shane Haff (@ShaneHaffNFL) November 1, 2022
The Eagles rank second on defense per DVOA, and fourth in points against. The Texans’ offense meanwhile, is 31st per DVOA and 29th in scoring. One of our experts is banking on a Houston cover in the Eagles vs Texans picks, but the numbers and trends suggest the under is the more prudent wager.
If you simply bet the under in every NFL game this season you’d be cashing tickets at a 59% clip (72-51). Betting unders in primetime games has been even more profitable. The under in those contests is 16-9 so far, as noted in the Eagles vs Texans public betting splits.
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
