Best Packers vs Bills Same-Game Parlay for SNF
- We’ve cooked up a three-leg Packers vs Bills same-game parlay for tonight’s Sunday Night Football matchup that pays +220 odds
- Can Josh Allen eclipse 254.5 passing yards? Will the Bills hold the Packers under 24.5 points?
- Check out the Week 8 Packers vs Bills same-game parlay picks below
Has there been a bigger disappointment this season than Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense? Fresh off back-to-back MVP seasons, Rodgers enters play on Sunday Night Football versus Buffalo with the NFL’s 26th best quarterback rating. Green Bay ranks 23rd in points per game, and 21st in total offense.
Life won’t get any easier for the Packers (3-4, 1-2 away) versus a Bills (5-1, 2-0 home) defense that ranks first per DVOA.
We’ll be fading most of Green Bay’s offense in our Packers vs Bills same-game parlay, but first we’ll turn our attention to Josh Allen, who is playing as well as any quarterback in the NFL.
Packers vs Bills Same-Game Parlay
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen Over 254.5 Passing Yards | -185 |
| Green Bay Packers Under 24.5 Points | -450 |
| Robert Tonyan Over 19.5 Receiving Yards | -185 |
| PARLAY ODDS | +220 |
Odds as of October 29th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo code where you can get up to a 100% profit boost on any SGP in Week 8.
Our Packers vs Bills same-game parlay features only three legs, but still pays out +220 odds if it hits.
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Buffalo is currently a 10.5 point favorite, making Rodgers a double-digit underdog for the first time in his career. You might think that could lead to a run heavy script for Buffalo if they get up big, but the Bills throw the ball relentlessly even when playing from ahead.
Buffalo leads the league in pass rate over expectation, clearing the way for us to make Allen’s arm the anchor of our SNF SGP.
SNF SGP Pick #1: Josh Allen Over 254.5 Passing Yards
Allen has cleared this number in all but one game this season. He averages 330 passing yards per game and 40 attempts. No quarterback grades out higher than Allen per Pro Football Focus, while his 8.3 yards per attempt is second among starters behind only Tua Tagovailoa.
Josh Allen on 20+ yard throws:
🚀 97.1 Passing Grade (1st)
🚀 16 completions (1st)
🚀 127.7 passer rating (1st) pic.twitter.com/ONVLhC66JX— PFF (@PFF) October 28, 2022
Allen is fresh off throwing for 329 and 424 yards in back-to-back performances, and there’s a good chance he clears this number by halftime.
The Bills also lead the league in third down conversion rate, making it nearly impossible to get their offense off the field unless they score. No wonder one of our experts is expecting them to cover in the Packers vs Bills picks.
SNF SGP Pick #2: Green Bay Packers Under 24.5 Points
Green Bay has scored more than 22 points twice all season, needing overtime to get there in one of the two instances. They rank 14th in the pass game per DVOA, which feels like a very generous rating.
The Packers lose in Washington!
It's Green Bay's first three-game losing streak under Matt LaFleur. pic.twitter.com/M05K8D8FZK
— ESPN (@espn) October 23, 2022
Rodgers has yet to exceed 255 yards passing, and will be without number one wideout Allen Lazard on Sunday Night Football per the Packers vs Bills injury report.
Buffalo on the other hand, just held the Chiefs, who rank number one on offense per DVOA, to 20 points. They’ve kept their opponent under 21 points in 10 straight regular season games, which is the second longest streak in franchise history.
SNF SGP Pick #3: Robert Tonyan Over 19.5 Receiving Yards
Buffalo is drawing the majority of the spread tickets in the Packers vs Bills public betting splits. Everyone and their uncle expect Green Bay to be playing from behind in this matchup, and if that’s the case expect plenty of volume for Robert Tonyan.
Robert Tonyan leads the Packers in receptions through seven games with 17 coming in the last three weeks. He already has more targets, catches and yards than he did through eight games last year prior to tearing his ACL. pic.twitter.com/1xigmRH252
— zach jacobson (@itszacharyj) October 28, 2022
He’s one of the few pass catchers Rodgers trusts. Rodgers made it clear he’s sick of players playing who keep making mistakes, and Tonyan is always a name you hear number 12 praise. Tonyan leads the team in receptions and has exceeded 20 receiving yards in six of seven starts.
He’s seen 16 targets over the past two weeks alone, both in games where Green Bay was trailing for the bulk of play. Tonyan turned those 16 targets into 13 catches and 122 yards, and has a 83% reception rate this season. Fire up Big Bob Tonyan in the Packers vs Bills players props.
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As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
