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Packers vs Bills Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets for Sunday Night Football Week 8

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Updated Jan 5, 2023 · 7:49 AM PST

Josh Allen pointing with football
Oct 16, 2022; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) signals to tight end Quintin Morris (85) while running the ball during the second half against the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Green Bay Packers are in Buffalo to square off with the Bills on SNF
  • Get the over/under odds for Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs, Aaron Rodgers and others
  • A look at some of the Packers vs Bills player props can be found below with predictions

Thanks to George Pickens’ first-career touchdown, we’re inching ever so close to black, and should be comfortably there with a good week.

And there should be plenty of opportunity in Week 8, as the juggernaut Buffalo Bills host the Green Bay Packers on Sunday Night Football.

Buffalo is 5-1, undefeated at home, and feature an offense ranked first in yards per game, passing yards per game, and second in points per game at 29.3 per contest.

The Pack have lost three in a row, and their offense has sputtered, averaging just 17.6 points during this stretch.

It’s a big reason why Green Bay is a double-digit underdog under the primetime lights.

For our purposes, let’s look at the NFL player props available and share a few of our favorite picks.

Packers vs Bills Player Props

Passer Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Aaron Rodgers (GB) 23.5 (O -120 | U -110) 236.5 (O -115) | U -115) 1.5 (O +120 | U -155)
Josh Allen (BUF) 23.5 (O -130 | U -105) 276.5 (O -115) | U -115) 1.5 (O -230 | U +170)
Rusher Longest Rush Rushing Yards Rush + Rec Yards
Aaron Jones (GB) 13.5 (O -120 | U -110) 48.5 (O -115) | U -115) 83.5 (O -115) | U -115)
Aaron Rodgers (GB) OFF 1.5 (O -125 | U -105) OFF
AJ Dillon (GB) 9.5 (O -115) | U -115) 25.5 (O -115 | U -115) 38.5 (O -110 | U -120)
Devin Singletary (BUF) 14.5 (O -105 | U -125) 55.5 (O -130 | U +100) 79.5 (O -105 | U -125)
Josh Allen (BUF) 14.5 (O -120 | U -110) 40.5 (O -115 | U -115) OFF
Receiver Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Aaron Jones (GB) 4.5 (O +105 | U -140) 30.5 (O -110 | U -135) 14.5 (O -105 | U -130)
AJ Dillon (GB) 1.5 (O -110 | U -120) 8.5 (O -120 | U -110) OFF
Dawson Knox (BUF) 3.5 (O+140 | U -190) 31.5 (O -115 | U -115) 16.5 (O -105 | U -125)
Devin Singletary (BUF) 2.5 (O -165 | U +125) 19.5 (O -120 | U -110) 10.5 (O -130 | U -105)
Gabriel Davis (BUF) 3.5 (O -135 | U +105) 57.5 (O -115 | U -115) 24.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Isaiah McKenzie (BUF) 2.5 (O -160 | U +120) 27.5 (O -120 | U -110) 15.5 (O -105 | U -125)
Robert Tonyan (GB) 2.5 (O -165 | U +125) 26.5 (O -110 | U -120) 13.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Romeo Doubs (GB) 4.5 (O+150 | U -200) 41.5 (O -105 | U -130) 17.5 (O -125 | U -105)
Sammy Watkins (GB) 3.5 (O -155 | U +115) 38.5 (O -115 | U -115) 17.5 (O -110 | U -120)
Stefon Diggs (BUF) 6.5 (O -115 | U -115) 80.5 (O -115 | U -115) 25.5 (O -110 | U -120)

Odds as of October 30 at DraftKings Sportsbook

In the odds above, Josh Allen has the highest passing total, while Aaron Rodgers is favored to throw less than two touchdowns.

The highest rushing total goes to Devin Singletary  at 55.5 yards, and the highest receiving total is given to Buffalo’s Stefon Diggs at 80.5 yards.

Prop #1: Josh Allen Passing Yards and Gabriel Davis Receptions

Josh Allen will be, by far, the best quarterback Green Bay’s defense has played all season.

You just need to look at the stable of pivots they’ve faced and you can see why the Pack lead the NFL in passing yards allowed, surrendering just 168.9 yards per game. The list includes Taylor Heinicke, Zach Wilson, Daniel Jones, Bailey Zappe and Justin Fields.

Literally the only thing that’s slowed Allen down in the passing game is a soggy Baltimore afternoon. In non-rainstorm conditions, he’s thrown for at least 294 yards, which would get him comfortably past this total.

The Bills’ pivot, one of the favorites in the 2023 NFL MVP odds, is coming off perhaps his best performance on the year, throwing for 329 yards and three scores as Buffalo went on the road and beat the Chiefs.

And off Allen’s abilities comes Gabe Davis, who has been on fire himself. He had three catches for 74 yards and a score against the Chiefs, a week after torching Pittsburgh for 171 yards on three grabs, with two TD’s.

With Jaire Alexander likely to be matching up with Stefon Diggs, Davis should have plenty of opportunity to shine.

Picks: 

  • Allen OVER 276.5 yards passing (-115); 1 unit to win 0.87 units
  • Davis OVER 57.5 receiving yards (-115); 1 unit to win 0.87 units

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Prop #2: Aaron Rodgers Rush Yards and Aaron Jones Receptions

It was hard enough to lose Davante Adams, now Aaron Rodgers is dealing with a litany of injuries to his receiving group. Allen Lazard (shoulder) has already said he’s out Sunday, joining Randall Cobb, who was put on injured reserve with an ankle injury.  Christian Watson is also questionable as he’s dealing with a hamstring injury.

His high for passing yards in a game this season is 255, and during this three-game skid he’s gone below this total twice. So let’s jump into a category near and dear to me: puny rush yard totals.

Rodgers’ rush total is set to 1.5 yards, and it’s a bet I can’t walk away from. Rodgers has only rushed for more than two yards in a game once, running for 10 against Chicago. However, the Bills and that top-rated defense has only held a quarterback under that total once this season — when Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa and Teddy Bridgewater rushed for zero yards.

Rodgers doesn’t run like he used to, but with a dinged up receiving group, he may be looking at ways to generate offense.

And that’s why we’ve also tagged Aaron Jones for receptions, as he’s easily the  most explosive weapon the Pack have. Getting him in space is becoming tougher and tougher, as teams start stacking the box with defenders, knowing they’re not getting burned over the top.

Jones has only averaged 35 yards on the ground per game over the losing skid, and as a team the Bills give up the fewest rush yards per game.

Last week against Washington, he hauled in nine balls for 53 yards and two TD’s. It’s the first time this season Jones had gone over the reception total. Look for him to go back-to-back.

Picks:

  • Rodgers OVER 1.5 rush yards (-110); 1 unit to win 0.8 units
  • Jones OVER 4.5 receptions (+100); 1 unit to win 1 unit

Packers vs Bills Scoring Props

Player Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
Stefon Diggs (BUF) +550 -115
Aaron Jones (GB) +950 +110
Devin Singletary (BUF) +700 +115
Josh Allen (BUF) +750 +145
Gabriel Davis (BUF) +750 +130
Dawson Knox (BUF) +1100 +200
Romeo Doubs (GB) +1800 +240
Isaiah McKenzie (BUF) +1300 +240
Robert Tonyan (GB) +1800 +250
AJ Dillon (GB) +2200 +290
Sammy Watkins (GB) +2500 +340

Packers vs Bills Touchdown Scorer Odds

Thanks to our good friends at DraftKings for getting us set with scoring odds.

Wondering why Stefon Diggs is the only odd-on favorite to find paydirt? Buffalo’s ace receiver has tallied a TD against the Packers in seven straight games.

If you’re thinking of going off the board, consider Devin Singletary,  who’s scored two majors in three of the Bills’ last five games at home. Two Singletary TD’s is available at +700 odds.

For the visitors, Jones has scored at least one touchdown in seven of the Pack’s last 10 games as road ‘dogs.

We’re taking a flier on Josh Allen. He has two rushing scores this year, and he hasn’t gone more than two games without a score this season. He’s due.

Pick:

  • Allen ANYTIME TD scorer (+145); 1 unit to win 1.45 units
  • Week 7 Record: 2-1; Overall SNF props record: 11-13, -0.74 units

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