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Best NFL Parlay for the Divisional Round Playoffs

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football

Jan 20, 2023 · 1:02 PM PST

Kansas City Chiefs celebrate
Jan 7, 2023; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Kadarius Toney (19) celebrates his touchdown scored against the Las Vegas Raiders with tight end Travis Kelce (87) during the first half at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
  • We’ve created our top parlay for the NFL Playoffs in the Divisional Round
  • This parlay includes picks from three games, with moneylines, scoring props and alternative spreads in the mix
  • Read on for our best NFL parlay for this weekend below

With just four games this weekend, we’re running out of options to include in our weekly parlays and teasers article. So this week we’ll get creative in putting together our best NFL parlay for the Divisional Round Playoffs.

The Chiefs look like an obvious inclusion for any parlay. Meanwhile, it’s hard to not imagine some points from both teams in Buffalo vs Cincinnati. And finally, we’re going to play it super safe in the Cowboys versus 49ers matchup on Sunday night.

We basically broke-even last week winning our 49ers-Bills-Bengals parlay, but losing our teaser, dropping 0.04 units. Our season record for NFL parlays and teasers is 15-17, -2.72 units.

See this week’s NFL parlay odds and picks for the Divisional Round here.

NFL Divisional Round Parlay Odds

Matchup Pick (Odds)
Jaguars vs Chiefs Chiefs win (-435)
Bengals vs Bills Both score 15+ points (-300)
Cowboys vs 49ers 49ers +7.5 alt spread

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook

NFL Divisional Round Parlay Picks

This weekend’s NFL Divisional Round parlay includes a variety of picks and props from three of the four games. We’ve created this parlay at DraftKings.ย Be sure to make your Divisional Round parlays and teasers with this DraftKings Sportsbook promo code this weekend.

We’re backing a Chiefs win, points from both sides in the Bengals vs Bills matchup (you can choose from a variety of ‘both teams to score X points options) and we’ve included the 49ers at +7.5 on the alternate spread. But even +4.5, you’d get +110 odds instead of -112 if you prefer the plus-money.

Jaguars vs Chiefs

  • Pick: Chiefs win

The Jaguars pulled off a comeback for ages last week, going down 27-0 in the second quarter against the Chargers, but rebounded to win 31-30.

This will be a rematch of an earlier meeting this season in November when Kansas City won 27-17 at home. The Chiefs controlled much of the game leading 20-7 at halftime and 27-10 entering the fourth quarter. Patrick Mahomes found four different receivers for touchdowns and threw for 331 yards. Trevor Lawrence had a strong day too, throwing for 259 yards and two scores, both to Christian Kirk who finished with 105 receiving yards.

The Chiefs are 7-1 at home this season and have defeated the Jags in six-straight meetings dating back to 2010. This year, while the Chiefs have done a lot of winning straight up, against the spread they are a poor 6-10-1. I won’t risk them covering the spread in the Divisional Round parlay, but throwing them in on the moneyline looks like a play.

The Jaguars are a nice story and Lawrence and the team may well develop into a serious contender in the coming years. But the Jags topped a weak AFC South Division over three teams with losing records. Of Jacksonville’s nine wins, only three came against teams with a winning record (LAC, BAL and DAL). Overall, their opponents this season had a combined record of 66-85-2.

Bengals vs Bills

  • Pick: Both score 15+ points

It’s the second-highest scoring team this year, the Bills, 28.8 PPG, hosting the seventh-highest, Cincinnati, who score 26.0 PPG.

We didn’t get to see this matchup in full a few weeks ago, for obvious reasons, when Damar Hamlin suffered a cardiac arrest during the game. When the game was stopped, the score was 7-3 Bengals in the first quarter. It looked like that game could have featured many points.

Buffalo hasn’t failed to score at least two touchdowns all season. They’ve also never failed to score at least 17 points in a game this season.

On the Cincinnati end, only once have they failed to hit 15 points or more in a game to cash a prop like this. Once, back on Halloween, Cincy lost in Cleveland 32-13. Otherwise, 17 points is the next fewest points they’ve scored.

Last week the Bengals scored 24 but also allowed 17 to a dreadful Ravens team with backup Tyler Huntley in the Wild Card Round. Buffalo may have put up 34 points, but they nearly were upset by Skylar Thompson and the depleted Dolphins who scored 31 points of their own. Neither team will be facing a backup QB this week and I think we’ll see points from both.

Cowboys vs 49ers

  • Pick: 49ers +7.5

For the final leg of our Divisional Round parlay, we want some part of San Francisco. We keep expecting Brock Purdy to serve up a clunker, but it just hasn’t happened yet. San Fran has now won 11 games in a row and just hung 41 on Seattle last week. Purdy was 18/30 for 332 yards and three touchdowns. Christian McCaffrey combined for 136 yards rushing and receiving and Deebo Samuel had 133 yards and a score receiving.

This is a much different offense to what Dallas just saw in Tampa in the Wild Card Round.

Dak Prescott and the Cowboys dismantled the Bucs on MNF. The Bucs had a losing record (8-9), no running game and a putrid offense.

The 49ers are a different animal. They were the league’s top defense in yards allowed per game this season. They were second in rushing yards allowed and in rush yards allowed per play. San Fran also tied for a league-high 20 interceptions, something that Prescott had thrown in seven-straight games prior to playing last week.

San Fran may win outright, but it’s still Mr Irrelevant in his first playoff game. We’ll slide those points all the way across the DraftKings spread options and make the 49ers a sizeable dog in this NFL parlay.

Divisional Round NFL Parlay Picks: Chiefs win / Bengals vs Bills both score 15+ points / 49ers +7.5 (-112); risk 1.5 units


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