Best Ravens vs Buccaneers Same-Game Parlay for TNF
- Don’t miss out on this three-leg Ravens vs Buccaneers same-game parlay for tonight’s Thursday Night Football matchup that pays +370 odds
- Will Leonard Fournette fail to reach 64.5 rushing yards? Can Tom Brady go over 254.5 passing yards?
- Keep reading for our Week 8 Ravens vs Buccaneers same-game parlay picks below
How the mighty have fallen. The Buccaneers (3-4, 1-2 home) were once considered the class of the NFC. Not so much anymore. Tampa Bay has lost four of five, and are fresh off back-to-back losses to the lowly Steelers and Panthers.
Tom Brady and Co. will try and right the ship on Thursday Night Football versus Lamar Jackson and the Ravens (4-3, 2-1 away) and sharp money is on their side. Per the Ravens vs Buccaneers public betting trends, Tampa Bay was getting 1.5-points earlier in the week, but now the Buccaneers are favored by 2 points. The line move appears to be sharp as only 28% of the spread wagers are making up 45% of the ATS handle.
If the Bucs are going to be victorious in Week 8, chances are it won’t be on the strength of their dismal run game. We’re fading Leonard Fournette in our Ravens vs Buccaneers same-game parlay, so check out the picks below and the reasoning behind them.
Ravens vs Buccaneers Same-Game Parlay
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Leonard Fournette Under 64.5 Rushing Yards | -240 |
| Tom Brady Over 254.5 Passing Yards | -210 |
| Under 46.5 Total Points | -110 |
| PARLAY ODDS | +370 |
Odds as of October 27th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo code where you can get up to a 100% profit boost on any SGP in Week 8.
This Ravens-Buccaneers same-game parlay features only three legs, but still pays out +370 odds if it hits. The SGP starts with a bet against the aforementioned Fournette, as the Tampa Bay rushing attack is broken.
TNF SGP Pick #1: Leonard Fournette Under 64.5 Rushing Yards
Tampa Bay ranks dead last in expected points added (EPA) per rush. Their offensive line has been devastated by injuries as noted in the Ravens vs Buccaneers injury report, and Fournette isn’t even the team’s most efficient RB.
Fournette ranks second last in the NFL in EPA per rush and 31st in rushing success rate. He’s been held below 65 yards in five straight games, and averaged 2.4 yards per carry last week against Carolina.
Leonard Fournette has 362 rushing yards.
His expected rushing yards is at 428.3, per PPF.
That's 66.3 rushing yards below expectation.
The only RBs who have been more inefficient are Joe Mixon and Najee Harris.
— Frank Ammirante (@FAmmiranteTFJ) October 27, 2022
Rashaad White on the other hand, ranks eighth in rushing success rate and fifth in first downs per rush. It’s about time he starts eating into Fournette’s attempts.
If you want to bet on a player’s legs in this matchup, think about targeting Lamar Jackson. According to the Ravens vs Buccaneers player props, Lamar has rushed for 59 yards more than the entire Buccaneers roster.
TNF SGP Pick #2: Tom Brady Over 254.5 Passing Yards
If we’re fading the Tampa Bay run game, that means we’re going to have to lean on Brady’s arm. TB12 has been a disappointment this season, averaging only 6.6 yards per attempt, his lowest since 2002.
Tom Brady after coming out of retirement and losing his family to lose to Mitch Trubisky and PJ Walker in back to back weeks… pic.twitter.com/bzasZJ2JNx
— NFL Memes (@NFL_Memes) October 23, 2022
Nevertheless, Brady still leads the NFC in passing yards with 1,942. That’s because he’s throwing the ball a ton, in large part because Tampa Bay can’t run. Brady is averaging 45 pass attempts per outing over the last six games, clearing 270 yards in three of his past four starts.
Statistically, Baltimore rates out as a solid pass defense, but don’t forget this is the same team that let Tua Tagovailoa throw for 469 yards on them earlier this season.
As noted in the Ravens vs Buccaneers picks, Brady is 14-3 all-time on Thursday Night Football, so perhaps both he and Tampa Bay can turn their season around starting tonight.
TNF SGP Pick #3: Under 46.5 Total Points
We’ll start with the trends. The under is 16-5 in the last 21 TNF contests. Unders in prime-time games this year are 14-8, while unders in Thursday Night Football matchups in 2022 are 5-2.
Tampa Bay has failed to reach its team total six times this season, while the under is 6-1 in their seven contests.
Not to be outdone, the under has hit in four straight Baltimore games and is 5-2 in the Ravens’ seven contests.
As for the #Ravens, sources say TE Mark Andrews and WR Rashod Bateman are both hopeful they’ll be able to play tonight. Both listed as questionable. We’ll get you final word later on @NFLGameDay Kickoff live from Tampa.
— Mike Garafolo (@MikeGarafolo) October 27, 2022
Also working against a high-scoring affair on the Baltimore side is the shaky health of their two primary pass catchers. Both Mark Andrews and Rashod Bateman are true game-time decisions. If they do play, it’s fair to question how effective they’ll be. Andrews didn’t practice all week, while Bateman only got work in on Wednesday.
If they don’t play, the cupboard is bare behind them. Not making things any easier for the Ravens is the fact that they just put starting running back JK Dobbins on IR last Saturday.
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As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
