- We’ve cooked up a three-leg, +600 odds Pittsburgh vs Cleveland TNF same-game parlay
- Will Najee Harris score a TD and how many yards will Amari Copper have?
- See the picks for the Steelers vs Browns same-game parlay on TNF below
AFC North rivals clash on Thursday Night Football this week, as the Browns (1-1, 0-1 home) host the Steelers (1-1, 1-0 road). This is arguably the least exciting primetime game we’ve had so far, but we’ve got the perfect remedy to make sure your eyeballs are glued to the tv screen for all four quarters. We’re of course talking about a TNF same-game parlay,
This one is playing directly off how the odds are moving in the Steelers vs Browns public betting lines.
Steelers vs Browns TNF Same-Game Parlay Picks
|Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5||+105|
|Najee Harris Anytime TD||+150|
|Amari Cooper Over 55.5 Receiving Yards||+100|
Odds as of September 22nd DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code
This Pittsburgh vs Cleveland same-game parlay features just three legs, but still offers a juicy 6-to-1 payout. As an added bonus this week, DraftKings Sportsbook is offering a 25% profit boost for any single game parlay on their menu.
Money has come flooding in on the Steelers this week in Steelers vs Browns public betting and given their history as underdogs and the underwhelming Browns defense, it makes sense to target a positive Pittsburgh game script.
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Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5
The Steelers are currently 4 point underdogs, after opening at +5.5. You can add them to your SGP at +4.5 with -120 odds, or you can take a point less for a more favorable return.
If there’s one thing Mike Tomlin likes it’s being a ‘dog, a role he relishes even more away from home. Since 2017, his teams have covered 15 of 23 games as road underdogs, winning outright 11 times. They accomplished the feat in Week 1, upsetting Cincy on the road as 6.5-point dogs.
Under Mike Tomlin, the Steelers have been an underdog of 5 or more points 22 times. They went 14-7-1-ATS in those games including 2-0 ATS vs Cleveland.
— Joe Osborne (@JTFOz) September 20, 2022
Sure, nearly all of those contests featured Ben Roethlisberger under center and a healthy defense, but it’s not like they’re facing the 2007 Patriots tonight. Cleveland just blew a double-digit lead to Joe Flacco and the Jets in the dying minutes of Week 2, while their defense has been suspect at best through two games.
The Browns grade out as a bottom-11 defense per DVOA, ranking 24th against the pass and 20th versus the run. Even Mitch Trubisky can find success against that.
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) September 21, 2022
To make matters worse for Cleveland, defensive star Jadeveon Clowney has already been ruled out in the Steelers vs Browns injury report, and his absence will surely be felt versus Najee Harris and the Pittsburgh ground attack.
Najee Harris Anytime TD
The Steelers are short on playmakers, there’s no denying that. Their most likely path to success is to feed Harris, either on the ground or in the air.
The 2021 first round pick has seen 32 touches through two weeks, finding the end zone once. Last year he hit pay dirt 10 times, including in both matchups versus Cleveland.
Najee Harris TOSSED him with this stiff arm 💪
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) September 21, 2022
He’s not the kind of home run threat that Nick Chubb is on the other sideline, but he’s efficient when he gets the ball in scoring position. Harris saw 38 red zone touches as a rookie, converting 21% of them into touchdowns.
Amari Cooper Over 55.5 Receiving Yards
As pointed out in the Steelers vs Browns picks, Pittsburgh is 8-1-1 straight up in its last 10 games in Cleveland. If the Steelers keep this game close as we project, that will force Jacoby Brissett into more pass attempts.
When Brissett drops back this year, his eyes have been locked on Amari Cooper. The Browns’ new receiver was featured in the Steelers vs Browns props, after catching nine balls in Week 2 for 101 yards and a score. He’s seen four more targets than anyone else on the roster, and eight more looks than the third most targeted Browns pass catcher.
Amari Cooper had a 90.9 PFF grade vs the Jets — the highest grade among all offensive players in Week 2.
On 10 targets, he had 9 catches for 101 yards and a touchdown 🚀
— PFF CLE Browns (@PFF_Browns) September 19, 2022
Not only did he have a 90% reception rate last week, but his catches were going for big chunks. His average yards per reception was 11.2, which falls in line with what he’s achieved in his first eight years in the league.
The Steelers’ defense is once again imposing, but they’re certainly not impenetrable. They let Ja’Marr Chase haul in 10 catches for 129 yards in Week 1, and won’t have reigning Defensive Player of the Year TJ Watt to cause havoc off the edge.