- The Pittsburgh Steelers may be 4.5-point road underdogs to the Cleveland Browns on Week 3 TNF, but public bettors are loving the Steelers
- There’s 73% of handle and 70% of bets backing Pittsburgh in spread wagering
- See all the Steelers vs Browns public betting trends in the story below
Oddsmakers are choosing to dismiss recent outcomes between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns. Public bettors, however, have been studying up on the history of this AFC North rivalry.
In the Steelers vs Browns NFL public betting trends, there’s a significant amount of money and handle in point spread wagering anticipating that Pittsburgh will be covering as 4.5-point road underdogs to Cleveland in the Week 3 TNF game. At +160, the Steelers are also drawing the majority of the moneyline public betting splits.
There’s solid logic behind these plays. Pittsburgh is 5-1 against the spread in the last six games against Cleveland.
Steelers vs Browns Public Betting Splits
|Game||Spread||ATS Handle %||ATS Bet %||Total||O/U Handle %||O/U Bet %||Moneyline||ML Handle %||ML Bet %|
|Pittsburgh Steelers||+4.5||73%||70%||O 38.5||37%||54%||+160||6%||65%|
|Cleveland Browns||-4.5||27%||30%||U 38.5||63%||46%||-190||34%||35%|
Odds as of September 22 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get this DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code to bet on tonight’s TNF game.
Public betting on the total of 38.5 points is divided. Splits on the handle are going significantly with the under at 63%. On the other hand, betting is leaning toward the over at 54%.
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The game will be exclusively aired on Amazon Prime as part of a new partnership for Thursday Night Football with Amazon.
Pittsburgh Getting the Love In Spread Betting
Certainly, the line movement on this game is encouraging the Steelers vs Browns public betting action on the Steelers. The opening line in the NFL odds was Cleveland -3. Giving Pittsburgh an additional 1.5 points makes a good situation even more attractive.
The Steelers are drawing 73% of the spread handle in the public betting splits, as well as 70% of bets. Pittsburgh is 1-0 ATS on the road so far in the young NFL season. The Browns are 0-1 ATS at home, and on an 0-5 ATS skid as a favorite going back to last season.
Against the spread, this man is …
+ 7-15 as a favorite
+ 1-11 in division
+ 0-7 as a favorite in division
+ 0-4 against Mike Tomlin
But, yeah, let's make the Browns 4.5-point favorites against the Steelers. pic.twitter.com/iUOCnUceak
— Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) September 21, 2022
Pittsburgh was 8-10 against the spread last season. Cleveland was 7-10 against the spread in 2021. The Steelers were 4-5 ATS on the road. The Browns went 3-6 ATS as a home team. Pittsburgh was also 4-5 ATS as a road underdog last season.
Overall, Cleveland is 3-7 ATS in the past 10 games. Pittsburgh lost 17-14 at home to the New England Patriots in Week 2, failing to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. The Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. Pittsburgh is also 4-0 ATS in the last four games against AFC North opposition.
Over? Under? It’s a Tough Call
The NFL is trending under through two weeks of the season and oddsmakers are evidently taking notice. The under is 22-10 through the initial two weeks of action in NFL betting trends.
Even though the Browns were beaten 31-30 in a shootout last week by the New York Jets, the total on this game is set at a Week 3-low 38 points. This line opened at 40.5 points.
Certainly, the disarray within the Pittsburgh offense is playing a role in the reduced total. As word spread of bickering within the Pittsburgh offensive huddle during last week’s loss to the Patriots, there’s been calls for a change at QB from Mitch Trubisky to 2022 first-round draft pick and local hero Kenny Pickett. As well, murmurs that the job of Steelers offensive coordinator Matt Canada may be in jeopardy are being heard.
Steelers-Browns total is 38.5.
In the past 3 seasons, in games with totals of 38.5 or fewer points the UNDER is 7-0 per @Bet_Labs.
— John Ewing 🦁 (@johnewing) September 21, 2022
Any wonder then that public bettors can’t decide which way to go with their total wagering? There’s 63% of the total handle confident that even at a total of 38 points, the under will hit. However, 54% of the bets in the Steelers vs Browns picks are leaning toward the over as the play.
Two of the last three Steelers vs Browns games played in Cleveland have actually gone under this total. The under has hit in five of the past seven games between these two rivals. That’s something to keep in mind when playing the Steelers vs Browns player props. Last year’s game ended in a 15-10 Pittsburgh victory. At the same time, the over is 5-2 in Pittsburgh’s last seven road games.
Moneyline Betting Also Backing Steelers Over Browns
One reason for perhaps not making a change at QB for the Steelers – Trubisky is 4-0 straight up against the Browns in his career.
Mitch Trubisky is 4-0 against the AFC North in his career 👀 pic.twitter.com/75rqEnbDs1
— Steelers Hate Police (@steelers_police) September 22, 2022
Last season, the Browns were 6-2 SU as a home favorite. Pittsburgh was 3-6 SU as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh is 15-4-1 SU over the past 20 games against Cleveland. The Browns are 2-4 SU over their last six games.
Either QB Throws a Completion in
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