Best Steelers vs Dolphins Same-Game Parlay for SNF
- Check out this three-leg Steelers vs Dolphins same-game parlay for Sunday Night Football that pays +350 odds
- Can the Fins hold Najee Harris Under 54.5 Yards? Will Tua Tagovailoa exceed 249.5 passing yards?
- Don’t miss our Week 7 Steelers vs Dolphins same-game parlay picks below
Tua Tagovailoa is back. The Dolphins’ (3-3, 2-1 home) starting QB returns to the field tonight on Sunday Night Football against the Steelers (2-4, 1-2 away) after Miami went winless in his absence.
We’re looking target Tagovailoa in his first game back as he had the Miami offense cooking before going down. We’ll get to him shortly, but first we’ll kickoff our Steelers vs Dolphins same-game parlay with a pair of selections from the Pittsburgh side.
Check out the picks below, and then keep reading for the thought process behind each selection.
Steelers vs Dolphins Same-Game Parlay
Pick | Odds |
---|---|
Najee Harris Under 54.5 Rushing Yards | -195 |
Kenny Pickett Over 219.5 Passing Yards | -125 |
Tua Tagovailoa Over 249.5 Passing Yards | -110 |
PARLAY ODDS | +350 |
Odds as of October 23rd at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo code where you can get up to a 100% profit boost on any SGP in Week 7.
This Steelers-Dolphins same-game parlay features only three legs, but still pays out +350 odds if it hits. The SGP starts with a bet against Najee Harris on the ground, as Miami is much more vulnerable through the air.
PIT vs MIA SGP Pick #1: Najee Harris Under 54.5 Rushing Yards
Pittsburgh will enter play as a 7.5-point underdog, and the majority of bettors in the Steelers vs Dolphins public betting splits expect this matchup go to in Miami’s favor. If that’s the case, Pittsburgh will likely be forced to abandon the run game earlier than they’d like, but even if they can keep it close, they’d be wise to lean on a pass-heavy script.
For one, the Dolphins run defense is incredibly strong, while their pass D is weak. Miami ranks seventh per DVOA against the run, but 31st versus the pass.
Dynasty values change quickly…
* Breece Hall is the new dynasty RB1.
* Kenneth Walker now locked in as a top-10 RB, but maybe as high as 6 or 7.
* Najee Harris may not even be a top-20 RB.— Ryan McDowell (@RyanMc23) October 17, 2022
Harris, meanwhile, has looked like he’s been running in quicksand all season. He’s showed little burst and is averaging only 3.2 yards per carry, which ranks 50th among all running backs.
Harris has reached 50 rushing yards in only two of six games this season, one of which came against Cleveland’s 30th ranked run defense.
PIT vs MIA SGP Pick #2: Kenny Pickett Over 219.5 Passing Yards
There was worry in the Steelers vs Dolphins injury report that Pickett wouldn’t be ready for this game, but after clearing concussion protocol he’s good to go. The rookie has looked good when he’s been on the field, throwing for over 300 yards in the only game he started and finished.
Kenny Pickett has a 95.4 percent catchable pass rate which ranks 1st amongst the entire NFL 😏 pic.twitter.com/TzEaD6gw3o
— CJ 🌞 (@chrisburgh) October 14, 2022
Last week, he got off to a fast start against the Bucs, completing 61% of his passes with a touchdown versus a very good defense before leaving with a head injury. Now, he’ll face a Miami secondary that has yielded the seventh most passing yards per game. He’s a great value in the Steelers vs Dolphins player props to exceed his passing yards over/under and has no shortage of weapons to choose from.
Not many teams boast a three receiver set more talented than Diontae Johnson, Chase Claypool and George Pickens. In a game where Pittsburgh should be playing from behind, expect a big night from Pickett.
Steeler vs Dolphins SGP Pick #3: Tua Tagovailoa Over 249.5 Passing Yards
Sticking with passing volume, Tagovailoa’s arm was one of the main reasons the Dolphins led the NFL in points per drive prior to his injury. His first game back profiles as a favorable matchup, as the Steelers are coughing up the third most passing yards in the league per game.
He’s got the league’s leading receiver in Tyreek Hill at his disposal, as well as Jaylen Waddle, his former Alabama teammate, who’s recorded the fifth most receiving yards.
https://twitter.com/SkiMaskSzn/status/1583915076855005184
Tagovailoa has averaged over 300 yards in the three games he’s started and finished this season, and is poised for another big night in his return. As pointed out in the Steelers vs Dolphins picks, Miami scored 76 points in their first 10 quarters this season, but only 48 points total in the three games that Tagovailoa sat.
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