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Buccaneers vs Panthers Thursday Night Football Picks & Odds – Winston Has Lost 12 Straight on the Road

Jameis Winston dropping back to pass.
As the Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to Carolina to take on the Panthers, Bucs quarterback Jmeis Winston has lost 12 straight road games. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr) [CC License]
  • The Buccaneers are seven-point underdogs on Thursday against the Panthers
  • Tampa Bay is 1-5 straight up in its last six games at Carolina
  • Tampa Bay quarterback Jameis Winston has lost 12 straight road games

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers found that the launching of the Bruce Arians era resembled the closure of the Dirk Koetter era.

The Bucs were humbled 31-17 at home against the San Francisco 49ers in their season opener. As they hit the road to face the Carolina Panthers on Thursday Night Football (Sep. 12th, 8:25 PM ET), things don’t figure to get better for Tampa Bay.

The Panthers have won five of the last six head-to-head at home, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers odds heavily favor Carolina making it six of seven.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under at GTbets*
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +255 +7 (-105) Over 49.0 (-109)
Carolina Panthers -305 -7 (+101) Under 49.0 (-109)

*Odds taken 09/12/19.

A Dirty Dozen

It’s good to know, in this ever-changing world, there are some things that you can always count on. Jameis Winston being a bad quarterback is one of those things.

The Buccaneers quarterback arrives in Carolina with 12 successive road losses on his resume.

In case you missed it last week, the Bucs lost by two touchdowns and Winston tossed a pair of pick-sixes. He completed more passes that concluded in a TD for the Niners than his own team (one).

This is the Winston version of being a difference maker.

In his fifth NFL season, Winston is still making ill-advised decisions when under pressure, choices that generally lead to another Tampa Bay loss. He’s 21-35 as an NFL starter and last Sunday’s three-pick day was the 18th multi-interception game of his career. That’s an NFL-worst since Winston entered the league in 2015.

Winston has been intercepted 61 times. That’s more than any QB in the league over the span of his career. His interception rate is 3.12%. The only current starting QB with a worse career ratio than him is Miami’s Ryan Fitzpatrick (3.42%).

You’ll remember that Fitz was the guy who briefly took Winston’s starting job last season.

About The Buccaneers

The underdog is 5-1 against the spread in the last six Buccaneers-Panthers games. Tampa Bay is 3-0-1 ATS the last four times it’s been an underdog of 6.5 points or more. But the Bucs are 1-6 straight up and 3-4 ATS when Winston is intercepted at least three times.

Tampa Bay is 5-14 ATS the last 19 times the Bucs played in prime time. They’re are also 4-8 ATS in their last 12 against the Panthers and 0-7 SU in their last seven road games.

About The Panthers

Carolina did a dandy job of shutting down Bucs wideout Mike Evans last season. He caught 86 balls for 1,524 yards overall (17.7 yards per catch). In two games against the Panthers, Evans caught five passes for 64 yards (12.8 ypc).

The Panthers are 1-4 SU in their last five home games but 5-1 SU in their last five at home against Tampa Bay.  They are 1-6 ATS the last seven times they played as a favorite.

The Buccaneers Are Stopped Here

Both teams showed the ability to run the ball during Week 1. That likely leads to the clock moving faster, which should make the under a solid play in this game.

Were it not for two first-half fumbles and a missed field, the Panthers might’ve upset the defending NFC champion Los Angeles Rams last week.

Last season, favorites were 11-4-1 ATS on Thursday nights. No surprise there. The better team does better during a short week.

Take the Panthers, lay the points and go with the under.

Picks: Carolina moneyline (-305);  Carolina -7 (+101); Under 49 (-109)

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