- The Kansas City Chiefs clash with the Chicago Bears on Sunday Night Football (8:20pm ET, Dec. 22)
- KC is a 6-point road favorite, and is drawing 76% of the betting handle
- Chicago is receiving 65% of the sharp action – read below for our betting prediction
The Chicago Bears will be looking to play spoiler in Week 16 as they host the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football (8:20pm ET, Dec. 22). Chicago was eliminated from playoff contention last week, while KC is still in the hunt for a first round bye. The Chiefs opened as a 4.5-point favorite, but money has been pouring in on them all week, and the line is now up to KC -6.
Chiefs vs Bears Odds & Betting Handle
|Kansas City Chiefs||-6.0 (-115)||76.0%|
|Chicago Bears||+6.0 (-105)||24.0%|
All odds taken Dec. 21
According to sportsbooks, 76% of the money is on the Chiefs, as is 89% of the betting tickets. The professionals are on the opposite side however, as 65% of the sharp action is backing the Bears.
KC is 9-5 ATS this season, and has covered in each of its last four outings. They’re 5-2 ATS on the road, and have outscored their opponents 110-45 during a four-game winning streak.
Flipping the Switch
When you think Kansas City, you think offense, but lately it’s the defense that’s been turning heads. The Chiefs are fresh off holding the Broncos to just 251 yards and three points in Week 15.
Where are all those " the Chiefs defense sucks" people?? pic.twitter.com/Td4Vu6wP3V
— Bishoff 😏👑 (@MattBishoff) December 16, 2019
They’re allowing just 11.25 points per outing during their four-game winning streak, and they’ve held opponents to 4.3 yards per play since Week 12. During that stretch, they’ve racked up seven sacks, forced three turnovers and limited enemy rushing attacks to below 90 yards per game. That spells bad news for Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears, who’ve committed six turnovers in their last three games, including three last week versus Green Bay.
Trubisky completed 29-of-53 passes for 334 yards versus the Packers, but was picked off twice for the second time in four games. Chicago is now just 2-5 versus teams in playoff contention in 2019 and 4-12 in three seasons when Trubisky throws 33 times or more.
Mitchell Trubisky threw at least a half-dozen passes that should have been intercepted today. Probably more
— Zach Kruse (@zachkruse2) December 15, 2019
On the other side of the ball, Chicago’s once feared defense has been surprisingly beatable this season. They’ve allowed a 100-yard receiver in three straight weeks, and they rank bottom-10 in sacks. Only two teams allow more receptions to tight ends, and seeing how KC features arguably the best wide receiver-tight end duo in the league, the Bears are going to have their hands full.
Pay Close Attention to the Pregame Line Move
On paper, the Chiefs should absolutely smash this Chicago team, but the sharps are on the Bears for a reason. Prior to their loss at Green Bay, Chicago impressed with outright wins over the Cowboys, Lions and Giants. They’re 2-0 as a home underdog in 2019 and this could be a let down spot for KC.
I wouldn’t rush out to bet the Bears at +6, but if the line moves to +7 they could be worth a sprinkle. As it stands, the juice is weighted towards the Chiefs side which suggests the point spread could move in their favor. KC is a very public team, and once all the afternoon NFL action is complete, you can expect even more money to come in the Chiefs. If you like the Bears wait until just before game time to see if you can get a favorable number.
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