Commanders vs Eagles Props – Best Player Prop Bets for Monday Night Football Week 10
- Check out the Commanders vs Eagles player props ahead of their Week 10 matchup on Monday Night Football (Nov. 14)
- Can Philadelphia hold Logan Thomas under 17.5 Receiving Yards? Will Taylor Heinicke fail to reach 21 completions?
- See below for all the odds for the Commanders vs Eagles player props, plus our best bets
They say you save the best for last. That’s the case in Week 10 of the NFL season as the last remaining undefeated team won’t suit up until Monday Night Football.
The undefeated Eagles (8-0, 4-0 home) have already beaten division rival Washington (4-5, 2-2 away) once, and will look for the season sweep tonight in their own stadium. If they do so, which players should we target in our Commanders vs Eagles props?
Philadelphia boasts one of the best defenses in the NFL, and are expected to dominate the Commanders’ offense just like they did in Week 3. The Eagles trounced Washington 24-8 in that matchup, and we’re looking to fade Taylor Heinicke and Co. in the Commanders vs Eagles picks.
Commanders vs Eagles Player Props
| Quarterbacks | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Heinicke (WAS) | 20.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 214.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) | 0.5 (Ov -275 | Un +200) |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | 19.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 243.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) |
| Running Backs | Attempts | Rush Yards | Rush + Rec Yards |
| Antonio Gibson (WAS) | 9.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) | 34.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 63.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Brian Robinson Jr. (WAS) | OFF | 33.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 42.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Miles Sanders (PHI) | OFF | 68.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | OFF |
| Wide Receivers + Tight Ends | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
| Curtis Samuel (WAS) | 4.5 (Ov +120 | Un -160) | 42.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
| Jahan Dotson (WAS) | OFF | 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 14.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) |
| Terry McLaurin (WAS) | 4.5 (Ov +125 | Un -170) | 52.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Logan Thomas (WAS) | 2.5 (Ov +145 | Un -190) | 17.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 11.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
| AJ Brown (PHI) | 5.5 (Ov +125 | Un -170) | 71.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 26.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| DeVonta Smith (PHI) | 4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145) | 53.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Dallas Goedert (PHI) | 4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) | 47.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 19.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) |
Odds as of November 14 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo code to bet on your MNF player props in Week 10.
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Heinicke has an over/under passing yards prop of 214.5, which is 29 yards less than opposing QB Jalen Hurts. We’ll break down why we’re so bearish on Heinicke shortly, but first our Commanders vs Eagles player props card starts with a bet against Washington tight end Logan Thomas.
MNF Prop #1: Logan Thomas Under 17.5 Receiving Yards
First off, the volume just hasn’t been there for Thomas this season. He’s averaging less than three catches per game, and only 8.2 yards per reception. He’s failed to reach 18 receiving yards in two of his last three games, and didn’t record a catch in his lone outing playing alongside Heinicke last week.
Logan Thomas Stats – Last 3 Games
| REC | TGTS | YDS |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | 3 | 5 |
The matchup is difficult and one he already failed in earlier this season. In Week 3, Thomas caught just two passes versus Philly for 5 yards. The Eagles enter play with the league’s second best pass defense per DVOA, and have allowed the eighth fewest receiving yards to enemy tight ends this year.
Prop Pick: Logan Thomas Under 17.5 Receiving Yards (-115), 1 unit
MNF Prop #2: Taylor Heinicke Under 20.5 Completions
Not only does Philly rank second against the pass per DVOA, but they allow just 177.6 passing yards per game. They grade out fifth in coverage, boast the ninth best pressure rate, and in general just make life miserable for opposing QBs.
When they faced Washington earlier this season, they sacked Carson Wentz nine times and held him to a 13.7 QBR.
Heinicke meanwhile, completed just 15 passes last week versus Minnesota, and has been held below 21 completions in two of his three starts.
If the Commanders want to win on Monday, they need to look to how the Panthers won tonight. 17 passes to 47 runs. Keep the ball away from Philadelphia, and don't put the game in Taylor Heinicke's hands.
— UnPhiltered (@PhilCredible) November 11, 2022
Washington would be better off trying to run the ball for as long as they can for a pair of reasons. One, it will keep Philly’s vaunted offense off the field, and two, the Eagles rank 27th versus the run per DVOA.
Prop Pick: Taylor Heinicke Under 20.5 Completions (-125), 1 unit
Commanders vs Eagles TD Props
| Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Sanders (PHI) | +500 | -120 |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | +550 | -110 |
| A.J. Brown (PHI) | +600 | +110 |
| DeVonta Smith (PHI) | +900 | +175 |
| Dallas Goedert (PHI) | +950 | +185 |
| Terry McLaurin (WAS) | +1400 | +210 |
| Brian Robinson Jr. (WAS) | +1500 | +215 |
| Antonio Gibson (WAS) | +1500 | +230 |
| Jahan Dotson (WAS) | +1700 | +255 |
| Curtis Samuel (WAS) | +2500 | +380 |
| Kenneth Gainwell (PHI) | +2500 | +425 |
| Eagles Defense | +2500 | +450 |
| Quez Watkins (PHI) | +2800 | +600 |
| Boston Scott (PHI) | +2800 | +600 |
| Logan Thomas (WAS) | +3000 | +500 |
| Taylor Heinicke (WAS) | +4500 | +750 |
| Commanders Defense | +4500 | +900 |
The Eagles are 11-point favorites on MNF, so it makes sense that Miles Sanders and Hurts have the two shortest price tags to score a touchdown in the Commanders vs Eagles player props. However, we’re going to target one of their teammates to find the end zone instead.
MNF Prop #3: Dallas Goedert Anytime TD
That would be Dallas Goedert, who’s seen a ton of volume recently. Goedert has hauled in 14 catches in the past two weeks alone, including a touchdown in Week 9 versus Houston.
Dallas Goedert deserves to be in the conversation as one of the best TEs in the NFL#FlyEaglesFly pic.twitter.com/8q6pq5swJ5
— JAKIB Sports (@JAKIBSports) November 9, 2022
He’s seen at least six targets six straight games and caught a TD when these two teams first met back in September. The 27-year-old torched Washington last season for 13 catches and over 200 receiving yards in their two meetings, and I’m betting he puts up another big game on MNF and finds the end zone as well.
Prop Pick: Dallas Goedert Anytime TD (+185), 1 unit
Week 10 Player Props Record: 4-0, +4.04 units
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As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
