Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Odds, Lines, Picks and Predictions for Monday Night Football Week 10
By Bryan Thiel in NFL Football
Updated: September 19, 2024 at 9:34 am EDTPublished:
- The NFC East closes out Week 10 as the Commanders try to knock the Eagles from the ranks of the unbeaten
- 2022 record: 6-8, -2.47 units; Monday Night Football record: 3-5, -2.2 units
- See the Commanders vs Eagles odds ahead of kickoff on Monday night
The Philadelphia Eagles continue to cruise along this season, entering Week 10 at 8-0.
Next up, the Washington Commanders who, at 4-5, still have a shot at a Wild Card spot in the NFC.
This classic NFC East matchup wraps up Week 10 from Lincoln Financial Field. Kick off is slated for 8:15 pm ET, on what should be a cool, clear night in Philly.
Commanders vs Eagles Odds
Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Washington Commanders | +410 | +11.0 (-109) | Ov 43.5 (-114) |
Philadelphia Eagles | -590 | -11.0 (-112) | Un 44.5 (-107) |
Odds as of November 13th. Be sure to check out the ESPN BET promo code ahead of kickoff on Monday.
It’s no surprise that the Eagles open up as home favorites for Monday Night Football. It may be a little surprising that they’re favored as heavily as they are. Yes the Commanders are under .500, but it’s a divisional game, and the last time they lost a game by double digits was Week 4 against Dallas.
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Philly did win the first round 24-8 though.
For what it’s worth, NFL public betting trends indicate that others may not be feeling a high spread either. The Commanders are seeing over 66% of the money when it comes to covering, but over 85% of bettors think the Eagles move to 9-0.
Commanders vs Eagles Injury Report
There are troublesome injuries for the Commanders on both sides of the ball. JD McKissic’s neck injury will have him sidelined again, while Andrew Norwell and Tyler Larsen are question marks.
Defensively they’re beaten up at the linebacker level with both David Mayo and Cole Holcomb out with lower body injuries.
Week 10 Injury Report
Commanders | Injury, Status | Eagles | Injury, Status |
---|---|---|---|
Cole Holcomb, LB | Foot, OUT | Josh Jobe, CB | Hamstring, OUT |
David Mayo, LB | Hamstring, OUT | Â Avonte Maddox, CB | Hamstring, OUT |
JD McKissic, RB | Neck, OUT | N/A | N/A |
Tyler Larsen, C | Back, Questionable | N/A | N/A |
Andrew Norwell, G | Groin, Questionable | N/A | N/A |
Philly’s injuries are more taxing to their depth rather than their front line, but they’re limited in scope.
With the injuries to Josiah Scott (off report), Jobe and Maddox the spotlight will only shine brighter if something happens to Darius Slay or James Bradberry.
Commanders vs Eagles Recent History
The Commanders and Eagles will be doing battle for the 177th time, with Washington holding the edge (87-83-6).
Since 2017 it’s the Eagles who have had the upper hand though. Philadelphia has lost just twice in 11 games, and have won three in a row.
Commanders vs Eagles: Last Five Games
Date | Away Team | Home Team | Final Score | Line | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sept 13, 2020 | Philadelphia Eagles | Washington Commanders | WSH 27-17 | PHI -5.5 | 41.5 (Over) |
Jan 3, 2021 | Washington Commanders | Philadelphia Eagles | WSH 20-14 | WSH -6.5 | 44.0 (Under) |
Dec 21, 2021 | Washington Commanders | Philadelphia Eagles | WSH 20-14 | PHI -6.5 | 42.0 (Over) |
Jan 2, 2022 | Philadelphia Eagles | Washington Commanders | PHI 20-16 | PHI -4.5 | 44.5 (Under) |
Sept 25, 2022 | Philadelphia Eagles | Washington Commanders | PHI 24-8 | PHI -5.5 | 48.5 (Under) |
You could probably call that Week 3 matchup the ‘Carson Wentz revenge game that never was.’ The former Eagles QB went 25-for-43 that day, managing just 211 yards and absorbing nine sacks. Antonio Gibson was the leading rusher for Washington with 38 yards, and outside of Terry McLaurin (6/102), nothing much happened on offense.
Early Eagles-Commanders Week 10 line is Eagles (-10.5). If that holds, it would be the third straight week the Eagles are double-digit favorites.
— Jimmy Kempski (@JimmyKempski) November 7, 2022
Jalen Hurts navigated the Washington defense fairly flawlessly. He went 22-for-35 for 340 yards and three TDs. While recent weeks have featured AJ Brown as his top target, that day it was DeVonta Smith. Smith popped off for an 8/169/1 line, with the only Eagles misstep being a fourth-quarter safety.
Heinicke Leading Washington Offense
While some of the numbers are strikingly similar between Wentz and Taylor Heinicke, the results have been different.
The two QBs have a 1.7/1.0 touchdown to interception ratio. Wentz averages 248 yards per game to Heinicke’s 209, but Heinicke carries the higher QB rating. The Commanders also play better with him under center.
Taylor Heinicke has been pressured on a higher % of dropbacks than Wentz (48% vs 34%) but he converts them into sacks much less frequently (11.7% vs 25.8%).
Heinicke invites pressure but avoids sacks. The #Eagles pass rush will impact the game, but don't count on 9 sacks again. pic.twitter.com/ayfzZAZOrd
— Shane Haff (@ShaneHaffNFL) November 9, 2022
Washington is 2-4 with Wentz, with a Week 1 win over Jacksonville and that ugly Thursday nighter against Chicago serving as the victories.
But over the last three years, even though the results haven’t been mind-blowing, it seems like this Washington team responds better to Heinicke. And this season is no exception.
Commanders vs Eagles Pick
With how long the odds are, projecting a Commanders win would be very bold. They’re the biggest underdog of Week 10 by a long shot.
But could they end up covering?
Heinicke is 2-1 as the Commanders starting QB this season, and while his numbers won’t wow you, he’s had Washington in every game.
Does Washington have what it takes to hand Philadelphia their first loss? Probably not. But can they cover the 11? If their recent run is any indication they probably can.
The Pick: Commanders +11.0 (-109); 1 unit
Sports Writer
Bryan has spent the last decade working in the sports industry. From the sidelines in the OHL and Rugby League to behind the scenes at TSN, Bryan has a wealth of experience with a soft spot for props and parlays.