Winners & Losers in Super Bowl Odds After Sunday of Week 10
- Vikings win showdown over Bills, improve Super Bowl odds to +1200
- Dolphins continue torrid offensive pace, climb to +1600 title odds
- Read below for analysis on teams who saw their Super Bowl stocks rise and fall
We’re officially into the second half of the NFL season, and it still feels like there’s plenty of figuring out to do.
Even with their much needed signature win, the Minnesota Vikings and their 8-1 record — second only to the 8-0 Philadelphia Eagles — still comes with a question mark, because of the way they won a wild 33-30 OT decision in Buffalo.
Perhaps we were writing off Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers too early, as they both engineered much needed wins to keep their clubs in the picture.
Let’s run down some of the winners and losers in 2023 Super Bowl odds for Week 10.
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Super Bowl Odds Improved
Honorable mention here to the Buccaneers, who jumped back into the top 10 with a 21-16 win over the Seahawks in Germany. Entering the week with +1950 odds, they’re solid at +1600.
Minnesota Vikings
- Previous SB odds: +1500; Current: +1200
Much was made about Minnesota beating up on weaker opposition, but they went toe-to-toe with the Super Bowl favorites, and overcame a 17-point deficit to win a wild one on the road.
Still, it’s hard to feel like Buffalo didn’t give this away. After a fourth down stop late in the fourth quarter, Josh Allen fumbled a snap around their goal line, leading to a Minnesota scoop and score.
Allen also threw two interceptions, including the game-clincher in OT.
Justin Jefferson with the 1st TD (+650) and the fake hamstring celly 😂pic.twitter.com/TJhh5DbZvp
— Caesars Sportsbook & Casino (@CaesarsSports) November 13, 2022
That didn’t mean the Vikes didn’t show up. Justin Jefferson is among the best in the biz, and he torched Buffalo’s compromised secondary, with 10 catches for 193 yards and a touchdown. That alone would be enough to put Minny in position to win, but Dalvin Cook was also huge, ripping off an 81-yard TD run to keep the Vikes in the game. He finished with 119 yards rushing on 14 carries.
Kirk Cousins, will, always and forever, be the question mark for this team being a serious contender. He threw for 357 yards on Sunday, with one touchdown and two interceptions.
Miami Dolphins
- Previous SB odds: +2200; Current: +1500
This has to be the most frightening team to have to scheme against. The Dolphins and that breakneck offense did a number on the Browns in a 39-17 thumping, and the box score looks downright ordinary.
Tua Tagovailoa threw for 285 yards and three scores, while five different players had at least four receptions, and seven different players had between 22-66 passing yards.
Their run game starred in this one, with Jeff Wilson Jr ringing up 119 yards on 17 carries and a TD, while Raheem Mostert chipped in with 8 rushes for 65 yards and a score.
Miami has won four straight and have averaged 35 points a game over their last three. Interested to see how they fare down the stretch, as five of their final seven opponents .500 or better records. I still think they’re a god bet, but you might want to hold for longer odds.
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Tennessee Titans
- Previous SB odds: +4100; Current: +3500
Oddsmakers have kept last year’s top seed in the AFC at arms length from the rest of the Super Bowl favorites — so why does a +3500 sprinkle wager seem so enticing?
Perhaps it’s because the Titans’ program remains consistent, even if their roster has lost star power.
Sunday’s 17-10 win over the Broncos wasn’t anything spectacular, but they did show they could win even with Derrick Henry not going nuclear. Henry had just 53 yards rushing on 19 carries in Week 10.
Ryan Tannehill returned from illness and threw for 255 yards and a pair of scores, while the Titans’ defense sacked Russell Wilson six times, while piling up 18 QB hits and intercepting him once.
Super Bowl Odds Worsened
Let’s focus on a pair of NFC West teams who took L’s Sunday — though they’re trending in wildly different directions.
Los Angeles Rams
- Previous SB odds: +5000; Current: +8000
Forget about repeating as Super Bowl champs, the Rams might finish last in the NFC West, after dropping a 27-17 decision to the Arizona Cardinals.
Matthew Stafford missed this one with a concussion, while Cooper Kupp had to leave the game with an ankle injury.
Cooper Kupp was taken to the locker room after an ankle injury.
He's doubtful to return.
(via @NFLonFOX)pic.twitter.com/Ei9jjTs1ZB
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) November 13, 2022
LA has no running game — they had just 66 yards rushing on 20 carries — and their offense is desperate for any other meaningful contributor other than Kupp. At 3-6, it’s going to take an extreme turnaround for the Rams to find their way into the playoff chase.
Seattle Seahawks
- Previous SB odds: +3450; Current: +5000
It feels like Seattle missed a great chance to climb into the top 10 of Super Bowl favorites in a 21-16 loss to the struggling Bucs.
This one isn’t on Geno Smith, though he started out slowly before finishing 23-for-33 for 275 yards and two scores.
Seattle couldn’t get the run game going, with Kenneth Walker III limited to just 17 yards on 10 carries. As a team, Seattle rushed just 14 times for 39 yards. To be fair, abandoning the run was pretty necessary as the ‘Hawks fell behind 21-3.
Conversely, their defense allowed the Buccaneers and their NFL-worst run game to break out. Rachaad White had 22 carries for 105 yards, while Leonard Fournette had 57 yards and a TD.
The jury is still out on the Seahawks, but a soft schedule down the home stretch — they play just two teams with current winning records — should have them closer to the top 10 than they are now.
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Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
