- The Dallas Cowboys take on the New York Giants on Monday Night Football of Week 9
- Seven-time Pro Bowl center Nick Mangold went 1-1 on his Week 8 props, bringing his record on prop bets to 10-6 (+2.90 units); he’s 14-11 overall (+2.61 units)
- Get Mangold’s best player props to bet for tonight’s game below
Another so-so performance in Week 8 brings my record on props this season to 10-6. I was all over James Conner’s big performance, but my guy Ryan Fitzpatrick didn’t put up as many yards through the air as I expected.
This week we see the Dallas Cowboys take on the New York Giants on Monday night, with the Cowboys listed as 6.5-point favorites. Here’s the two props I’m playing tonight:
Prop #1: Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards
|Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards||Odds|
All odds taken November 4
In the three games the Cowboys have lost this season, Ezekiel Elliott has averaged just 67.3 rushing yards. In two of those games, he carried the ball fewer than 19 times. Outside of Week 1, when Zeke split carries with Tony Pollard, Elliott has carried the ball at least 19 times.
The formula for Dallas winning is simple: establish the ground game with their elite RB.
The Giants rank 23rd against the run this season, and have allowed an average of 135 rushing yards per game over their last four. Elliott ran for 53 yards on 13 carries against New York in their first meeting this season – that Week 1 meeting I referred to earlier.
Prepare yourself for a heavy dose of the fourth-year back tonight.
The over/under on Elliott’s rushing yards is set at 93.5, but the over comes with -149 odds. So I’ve used their quick picks option to go with 104+ yards on the ground – a total he has surpassed in each of his last two.
Prop #2: Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
|Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards||Odds|
In Week 1, Saquon Barkley ran all over the Cowboys to the tune of 120 yards on just 11 carries. New York’s coaching staff was roasted afterwards for not giving their best player more than 11 carries.
That hasn’t been the case since, though. Outside of the Week 3 game against the Bucs, where Barkley left the game early with an ankle injury, the Giants RB has seen at least 18 carries in his other three games this season.
I expect he’ll see a similar workload tonight, and is bound to break one or two big ones against a Dallas defense that’s allowing 4.2 yards per carry, and has given up 115+ rushing yards in four of seven games this season.
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