Crosby vs Hendrickson H2H Sacks – Odds & Pick for 2026
By Chris Amberley in NFL News
Published:
- You can bet on who will have more sacks in 2026 between Maxx Crosby and Trey Hendrickson
- The Ravens pulled out of a trade with the Raiders for Crosby, and signed Hendrickson instead
- See the Crosby vs Hendrickson H2H sacks odds and pick for 2026
The NFL world is still buzzing about the Ravens decision to back out of the Maxx Crosby trade and sign Trey Hendrickson instead. Both players are coming off injuries, but ultimately Baltimore felt better about Hendrickson’s immediate health and his ability to be a game wrecker in 2026.
Apparently online sportsbooks feel the same way. Hendrickson is favored to record more sacks than Crosby in 2026 in the latest NFL futures market released by DraftKings.
Keep reading to see the Crosby vs Hendrickson H2H sacks odds, plus my favorite pick for the 2026 season.
Crosby vs Hendrickson H2H Sacks Odds
Hendrickson opened as a -140 favorite, with Crosby coming back as a +110 underdog. Crosby, who’s reportedly committed to returning to Las Vegas, had 6 more sacks than Hendrickson last season, but wound playing in eight more games.
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Crosby vs Hendrickson H2H Pick
- Trey Hendrickson -140 (DraftKings)
Hendrickson may have been on the field less than Crosby in 2025, but he did finish with a higher pressure rate. In fact, Hendrickson has posted a higher pressure rate than Crosby in four straight seasons, recording 13 more sacks over the course of the 2023 and 2024 campaigns.
I would contest that Crosby is a better player than Hendrickson and a more likely NFL DPOY odds contender, due to the amount of snaps he plays and his ability to stop the run, but that’s not what I’m betting. I’m wagering on Hendrickson to record more sacks, which I believe is a slam dunk for a few reasons.
Let’s start with the advanced numbers. Hendrickson has earned a 90.0+ pass rush grade at PFF in three straight seasons, with a pass rush win rate of 20% or higher each year. Crosby on the other hand, has topped a PFF pass rush grade of 85.0 just once in his career, and hasn’t posted a pass rush win rate of at least 20% since 2023.
Crosby vs Hendrickson PFF Pass Rush Grade – Last 3 seasons
The talent around Hendrickson is also greater, boosting his sack total ceiling. Baltimore’s NFL win totals is much higher than Las Vegas’, and Hendrickson will be surrounded by talented pass rushers Nnamdi Madubuike and Mike Green. Those two have to be accounted for by opposing defenses, and will take at least some of the attention away from Hendrickson on pure passing downs.
Crosby meanwhile, saw his Raiders spend a ton of money in free agency, but that hardly made a dent in their Super Bowl odds. The only pass rusher Las Vegas added in attempt to bolster a defense than ranked bottom-six in pressure rate was Kwity Paye, and he’s fresh off an underwhelming 4 sack campaign.
Then there’s the injury history. There are no concerns about Hendrickson coming off his hip surgery, while there were enough red flags with Crosby’s medicals to prompt the Ravens to back out of their trade. If those concerns are valid, Crosby is likely at a higher risk or re-injury, which makes him more likely not to play a full 17 games.
Another reason Crosby could wind up short of a full season, is if the Raiders have a repeat of 2025. Las Vegas sat Crosby down later in the year, along with other starters, in effort to lock up a top draft pick. Given the Raiders have some of the longest NFL odds to make the playoffs, a repeat of that strategy is in play.
Baltimore on the other hand, has Super Bowl aspirations, and are one of the biggest NFL division odds favorites. Their defense significantly underachieved in 2025 in sacks and pressure rate, and they’re going to need Hendrickson on the field as much as possible to fix those issues.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.