- After topping 180 rushing yards in three straight games, Derrick Henry is favored to lead all rushers on Conference Championship Weekend
- Tennessee Titans star led the NFL with 1,540 rushing yards during the regular season
- Green Bay’s Aaron Jones closely trails Henry in the odds, but faces a dramatically improved San Francisco defense this weekend
After becoming the first player in NFL history to rack up over 180 rushing yards in three straight games with a spectacular 195-yard performance this past weekend, Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry has emerged as a heavy favorite to lead all rushers on Conference Championship Weekend, sporting short -110 odds in the NFL specials.
Odds on Most Rushing Yards on Conference Championship Weekend
Odds taken on January 13, 2020
Henry Steadily Paying Out During Epic Run
Henry paid out as a strong +150 favorite to rack up the most rushing yards on Divisional Playoff Weekend while leading the Ravens to a stunning 28-12 upset victory over the Super Bowl favorite Baltimore Ravens. That performance extends an impressive stretch by Henry, who enjoyed a breakout in the second half of the campaign that made him this season’s rushing yards leader while propelling the Titans into the playoffs for the second time in three years.
🔷 182 rush yards vs. the Patriots
🔷 195 rush yards vs. the Ravens
Derrick Henry put up the most rush yards in 2-game span in the postseason in NFL history 🔥 pic.twitter.com/Uf2LhYT1RB
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) January 12, 2020
The 26-year-old has now topped 100 yards in seven of his past eight outings and has found a higher gear in the postseason that has lifted him among the favorites in the Super Bowl MVP odds. Henry piled up 182 rushing yards and one touchdown in Tennessee’s 20-13 upset of the New England Patriots on Wild Card Weekend, to pay out as a +150 favorite in the odds to record the most rushing yards. That is almost double the yardage amassed by Minnesota’s Dalvin Cook, who finished a distant second on the weekend with 92 rushing yards while listed as strong +250 bet.
Henry piled up 182 rushing yards and one touchdown in Tennessee’s 20-13 upset of the New England Patriots on Wild Card Weekend, to pay out as a +150 favorite in the odds to record the most rushing yards.
Cook joined Baltimore pivot Lamar Jackson as lengthy +550 co-second favorites to amass the most rushing yards this past weekend. While Jackson tallied an impressive 143 rushing yards in the Ravens’ loss to Tennessee, Cook struggled badly in the Vikings’ lopsided 27-10 loss to the San Francisco 49ers as 7-point underdogs, mustering just 18 yards against a Niners defense that limited Minnesota to just 21 total rushing yards on the day.
Looking to Duplicate Week 10 Performance
Henry now looks to next weekend’s AFC Championship Game matchup in Kansas City looking to duplicate his effort in the Titans’ 35-32 win over the Chiefs in Tennessee back in Week 10, when he ran for 188 yards and two scores. Overall, Henry has averaged 172 rushing yards per game and scored three total touchdowns over the past two times he has faced the Chiefs.
Henry: 188 yards, 2 TDs
Tannehill 13/19, 181 yards, 2 TDs
Football. What a game.
— NFL Update (@MySportsUpdate) November 10, 2019
However, Henry and the Titans can expect to face a very different Chiefs squad this time around. After stumbling out of the gate, and spotting Houston an early 24-0 lead, the Chiefs proceeded to mow down the Texans in a crushing 51-31 win on Sunday night. And while Texans quarterback turned in a solid effort while tossing for 388 yards, the Chiefs effectively shut down the Texans ground game. Kansas City limited Houston to just 94 rushing yards, with Watson accounting for 37 yards.
Jones Facing Improved Niners Rush Defense
While that creates an opportunity for Green Bay running back Aaron Jones to lead all rushers in yardage this coming weekend, and payout as a strong +260 favorite, overcoming the 49ers fearsome rush defense that so effectively contained Cook and the Vikings will be a massive challenge.
— Sporting News (@sportingnews) November 16, 2018
Jones has cracked 100 yards in three of his past five outings including a season-high 154-yard performance in the Packers’ 23-10 win in Minnesota in Week 16. He also played a central role in Green Bay’s 28-23 victory over the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday, tallying 62 yards and running four two scores at frigid Lambeau Field.
Where’s the Value?
But while San Francisco ranked a middling 17th in the NFL while allowing 112.6 rushing yards per game, the team has tightened things up considerably in recent outings, limiting opposing ball carriers to fewer than 90 yards per game in three of its past four games.
Dalvin Cook was completely SHUT DOWN by the San Francisco 49ers:
– Tied for fewest carries in his NFL career (9)
– 2nd-fewest rush yards in his NFL career (18)
– Fewest carries in a game since November of his freshman season at FSU pic.twitter.com/dz6R5yBPIo
— CBS Sports HQ (@CBSSportsHQ) January 12, 2020
And while the Titans have a mountain to climb in their bid to keep pace with the Chiefs vaunted offense in Sunday’s clash at Arrowhead Stadium, Henry should still enjoy ample opportunity to carry the ball, and payout for a third straight week as the favorite to record the most rushing yards.
Pick: Derrick Henry (-110)
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