Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 8
By Ryan Metivier in NFL Football
Published:
- Our NFL experts predict their top picks against the spread for NFL Week 8
- Are the Cowboys a play as double-digit favorites at home to the Bears?
- Read on for our expert NFL picks against the spread for Week 8 below
It’s time to once again crunch the numbers, check the NFL odds and come up with our weekly expert NFL picks against the spread. We have 11 picks going this week including selections of each of the three biggest favorites. Hopefully, that doesn’t mean trouble.
Our Week 7 expert picks returned a winning record of 7-5. Overall we’re now 42-28-3 on the season.
Every week we’ll make our top picks against the spread and keep track of our records throughout the season. Read on for this week’s top NFL ATS picks.
Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 8
| Matt McEwan | Ryan Metivier | Zach Reger | Bob Duff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles -10.5 | Cowboys (-10) | Patriots -2.5 | Titans (-2.5) |
| Jaguars -2.5 | 49ers (-1.5) | Cowboys -10 | Bengals (-3) |
| Raiders -1 | Bills (-10.5) | 49ers -1.5 | |
| 5-7 Season Record | 10-10-1 Season Record | 14-6-1 Season Record | 13-5-1 Season Record |
Odds as of October 28. Check out this Barstool Sportsbook promo code to bet on the NFL this weekend
Among our top expert NFL ATS picks for Week 8, we have picks on nine teams, including multiple picks on the Cowboys and 49ers.
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Matt McEwan
- Eagles -10.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook
No team has forced more turnovers than the Eagles this season and no team has fewer giveaways than the Eagles this season. Kenny Pickett has thrown seven interceptions in 12 quarters of football (spread over four appearances). Philadelphia is going to get up early and then really start laying it on as the Pickett turnovers pile up.
Kenny Pickett has thrown 7 interceptions in his first 4 career games.
The only other rookie QB to throw 5+ INT in their first 4 career games (and play in at least 4 games) with the Steelers was Hall of Famer Terry Bradshaw, who would go on to win 4 Super Bowls for the Steelers.
— NFL Research (@NFLResearch) October 24, 2022
- Jaguars -2.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Jacksonville has dropped four games in a row now, largely thanks to turnovers and struggling to stop the run—specifically when opposing QBs take off. The good news for the Jags in Week 8 is Denver doesn’t run the ball very well and Russell Wilson is not the same threat he once was to run. I really don’t foresee him attacking with his legs much on Sunday after returning from a hamstring injury.
No team is more banged up and less competent than the Broncos right now. I know crazy things happen in London, but I don’t think we’re going to see Denver snap out of this funk on Sunday.
- Raiders -1 at DraftKings Sportsbook
This is a battle of two pretty bad defenses and two pretty good offenses. Though the Raiders’ defense has not proven they can take the ball away—just four turnovers forced this season—I have less faith in Andy Dalton protecting the football. Dalton is coming off three interceptions against the Cardinals and the Saints lead the league in giveaways.
If the Raiders get a lead, Josh Jacobs will take this game over. New Orleans allows 4.6 YPC and have been carved up for 130+ yards in four of seven games this season. The Raiders are 2-1 when they run for more than 96 yards.
.@iAM_JoshJacobs is on a historic pace 🤯 pic.twitter.com/N8yC1m4TZc
— NFL GameDay (@NFLGameDay) October 28, 2022
Ryan Metivier
- Cowboys (-10) at DraftKings Sportsbook
Money has come in on the Cowboys during the week pushing this number from Dallas 9.5-points to ten. That’s not quite as appealing. But there’s nothing appealing about the 3-4 Bears traveling on a short week to the 5-1 Cowboys with Dak Prescott back under center.
The Bears’ Justin Fields is way down in 26th for passing yards this season. He’s thrown five TDs compared to six INTs and has been sacked the most times in the NFL at 27. That number only looks to increase against Micah Parsons who leads the league in sacks (7) and a Dallas defense that ranks first in sacks and has also picked off opposing quarterbacks seven times.
Micah Parsons ranks this season
Rank
Sacks 7 t-1st
Pressures 36 1st
Tackles for Loss 8 t-3rd
QB Hits 13 t-4th
Forced Fumbles 2 t-5thoutrageous production pic.twitter.com/Y1dKBZC955
— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) October 24, 2022
- 49ers (-1.5) at DraftKings Sportsbook
The 49ers just defeated the Rams 24-9 earlier this month on October 3. They held the Rams to just 257 yards and Matthew Stafford to no passing touchdowns, as LA had to settle for three field goals.
The Rams haven’t looked like defending Super Bowl champions at all this season at 3-3 and now San Fran welcomes Christian McCaffrey to the fold in Week 8.
#49ers Christian McCaffrey is a real one
H/T @CamInman pic.twitter.com/zurReFbvus
— OurSF49ers (@OurSf49ers) October 28, 2022
- Bills (-10.5) at DraftKings Sportsbook
Well, this got super chalky fast this week. But the truth is I just don’t trust many of these teams. The Bills are one of the few teams you can generally trust a 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 in picks against the spread. The Packers, 3-3 SU and 2-5 ATS are most certainly not a team to trust right now. They have wins against the Bucs, Bears and Patriots and two of those came at home.
They’ve lost three straight to the Giants, Jets and Commanders. I know the NFL is very mediocre this year, but that is three losses to Daniel Jones, Zach Wilson and backup Taylor Heinicke. The losses to the Giants and Jets also saw Jones and Wilson throw for zero, (zero!) combined passing touchdowns and they still allowed 27 points to each.
Josh Allen will not be held out of the endzone. His 17 passing scores rank second overall. Even without Aaron Rodgers, Sammy Watkins and Allen Lazard listed on the injury report and Randall Cobb on IR, this would still be a huge task for the Packers to keep this close.
Zach Reger
- Patriots (-2.5) at FanDuel Sportsbook
The Jets are 5-2 and are at home, while the Patriots just got embarrassed on Monday Night Football. Despite all this, New England is favored. Perhaps, it is because the Patriots have won 12 straight games against the Jets. Besides the big win against the Packers, the Jets have beaten a third-string quarterback in Miami, the Steelers, and a backup quarterback in Denver. Bill Belichick will have his team motivated after that tough loss against the Bears, and the Patriots should keep their winning streak against the Jets alive.
Mac is BACK.
Jones will start for the Patriots this Sunday vs the Jets. (via @FieldYates) pic.twitter.com/MHBSF5j9O0
— Barstool Gambling (@stoolgambling) October 26, 2022
- Cowboys (-10) at FanDuel Sportsbook
On the other side of last Monday’s matchup, the Bears are riding high. Now they will have to face a Cowboys defense that is sixth in yards per game allowed and fourth in passing yards per game allowed. The Bears’ offense looked good last week, but they should come back to earth on Sunday. Dak Prescott now has a game under his belt, so the offense will continue to improve. The Cowboys should win big in this one.
2021 Dallas Cowboys Defense through 7 games:
– Sacks, 12
– Takeaways, 142022 Dallas Cowboys Defense through 7 games:
– Sacks, 29
– Takeaways, 12— RJ Ochoa (@rjochoa) October 25, 2022
- 49ers (-1.5) at FanDuel Sportsbook. Claim your FanDuel Sportbook promo code for Week 8 here
Kyle Shanahan is 8-4 against Sean McVay as a head coach. More importantly, he has won seven of his last eight against the Rams. That loss was in the NFC Championship game last season. That trend should continue Sunday afternoon as Christian McCaffrey has gotten a full week to practice with the team to further integrate himself into a loaded San Fransisco offense.
Bob Duff
- Titans (-2.5) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Houston is the NFL’s worst defense against the run (164.7 yards per game). Tennessee has two-time NFL rushing champ Derrick Henry. With Titans QB Ryan Tannehill nursing a sore ankle, they plan to ride their Henry horse even more. That’s bad news for the Texans.
Derrick Henry’s last 3 games vs Texans:
🏈 673 rushing yards
🏈 7 TDs#Titans pic.twitter.com/4BimFlEyPM— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) October 28, 2022
- Bengals (-3) at FanDuel Sportsbook
When Burrow drops back, he can look downfield for Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins or Tyler Boyd. On the other hand, he can just hand the ball to Joe Mixon and let him do this thing. Cincinnati is fourth in passing offense. Cleveland is third in rushing offense. However, while the Bengals are #8 in scoring offense, Cleveland rates #29.
Sports Editor
Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com
