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Five Players Have 9-1 or Shorter Odds to Have Most Wide Receiver Receptions in 2022/23 NFL Season

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Aug 10, 2022 · 12:00 PM PDT

NFL wide receiver reception odds
Jul 27, 2022; Pittsford, NY, USA; Buffalo Bills wide receiver Stefon Diggs (14) catches a pass during training camp at St. John Fisher University. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports
  • Reigning champion Cooper Kupp of the Los Angeles Rams is the +450 favorite to again have the most wide receiver receptions during the 2022/23 NFL season
  • Bettors can access +900 odds on 2020 leader Stefon Diggs of the Buffalo Bills
  • Two-time leader Michael Thomas of the New Orleans Saints is offered at a betting line of +4000

It’s a tight group at wide receiver among those who’ve led the NFL in receptions in recent years. Since 2014, just seven players have topped the league in this category.

Michael Thomas of the New Orleans Saints (2018-19) did it in successive years. Among other active players, Cooper Kupp (2021) of the Los Angeles Rams, Stefon Diggs of the Buffalo Bills (2020) and Julio Jones (2015) of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are recent leaders.

Oddsmakers are banking on Kupp retaining his crown. He’s the +450 favorite to again have the most wide receiver receptions during the 2022/23 NFL season.

However there are four other players listed with a betting line of +900 or shorter. They include Diggs, Davante Adams of the Las Vegas Raiders, Keenan Allen of the Los Angeles Chargers and Justin Jefferson of the Minnesota Vikings.

2022 NFL WR Reception Leader Odds

Player (Team) Odds
Cooper Kupp (Rams) +450
Justin Jefferson (Vikings) +600
Stefon Diggs (Bills) +900
Davante Adams (Raiders) +900
Keenan Allen (Chargers) +900
Travis Kelce (Chiefs) +1400
CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys) +1500
Ja’Marr Chase (Bengals) +1800
Diontae Johnson (Steelers) +1800
Michael Pittman Jr (Colts) +2000
Mark Andrews (Ravens) +2000
Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins) +2000
DJ Moore (Panthers) +2000
Tyreek Hill (Dolphins) +2500
Juju Smith-Schuster (Chiefs) +2500
Hunter Renfrow (Raiders) +2500
Brandin Cooks (Texans) +2500
Amon-Ra St Brown (Lions) +3000
Mike Evans (Buccaneers) +3500
TJ Hockenson (Lions) +4000
Tee Higgins (Bengals) +4000
Terry McLaurin (Commanders) +4000
Marquise Brown (Cardinals) +4000
Michael Thomas (Saints) +4000
Jerry Jeudy (Broncos) +4000
Darnell Mooney (Bears) +4000
Darren Waller (Raiders) +4000
Dalton Schultz (Cowboys) +4000
Amari Cooper (Browns) +4000
Christian McCaffrey (Panthers) +4000
Rashod Bateman (Ravens) +4500
Deebo Samuel (49ers) +4500
Chris Godwin (Buccaneers) +4500
AJ Brown (Eagles) +4500
Russell Gage (Buccaneers) +5000
George Kittle (49ers) +5000
Gabriel Davis (Bills) +5000
Elijah Moore (Jets) +5000
Allen Robinson II (Rams) +5000
Christian Kirk (Jaguars) +6000
Tyler Boyd (Bengals) +6000
Devonta Smith (Eagles) +6000
Zach Ertz (Cardinals) +6000
Robert Woods (Titans) +6000
Kadarius Toney (Giants) +6000

Odds as of August 10th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Use this DraftKings Sportsbook promo code before wagering

 

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At a betting line of +450, Kupp is given an implied probability of 18.18%. Bet $10 on Kupp and if he catches the most passes in the NFL this season, the payout will be $55.00.

History Not On Kupp’s Side

While Thomas recently did lead all NFL wide receivers in receptions in back-to-back campaigns, the chances of Kupp also doing so would appear to be remote. Prior to Thomas, you have to go all the way back to Green Bay’s Sterling Sharpe in 1992-93 to find the previous WR to win the reception title in successive years. Before that, you have to go back to the early 1960s to find a wideout leading in receptions in consecutive seasons.

Enjoying a career year last season, Kupp turned the WR triple play of leading the NFL in receptions (145), receiving yardage (1,947) and touchdown catches (16). Kupp was also a contender in the NFL MVP odds. He’s also the favorite to lead the NFL in receiving yardage this season.

His previous high in receptions was 94 in 2019, so Kupp did make a quantum leap last season. It’s only natural to anticipate there will be a regression in 2022.

Stefon Diggs Consistency

Ever since arriving in Buffalo in 2020, Diggs has turned into a pass-snaring machine. He’s caught 230 balls over the past two seasons, topping 100 catches both seasons.

Recent NFL Wide Receiver Reception Leaders

Season Player (Team) TD Receptions
2021 Cooper Kupp (Rams) 145
2020 Stefon Diggs (Bills 127
2019 Michael Thomas (Saints) 149
2018 Michael Thomas (Saints) 125
2017 Jarvis Landry (Dolphins) 112

With Gabriel Davis emerging as a productive NFL receiver and tight end OJ Howard coming on board through free agency, Bills QB Josh Allen will have plenty of passing options at his disposal.

That’s also going to make it difficult for opposing defenses to place additional focus on stopping Diggs. Another triple-digit season in receptions for this wide receiver certainly seems likely.

Adams, Allen Double Down; Jefferson Offering Value

Allen and Adams both joined Diggs in going over 100 receptions in each of the past two seasons. Adams caught 123 balls last season in Green Bay. With the Raiders, he’ll be joining Hunter Renfrow, who caught 103 passes last season.

Minnesota’s Justin Jefferson went from 88 catches as a rookie in 2020 and jumped up to 108 last season. Another step forward like that could make him a solid value play.

Still, when playing this NFL futures bet, it’s hard not to go with the proven commodity. Since arriving in Buffalo, Diggs and 100 receptions are constant companions.

Pick: Stefon Diggs (Bills) +900

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