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Jeremy Chinn Now Has the Second-Best NFL DROY Odds After Historic Two-Touchdown Game in Week 12

Jeremy Chinn walking with football in his right hand
Carolina Panthers safety Jeremy Chinn celebrates after returning a fumble for a touchdown during an NFL football game against the Minnesota Vikings, Sunday, Nov. 29, 2020, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
  • Panthers’ Safety Jeremy Chinn closes gap in DROY race 
  • Chase Young remains the betting favorite 
  • Read below to find out our best bet 

Nothing like an historic performance to vault you into serious discussions for NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year.

But that’s exactly where Panthers’ safety Jeremy Chinn finds himself, sitting second in the latest NFL DROY odds, after completing a feat that’s never been seen in the league before.

2020 NFL DROY Odds

Player Pos Team Pick Odds
Chase Young EDGE WAS 2nd Overall +160
Jeremy Chinn S CAR 64th Overall +230
Antoine Winfield Jr DB TB 45th Overall +500
Julian Blackmon S IND 85th Overall +700
Patrick Queen ILB BAL 28th Overall +750
Jaylon Johnson CB CHI 50th Overall +1200
Jordan Elliott DT CLE 88th Overall +3300
Isaiah Simmons ILB ARI 8th Overall N/A
Kenneth Murray ILB LAC 23rd Overall N/A
Derrick Brown DT CAR 7th Overall N/A

*Odds from December 3

You needed a telescope to find Chinn’s +5000 odds in September, but by November he had climbed to +900 odds and still shortening.

Chinn would be the first safety to win the award in 30 years. It appears the only thing standing in his way is hulking edge rusher Chase Young. Let’s figure out this battle and find the best bet.

Chinn Up After Week 12

Chinn officially tossed his name into the DROY party with a sequence never before witnessed on an NFL field. In the third quarter of their game with the Minnesota Vikings, he was Johnny on the Spot when he scooped up the leftovers from a Kirk Cousins’ strip sack and hit paydirt.

But he wasn’t done there. On the very next offensive snap, Chinn stripped Dalvin Cook and again marched untouched to the endzone. He was the first player to have two scoop and scores since a dude named Fred Evans in 1948.

He became the first defensive player to score on back-to-back plays, and the fastest to score two touchdowns (10 freaking seconds). No team had accomplished the two-fumble scores in a game since 2015.

That play now becomes the centerpiece of a super-charged resume that already looked Pro-Bowl worthy: 87 combined tackles, five passes defended, one forced fumble, one interception and two fumble recoveries and two touchdowns. And the Panthers still have four games to play.

He’d become the first defensive back to win the award since Marshon Lattimore in 2017, but Chinn — a second round pick out of Southern Illinois — would be just the fifth DB to win the award in the last 30 years, and the first since Mark Carrier in 1990 to win as a safety. None of the modern day legends of Ed Reed, Troy Polomalu or Earl Thomas was able to do it. Can Chinn?

Chase Being Chased

The second overall pick from Ohio State, Chase Young just happens to be in the more ideal position to snag the award. Since 2000, just three players outside of the front seven has been able to win DROY.

And they come in all different styles. Nick Bosa, last year’s winner, is a pure edge rusher. 2018 winner Darius Leonard is a tackling machine. 2014 winner Aaron Donald and 2013 winner Sheldon Richardson wreaked havoc inside.

The first and second level of a defense just draws more attention.

Young has had a pretty good year: he’s racked up 4.5 sacks in Washington, as part of one of the best defensive fronts in football. He has 22 solo tackles, a pair of forced fumbles, seven tackles for loss and an additional five QB hits.

Young has battled a high ankle sprain and missed a game, but after a blazing 2.5 sacks in his first two games, he’s totaled two sacks in his last seven games.

Still, solid numbers, but are they hardware worthy?

What’s The Best Bet?

With Patrick Queen the only front-seven player among the top-5, and Chinn’s numbers topping fellow DB’s Antoine Winfield (+500), Julian Blackmon (+700 ) and Jaylon Johnson (+1200), it’s a two-person race to the finish.

Young has helped build a unit that’s seventh in the NFL in points allowed, giving up the fourth fewest yards. Washington ranks second behind the Steelers in passing yards allowed per game at just under 195 yards a contest.

The Football Team is also in position to make the playoffs, though put an NFC East asterisk on that one.

Chinn’s Panthers, meanwhile, are a middle-to-bottom half of the pack in all those categories, and they’re not in the playoff chase. But put them in the NFC East? They’d be in a tie for first.

His tackling total already has him second to only Leonard in total tackles of previous recent winners, and he’s on pace to join Leonard as the only winners this decade with over 100 tackles in a rookie season.

Young will likely need to get to double-digit sacks to claim this, as Chinn’s body of work right now has done enough to win the award.

The pick: Chinn (+230)

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