Loss to Chiefs Pushes Patriots’ Super Bowl Odds to Season-Worst +450

Tom Brady
After suffering a second straight loss Tom Brady and the New England Patriots are listed at +450 to win the Super Bowl. Photo by Jack Newton (Flickr).
  • Going into Week 14 the Patriots were listed at +400 to win Super Bowl 54
  • New England’s offense has disappeared with a rushing game ranking 21st overall in NFL
  • Despite back-to-back losses, Pats have a favorable schedule down the stretch

Back-to-back losses have pushed New England’s Super Bowl odds to a season-low.

The Pats had less than 300 all-purpose yards in Sunday’s 23-16 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs — marking New England’s second straight defeat and third loss in five games heading into Week 15.

The loss not only pushed the Patriots to 10-3 on the season, but books now have the defending champions at a season-worst +450 in its latest Super Bowl Odds.

2020 Super Bowl Odds

Team Odds
Baltimore Ravens +225
New England Patriots +450
San Francisco 49ers +500
Kansas City Chiefs +700
New Orleans Saints +750

Odds taken Dec. 9. 

It was an overall poor performance by Brady, as the future Hall of Fame quarterback went 19-for-36 for just 169 yards passing. Brady has been held to 190 or fewer yards passing on three occasions this season.

“That’s not normal for him,” ESPN analyst Tim Hasselbeck said after New England’s latest loss.

Heading into Week 14, the Patriots were listed as +400 on average to win Super Bowl 54. Those odds took a nose-dive following Sunday’s lackluster offensive performance to its current price.

Is New England’s Recent Slump Cause for Concern?

While it’s never wise to count out the Patriots, it is quite concerning how the team’s offense has sputtered over their last four games. New England scraped by Philadelphia and Dallas scoring 17 and 13 points, respectively. The Pats responded with 22 against a tough Texans team, but only mustered 16 points against an average Chiefs defense.

Brady is among the leaders in passing yards, but the Patriots have little to no running game, which is putting more pressure on the six-time Super Bowl quarterback. Heading into Week 15, the Patriots are averaging 96.3 rushing yards per game, putting them 21st overall in that category.

The fact that the Patriots have dropped two straight and are still leading the AFC East division is a testament to how good this team really is. Going 16-0 was never a reality for this Patriots team as the schedule presented very tough matchups against Baltimore, Houston and Kansas City.

However, there’s still time for the Patriots to close out the season on a high and improve their Super Bowl 54 odds. Two of New England’s final three games are against non-playoff teams — the Cincinnati Bengals and Miami Dolphins.

While a Week 16 matchup against Buffalo won’t be a walk in the park, the Patriots have not lost to the Bills since October 2016.

New England on Pace to Finish Better Than Last Season

The Patriots at +450 could be a bargain considering last season, Brady led New England to an 11-5 record en route to a Super Bowl title. Sure, Brady is a year older, but all-in-all — minus Rob Gronkowski — New England’s offense went unchanged from that championship season.

The Baltimore Ravens earned a Week 14 win over the Bills and improved their Super Bowl 54 odds to +250 from +275 a week ago. The Ravens are still the top favorites with the Pats next on the board.

Making the biggest move were the San Francisco 49ers, who defeated New Orleans 48-46 and are now listed at +500. The Niners went into the matchup at +800.

If you’re going to bet on Brady and the Pats, now is the time. New England will likely pick up two more wins and will see their Super Bowl odds shorten down the stretch.

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