NFL MVP Odds for 2026 – Stafford NOT in the Top Five
By Sascha Paruk in NFL News
Published:
- NFL MVP odds have been posted for the 2026-27 season
- Reigning MVP Matthew Stafford isn’t among the top-five favorites
- See the top-50 contenders in the 2026 NFL MVP odds
Coming off his first NFL MVP award at age 37, Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford appears poised to have another monster season on a stacked team that is tied for first in the opening Super Bowl 61 odds.
Yet, the Georgia product isn’t even among the top-five favorites in the 2026 NFL MVP odds.
NFL MVP Odds for 2026
The top three spots are reserved for the three QBs who won immediately before Stafford: Buffalo’s Josh Allen (2024), Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson (2023), and Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes (2022).
Stafford also finds himself trailing a quartet of pivots who have never won before: LA Chargers’ Justin Herbert, Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow, New England’s Drake Maye, and Dallas’ Dak Prescott. Stafford comes in as the eighth-favorite at +1400 (6.67% implied win probability) in the 2026 NFL MVP odds.
Green Bay’s Jordan Love and Chicago’s Caleb Williams round out the top-ten favorites, both at +1500.
Odds in table from DraftKings at 9:34 am ET, Feb 9th. See the full list of DraftKings legal states.
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Non-QBs in the NFL MVP Odds for 2026
The top non-quarterbacks on the list come in at +15000 (0.66% implied win probability). Four non-QBs are priced at that number: Rams receiver Puka Nacua, 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey, Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs, and Falcons running back Bijan Robinson. They are all tied for 30th-favorite, behind 29 quarterbacks.
It’s been over a decade since a non-quarterback won NFL MVP (Adrian Peterson in 2012). Peterson, LaDainian Tomlinson (2006), and Shaun Alexander (2005) are the only non-QBs to win MVP since the year 2000.
No wide receiver or tight end has ever won NFL MVP.
Fernando Mendoza Is on the Board
Indiana’s Heisman-winning QB, Fernando Mendoza, is on the board at +20000 (% implied win probability). A massive favorite to be the first-overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft odds, Mendoza will start his NFL career in Las Vegas unless the Raiders trade out of top spot.
Seattle’s Super Bowl-winning offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak is taking over the head coach position with the Raiders, who are expected to move on from veteran Geno Smith after one disastrous season.
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
