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Matt Nagy Odds-On Favorite to Win Coach of the Year

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Updated Mar 28, 2020 · 7:06 PM PDT

Bears Soldier Field
The Chicago Bears clinched their first division title since 2010 by defeating the Packers in Week 15. Photo by Joon Han (Wiki Commons) [CC License].
  • Matt Nagy is now the overwhelming favorite to win Coach of the Year.
  • Nagy’s odds shifted from +500 to -350 after the Bears clinched the NFC North.
  • Nagy was recently named Coach of the Year by the Associated Press.

Winter is coming, and you know who isn’t afraid?  The Monsters of the Midway.

Led by rookie head coach Matt Nagy, the Bears clinched their first division title in eight seasons last week and are playoff bound for the first time since 2010.

If you were paying attention last week, our very own Bob Duff recommended Nagy for Coach of the Year at +500 odds.  Well that number is long gone now, and Nagy has become the overwhelming favorite to win the award.

Odds to Win 2018 NFL Coach of the Year

Coach Team Odds to win 2018 NFL Coach of the Year
Matt Nagy CHI -350
Sean Payton NO +450
Anthony Lynn LAC +600
Andy Reid KC +650
Sean McVay LAR +650

Nagy was recently named the NFL’s Top Coach of 2018 by the Associated Press, finishing ahead of Seattle’s Pete Carroll who doesn’t even crack the top five odds at sportsbooks.

The Bears Incredible Turnaround

In less than a full season in Chicago, Nagy has taken the Bears from worst to first in the NFC North.  Prior to his arrival, Chicago had finished last in the division each of the past four years, winning a combined 19 games. Nagy is 4-1 in divisional games this season, after the Bears went 3-15 versus divisional foes from 2015-17.

He’s the first rookie Chicago head coach since 1956 to make the playoffs, and the first in almost a century to reach double figures in wins.

Offensive Outburst

Nagy has made his biggest impact on the Bears offense.  After averaging a pathetic 16.5 points per game in 2017, Chicago is the sixth-highest scoring team in the league this season, averaging over 27 points per game.

He’s unlocked Mitchell Trubisky’s potential, scheming him easy throws, which has led to 16 more touchdown passes than a year ago and a QBR that is 40 points higher than 2017.  He’s also installed a plethora of gadget plays to keep defenses on their toes at all times.

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If Not Nagy Then Who?

Nagy is certainly deserving of the award, but laying -350 seems foolish when +500 was available just last week.  It makes sense to give him the award, especially given the recent struggles of the Rams and Saints, but before we crown him we should at least consider Anthony Lynn.


Lynn showed tremendous moxie in Week 15 going for two and stealing a win in KC.  He has the most wins of any head coach in the last 21 games, and his Chargers now have a legit shot at the AFC’s top seed.

If LA wins out and the Chiefs stumble just once, Lynn will no doubt shoot up the odds board.  If you’re feeling frisky grab +600 while you can.

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