- The Buffalo Bills host the New York Jets in their Week 18 home finale
- Current Week 18 prop picks record: 3-1. Overall: 31-38, -1.12 units
- See the odds, spread, analysis, and best prop bets below
With New York sports betting launching this weekend, what better way to get started than an all-state showdown with some stakes?
The Buffalo Bills need a win to claim their second-straight AFC East title, something they hadn’t done since Jim Kelly, Thurman Thomas and Andre Reed were wrecking the league.
Their opponent is the New York Jets, a team the Bills throttled in Week 10 to the tune of 45-17.
Though the Jets’ eyes are set on the lottery (yet again), Buffalo wants to take care of business and not get anyone hurt ahead of what they hope is a deep playoff run. At least that’s what I think.
So we enter our final player prop bets of the regular season with some caution, but excitement. Let’s get to it.
And just a reminder: as you’re making your player prop picks, be sure to find out what NFL teams are resting starters in Week 18.
Jets vs Bills Player Props
|Passer||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TDs|
|Josh Allen (BUF)||21.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)||248.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||1.5 (Ov -185 / Un +140)|
|Zach Wilson (NYJ)||OFF||184.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||0.5 (Ov -170 / Un +125)|
|Rusher||Rushing Yards||Rush + Rec Yards||Longest Rush|
|Devin Singletary (BUF)||72.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||89.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||15.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)|
|Josh Allen (BUF)||35.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||OFF||14.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)|
|Michael Carter (NYJ)||36.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100)||OFF||OFF|
|Receiver||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Cole Beasley (BUF)||OFF||33.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||16.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)|
|Dawson Knox (BUF)||OFF||31.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||15.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)|
|Devin Singletary (BUF)||OFF||12.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||9.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130)|
|Gabriel Davis (BUF)||OFF||38.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)||19.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)|
|Jamison Crowder (NYJ)||OFF||35.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||16.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)|
|Stefon Diggs (BUF)||6.5 (Ov +100 / Un -135)||74.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||23.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)|
|Tyler Kroft (NYJ)||2.5 (Ov +115 / Un -155)||20.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||12.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)|
Odds taken Jan 8 from DraftKingsAdvertising Disclosure
Devin Singletary Rushing Yards
Devin Singletary has taken the lead role and come on late. He had 23 carries for 110 yards and a pair of scores in their 29-15 win over the Atlanta Falcons.
It’s the first time he’s cracked the 100-yard mark this season, and the second time in three games he’s cruised over that total. Singletary had done that just once the previous 14 games.
Devin Singletary …. ANGRY RUNS 🤬🤬😡😡🤬🤬
— X – ToddJClausen (@ToddJClausen) January 3, 2022
The Jets sport the 4th-worst run defense in the NFL, but I’m not sure how hard the Bills want to run their lead horse just a week before the playoffs.
That, and if their last matchup was any indication, Josh Allen may take apart the Jets himself.
He threw for 366 yards and a pair of scores, while Singletary rushed only seven times for 43 yards.
— Falcon Report on SI (@AllFalconsATL) January 2, 2022
Weather does play a factor here, as it will be a frigid 36 degrees, but Allen probably needs to get right after throwing for just 120 yards and three interceptions against Atlanta last time out.
If Buffalo takes care of business early, we may see Zack Moss also get dusted off and into the game too, eating into Singletary figures.
- Singletary UNDER 72.5 rushing yards (1.5 units to win 1.31 units)
Michael Carter Rushing Yards
There was a time where the Bills’ run defense was a top-3 unit, but they’ve been gashed badly over the second half of the season, and now sit 19th in rush yards per game at 113.6.
Enter Michael Carter, who has a pretty low rushing bar to pass in Buffalo. In fact, the Jets’ rookie running back out of North Carolina has surpassed this week’s total in nine of his last 10 games. Last week, he rushed for 54 yards on just three carries against Tampa Bay.
Said it throughout the last draft process & since:
— Harrison Glaser (@NYJetsTFMedia) January 2, 2022
A week prior, Carter set his career-high in rushing against Jacksonville, running for 118 yards on 16 carries.
Even when the Bills were still considered an elite run defense, he registered 39 yards rushing when they played in Week 10.
Zach Wilson has had a pretty brutal rookie season, and the Bills are the top pass defense in the NFL, surrendering just 172.9 yards per game. Even with their running D woes, the Bills are also tops in total yards allowed per game at 286.5. Look for Carter to get a lot of looks, even if it’s just to protect their pivot.
- Carter OVER 36.5 yards rushing (1.5 units to win 1.16 units)
Jets vs Bills Scoring Props
|Player||First Touchdown Scorer||Anytime Touchdown Scorer|
|Devin Singletary (BUF)||+600||-110|
|Stefon Diggs (BUF)||+650||-105|
Josh Allen (BUF)
Dawson Knox (BUF)
|Gabriel Davis (BUF)||+1100||+180|
|Cole Beasley (BUF)||+1200||+210|
|Michael Carter (NYJ)||+1300||+210|
|Zack Moss (BUF)||+1400||+240|
|Jamison Crowder (NYJ)||+2000||+330|
|Isaiah McKenzie (BUF)||+2200||+400|
|Zach Wilson (NYJ)||+4000||+650|
Jets vs Bills TD Scorers
Thanks, as always, to our good friends at DraftKings for the insight into scoring props heading into the week.
For the visitors, Wilson has scored a major in each of New York’s last three games against AFC opponents. Running back Braxton Berrios had a rushing TD and receiving score against Tampa Bay, and he has three TDs in his last three games.
Stefon Diggs scores a TD.
Points to a few Patriots fans: “You, you, you, you, and you: Shut the f*** up." pic.twitter.com/DTKzWQB5kt
— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) December 26, 2021
On the Bills’ side, Stefon Diggs has been lighting up AFC East opponents, scoring a TD in four of his last five divisional matchups, while Singletary has scored at least one TD in each of the Bills’ last three games. Gabriel Davis has also been a TD target as of late, hauling in at least one score in three of his last four appearances.
- Singletary to score anytime TD (1.5 units to win 1.31 units)