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Odds of Christian McCaffrey Breaking Single Season Record for All-Purpose Yards Set at +1000

Oddsmakers are offering -3000 odds against Carolina Panthers running back Christian McCaffrey setting an NFL single-season mark for all-purpose yards. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr) [CC License]
  • Christian McCaffrey is a 10/1 longshot to break the record for all-purpose yards in a season
  • Darren Sproles set the NFL record of 2,696 all-purpose yards with the 2011 New Orleans Saints
  • The Panthers running back collected 1,965 yards from scrimmage on 326 touches last season

Christian McCaffrey approached the 2018 NFL season with a purpose. That purpose was to deliver as an all-purpose performer.

In his second NFL season, the Carolina Panthers running back rambled for 1,098 yards on 219 carries. He also caught 107 passes for an additional 867 yards.

Combined, McCaffrey went for a total of 1,965 all-purpose yards. Can he go even higher and challenge the NFL single-season record set by New Orleans Saints running back Darren Sproles in 2011?

Sportsbooks don’t seem to think so. Sportsbooks have posted a prop wager on whether McCaffrey can shatter Sproles’ record. Sportsbooks are offering -3000 odds against McCaffrey setting a new NFL all-purpose yards standard during the 2019 season.

Will Christian McCaffrey Break The NFL All-Purpose Yards Record in 2019

Outcome Odds
No -3000
Yes +1000

*Odds taken 8/29/19.

McCaffrey was third in the NFL in all-purpose yards in 2018, trailing two other running backs. Saquon Barkley (2,028) of the New York Giants led the way, followed by Ezekiel Elliott (2,001) of the Dallas Cowboys.

Panthers May Dial Back McCaffrey

McCaffrey’s 2018 production included 13 touchdowns. His performance also played a significant role in the Panthers finishing 10th overall in the NFL in total offense.

However, Carolina head coach Ron Rivera is suggesting that he plans to be more judicious in his usage of the 5-foot-10, 205-pound McCaffrey. Recognizing McCaffrey’s value to his team’s chances of success, Rivera intends to more closely monitor the situations in which his star back is placed.

Last season, McCaffrey took part in 966 of Carolina’s 1,068 offense snaps. That works out to 91.3%.

Rivera was adamant that they’ll still find a way to get McCaffrey 300 touches this season. At the same time, he’s talking about removing McCaffrey from the field of play in scenarios where he’d be placed in a blocking role by the play call.

Regardless, less time on the field equates to less opportunity at a potential record run.

McCaffrey vs Sproles

When sizing up McCaffrey’s chances of bettering the mark set by Sproles, take these factors into consideration.

Last season’s performance still only ranked McCaffrey 152nd on the NFL’s all-time single-season list for all-purpose yards. There have been 136 players over the NFL’s 99 years of existence who’ve gone over 2000 all-purpose yards in a season, a list that doesn’t include McCaffrey.

Record-holder Sproles bettered 2,200 yards four times during his career, something no other player has accomplished in league history.

Christian McCaffrey 2018
Darren Sproles 2011

16 Games 16
326 Touches 242
1098 Rushing Yards 603
867 Receiving Yards 710
0 Kick Return Yards 1089
0 Punt Return Yards 294
1965 All-Purpose Yards 2696

Another factor that will work against McCaffrey is that he doesn’t return kicks or punts. He did some of that as a rookie in 2017. That season, he ran 22 punts back for 162 yards and returned three kickoffs for 58 yards.

Since Rivera has designs on protecting his star from potentially hazardous assignments, there’s no way he’s sending McCaffrey out for any special teams duty.

That’s vital. During his record season, Sproles accumulated 1,383 yards on returns. That included 1,089 just in kickoff return yardage, alone.

Return Yardage in the Top-Three All-Purpose-Yard Seasons

Player (Season/Team) All-Purpose Yards Return Yards Percentage of All-Purpose Yardage
Darren Sproles (2011 Saints) 2,696 1,383 51.29
Derrick Mason (2000 Titans) 2,690 728 27.06
Michael Lewis (2002 Saints) 2,647 1,632 61.65

Without return yardage to accentuate his numbers, McCaffrey could go over 1,000 yards in both rushing and receiving and still be nowhere near the all-purpose yards record.

For that reason alone, there’s no purpose to betting “yes” on this prop.

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