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Odds to Be Pittsburgh Steelers Week 1 QB Favor Mitchell Trubisky

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

May 10, 2022 · 7:19 AM PDT

Mitchell Trubisky
Oct 3, 2021; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Mitchell Trubisky (10) warms up prior to the game against the Houston Texans at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports
  • Mitchell Trubisky is the -148 odds-on favorite to be named starting quarterback of the Pittsburgh Steelers for the 2022 NFL season
  • Trubisky spent last season as Josh Allen’s backup with the Buffalo Bills
  • He’s been a starter in 50 of his 57 career NFL appearances

Mitchell Trubisky may be new to the Pittsburgh Steelers. However, he’s not new to being an NFL starting quarterback.

In four seasons with the Chicago Bears, Trubisky started 50 of 51 games. Compared to Mason Rudolph (10 career starts) and incoming rookie Kenny Pickett, Trubisky, 27, is a grizzled veteran.

In the battle for the starting QB role with the Steelers, oddsmakers are leaning heavily toward Trubisky being the winner of this showdown. He is being listed as the odds-on -148 favorite to be the man under center when Pittsburgh opens the 2022 NFL regular season.

Pittsburgh Steelers Week 1 Starting QB Odds

Quarterback Odds
Mitchell Trubisky -148
Kenny Pickett +112
Mason Rudolph +2500

Odds as of May 10th at FanDuel Sportsbook

Kenny Pickett, the Steelers’ 2022 first-round draft pick out of Pitt, is set as the second betting choice at +112. Veteran backup Mason Rudolph is a +2500 longshot to land the role. Pittsburgh’s #1 QB position became open when two-time Super Bowl champion Ben Roethlisberger announced his retirement following the 2021 campaign.


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No matter who wins the job, they are facing an uphill battle in order to turn the Steelers into contenders. Pittsburgh is the +1000 longshot to win the division in the AFC North odds. No other team in the division among the Cincinnati Bengals, Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns are showing a betting line longer than +220.

Trubisky Has Inside Track to Steelers QB Job

The Steelers wasted no time in getting Trubisky’s name on a contract. That should tell you something.

It was only a couple of hours into the NFL’s free agency tampering window when the Steelers were announcing that they’d agreed to contract terms with Trubisky. The veteran QB turned down an offer from the New York Giants because Trubisky felt that the Steelers offered the best chance for him to win a starting position.

For all the abuse he took from Bears fans over the years, the data is indicating that Trubisky isn’t the terrible QB they make him out to be. He got the Bears to the playoffs in two of his four seasons.

Trubisky threw for 24 touchdown passes in 2018. Twice he finished with passer ratings of better than 93.5. Trubisky’s record as an NFL starter is 29-21.

Pickett Is Pittsburgh’s QB of Future

From Pitt to Pittsburgh. Kenny Pickett’s destiny certainly has a fairy tale type ring to it. At some point, in the near future, if all goes well, Pickett will be the #1 QB for the Steelers. They didn’t select him 20th overall in the NFL Draft to sit on the bench.

Historically, Pickett fits the mold of what the Steelers like in a QB. Since 1970, Pittsburgh has played 809 NFL regular-season games. Just 98 of them were started by a QB who wasn’t homegrown. That’s 12.11%.

Terry Bradshaw and Roethlisberger, the two Pittsburgh QBs to win Super Bowls, were first-round picks like Pickett.

Steelers Have Been There, Done That With Rudolph

Rudolph has been given the chance to start 10 games for the Steelers. He’s 5-4-1 with a passer rating of 80.1.

Last season, Rudolph was the starter for one game. He failed to beat the Detroit Lions. At the time, the Lions were the NFL’s only winless club.

It’s Trubisky’s Job to Lose

Pickett is the betting favorite in the NFL OROY odds. He may very well be Pittsburgh’s QB of the future. However, Pickett will need to be absolutely lights out in training camp and preseason play to usurp the role as the Steelers’ #1 QB from Trubisky.

For the present, look for the Steelers to roll with Trubisky as their QB. He might not be a hall of famer but he gives Pittsburgh the best chance to win.

Best Bet: Mitchell Trubisky (-148)

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