2022 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker
- Get the latest odds to win the NFL’s 2022 Offensive Rookie of the Year award
- Steelers QB Kenny Pickett is back to being the favorite to win NFL OROY
- Track each player’s OROY odds throughout the 2022-23 NFL season
We’re tracking 2022 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from the time they open, through the 2022-2023 NFL season, and right up until the award is handed out. Although the NFL Draft is still to come, sports betting apps have already opened odds to win NFL OROY.
The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our top sportsbooks.
Top NFL OROY Contenders
Even though the NFL Draft odds suggested no quarterbacks were going to hear their names called that early on April 28, Malik Willis and Kenny Pickett still opened as the co-favorites to win the NFL OROY award.
The odds were correct, as no quarterback was taken until the 20th-overall pick when the Steelers called Pickett’s name. Pickett still remained the favorite to win NFL OROY after the first-round was complete, but Malik Willis saw his odds fade significantly.
After the NFL Draft wrapped up, we saw Falcons wide receiver Drake London take over as the new favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. London went eighth-overall and expects to slot into the top receiver spot in Atlanta. This was short-lived, though, as Pickett regained the top spot after receiving praise from Pittsburgh’s GM.
Odds to Win 2022 NFL OROY
|Player||Pos||Team||Odds to win 2022 NFL OROY|
|Kenneth Walker III||RB||Seahawks||+1000|
*Odds as of July 26 at Caesars Sportsbook. Be sure you check out the best Caesars Sportsbook promo before signing up.
Kenny Pickett is the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Pickett was drafted 20th-overall by the Steelers. His odds are +500 right now. Drake London and Treylon Burks are listed second with +750 odds to win the award.
Based on the odds, Pickett has a 16.7% chance of winning NFL OROY, while London and Burks each have an 11.8% chance. If you placed a $20 bet on Pickett, the potential profit would be $100, returning $120.
Here are some more notes on odds movement:
- [May 6] Steelers GM Kevin Colbert praised Kenny Pickett’s readiness today, comparing him to Joe Burrow when he came out of LSU. Colbert believes Pickett basically spent his NFL rookie season at Pitt when he decided to return for a fifth year. All this talk about Pickett being ready to play in the NFL bodes well for his chances to start Week 1, which has resulted in him becoming the favorite to win NFL OROY again. Pickett’s odds improved from +600 to +500, while Drake London, who was favored for a brief few days, has faded to +750, tying him for the second-best odds with Treylon Burks.
- [May 2] After the conclusion of the NFL Draft, Drake London has become the new favorite to win NFL OROY. London’s odds improved from +600 to +550, while the former favorite, Kenny Pickett, saw his odds fade from +450 to +600. Malik Willis, who wasn’t taken until the third-round by the Titans, saw his odds plummet from +750 to +1400 with the likelihood of him spending his rookie season on the bench behind Ryan Tannehill. James Cook saw his odds go the other way when he was drafted by the Buffalo Bills in the second-round. Cook went from +4600 to +1500. Skyy Moore’s NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds improved significantly as well after finding out he will be a member of the high-powered Chiefs offense. Moore’s odds went from +3000 to +1000. Fellow wide receiver Christian Watson saw the most dramatic movement, though. Watson’s OROY odds went from +5000 all the way to +950 after hearing his name called by the Green Bay Packers, where he may slot in as Aaron Rodgers’ number one option.
- [April 28] Kenny Pickett has broken away as the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year after the quarterback was drafted by the Pittsburgh Steelers with the 20th-overall pick. Pickett was the first QB to come off the board and the only one taken in the first round. His odds improved from +500 to +450. Malik Willis, who is still waiting to find out which team he’ll be playing for, has seen his odds fade from +500 to +750. Drake London, who was taken by the Falcons with the eighth-overall pick, was the first wide receiver selected in the draft, and has seen his NFL OROY odds go from +1000 to +600. No wide receiver was taken by the Packers or Chiefs in the first round, which was the move that could have really blown up these OROY odds. Treylon Burks did see some improvement, though, going from +1000 to +750 odds after he was drafted by the Titans to fill the void left by AJ Browns’ departure.
- [April 12] We are still more than two weeks from the 2022 NFL Draft, but NFL OROY odds have opened. The top two quarterbacks in the draft, Malik Willis and Kenny Pickett, have opened as the co-favorites to win Offensive Rookie of the Year with +500 odds each. Running back Breece Hall is third on the board with +800 odds.
Offensive Rookie of the Year Trends
Here are some recent trends to know before betting on the award:
- Justin Herbert (2020), Kyler Murray (2019), and Dak Prescott (2016) are the only QBs to win the award in the last nine years
- RBs have won the award in two of the last five seasons and in four of the last nine seasons
- Kyler Murray and Cam Newton (2011) are the only first-overall picks to win the award in the last 11 years
- Dan Marino is the only QB to win OROY with less than 12 starts in his rookie season
- The award has gone to a player from the NFC in 13 of the last 15 seasons – before Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Herbert won the award in back-to-back seasons, Vince Young was the last AFC player to win OROY (2006)
- The Vikings have the most OROY winners with five; there are nine teams who have never had an OROY winner: Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, and Seattle Seahawks
- No TE or offensive lineman has ever won the award
Past NFL OROY Winners
|2014||Odell Beckham Jr|
|2012||Robert Griffin III|
Top Contenders at Each Position
Malik Willis and Kenny Pickett are seen as the top QB prospects in the 2022 NFL Draft. The two are not only the co-favorites to win NFL OROY, but also stand well ahead of the rest of the quarterbacks in the odds.
OROY Winners by Position
|Position||Number of NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Winners|
Top Contenders by Draft Round
Among the 55 Offensive Rookie of the Year award winners, 40 of them were drafted in the first-round of the NFL Draft, and 48 of them were drafted in the first two rounds.
Mike Anderson (RB) of the Denver Broncos is the player selected latest in the draft to win the honors – Anderson was selected 189th overall in 2000.
- Nine of the 11 QBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
- 24 of the 34 RBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
- Seven of the ten WRs to win OROY were drafted in the first-round – Anquan Boldin in 2003 was the last non-first-round WR to win the award
Here are the 15 players selected outside of the first-round who have won the award:
OROY Winners Who Weren’t Drafted in 1st Round
|Player||Position||Draft Pos.||Draft Year|
|Dennis Shaw||QB||2nd-rd (30th overall)||1970|
|Sammy White||WR||2nd-rd (54th overall)||1976|
|Carl Pickens||WR||2nd-rd (31st overall)||1992|
|Anthony Thomas||RB||2nd-rd (38th overall)||2001|
|Clinton Portis||RB||2nd-rd (51st overall)||2002|
|Anquan Boldin||WR||2nd-rd (54th overall)||2003|
|Eddie Lacy||RB||2nd-rd (61st overall)||2013|
|Rueben Mayes||RB||3rd-rd (57th overall)||1986|
|Curtis Martin||RB||3rd-rd (74th overall)||1995|
|Alvin Kamara||RB||3rd-rd (67th overall)||2017|
|Troy Stradford||RB||4th-rd (99th overall)||1987|
|Dak Prescott||QB||4th-rd (135th overall)||2016|
|Mike Thomas||RB||5th-rd (108th overall)||1975|
|Don Woods||RB||6th-rd (134th overall)||1974|
|Mike Anderson||RB||6th-rd (189th overall)||2000|