2021 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker
- Get the latest odds to win the NFL’s 2021 Offensive Rookie of the Year award
- Mac Jones has become the odds-on favorite to win NFL OROY
- Track each player’s odds throughout the 2021 NFL season
We’re tracking 2021 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from the time they open, through the 2021-2022 NFL season, and right up until the award is handed out. The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our top sportsbooks.
Top NFL OROY ContendersAdvertising Disclosure
- [November 29] Mac Jones has now led the Patriots to six straight wins, throwing for 310 yards and two touchdowns in their most recent win over the Titans. Jones’ NFL OROY odds have gone from -105 to -300 after his strong Week 12 performance. Although he has cooled off from his scorching start, Ja’Marr Chase, who posted three catches for 39 yards on Sunday, is still listed at +225 odds. It’s a big gap tp the next player on the board, Jaylen Waddle, who is listed at +3500.
- [November 22] Though he isn’t really blowing up the stat sheet, Mac Jones is now the odds-on favorite to win NFL OROY. His New England Patriots now sit atop the AFC East after a convincing win over the Falcons in Week 11. Ja’Marr Chase did haul in a touchdown against the Raiders, but he only recorded three receptions for 32 yards.
- [November 15] Mac Jones (+125) closed the gap significantly on Ja’Marr Chase (+110), whose Bengals had a bye. Jones threw for 198 yards, three TDs, and no picks in a 45-7 demolition of the Browns.
- [November 1] For the first time this season, we have an odds-on favorite to win the NFL OROY award. Ja’Marr Chase caught another touchdown in Week 8, and his NFL OROY odds are now as short as -140. Mac Jones and Najee Harris are the only other players with odds better than 30-1.
Odds to Win 2021 NFL OROY
|Player||Pos||Team||Odds to win 2021 NFL OROY|
*Odds as of November 29
Here are some more notes on odds movement:
- [October 25] Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase not only continued his strong rookie season, but actually put forth his best performance yet in Week 7. Chase posted eight receptions for 201 yards and a touchdown against a good Ravens secondary. The fifth-overall pick from the 2021 NFL Draft is now seeing his NFL OROY odds nearing even money.
- [October 11] After another big game in Week 5, which included 159 yards and a touchdown, Ja’Marr Chase is back to being the favorite to win NFL OROY. Trey Lance’s NFL OROY odds faded a little bit after a rather uninspiring first start.
- [October 4] Most sportsbooks have Mac Jones back as their favorite to win NFL OROY. The Patriots’ rookie signal-caller nearly spoiled Tom Brady’s return to Foxborough in Week 4, keeping up with Brady every step of the way. Trey Lance’s odds have also improved, but just slightly, after he took over for an injured Jimmy Garoppolo in Week 4. Lance is scheduled to start Week 5 and potentially beyond.
- [September 27] Justin Fields’ NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds took a hit after he struggled mightily in his first career start. Fellow quarterbacks Trevor Lawrence, Zach Wilson, and Mac Jones also stumbled in Week 3, opening the door for Ja’Marr Chase, who has four touchdowns through the first three weeks, to become the new favorite to win NFL OROY at some sportsbooks.
- [September 20] Zach Wilson’s NFL OROY odds took a big hit after he threw four interceptions against the Patriots in Week 2. San Francisco running back Elijah Mitchell is now on the board as a top ten contender after seeing the bulk of carries for a second straight week.
- [September 14] After Trevor Lawrence threw three interceptions in Week 1 as his Jaguars were upset by the lowly Texans, the first overall pick from the 2021 NFL Draft is no longer the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. For the first time this season, that title belongs to another player: Mac Jones. DeVonta Smith and Ja’Marr Chase got their NFL careers off to great starts and each saw their NFL OROY odds improve dramatically. Kyle Pitts’ debut was much quieter, though, and his odds have gone from an average of +1050 to +1600.
- [August 31] Mac Jones’ odds to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year have improved from an average of +1000 to as short as +500 after the Patriots cut Cam Newton, putting Jones in the starting role. Jones, Zach Wilson, and Trevor Lawrence are the only three rookie quarterbacks expected to start in Week 1.
- [August 16] Najee Harris’ NFL OROY odds have improved from an average of +1013 to +833 after Pittsburgh’s first two preseason games clearly showed they’re eager to get their first-round RB the ball. Elijah Moore is another name making headlines in training camp, and he’s seen his odds move from +4625 to +3333 after catching eyes at Jets’ camp. Fellow Jets rookie Michael Carter is also making a move up the board, going from +5600 to +3667. On the other hand, Ja’Marr Chase has seen his Offensive Rookie of the Year odds slip from +1350 to +1567 with the Bengals offense not getting off to a great start in camp.
- [June 14] Kyle Pitts’ NFL OROY odds have improved from an average of +1125 to +975, thanks to the Falcons shipping Julio Jones to the Titans. As a result, Pitts will be a top-two option in Atlanta for Matt Ryan. Najee Harris has also seen his odds improve, and is now as short as +500. You can still find the Steelers running back as long as +1400, though.
- [May 3] With Bill Belichick announcing that it’s still Cam Newton’s team in New England, Mac Jones’ NFL OROY odds continue to fade, landing at +1075. On the other hand, Trey Sermon and Michael Carter both saw their odds improve thanks to being drafted into great opportunities. Sermon benefits from being drafted by Kyle Shanahan’s 49ers, where every running back has success. Carter enters a Jets backfield that looks like a wide open contest for the starting role.
- [April 30] With the 49ers taking Trey Lance third-overall, the quarterback saw his NFL OROY odds improve from +1100 to +663, the third-best odds among all rookies. Jaylen Waddle also saw his Offensive Rookie of the Year odds improve after being selected sixth-overall by the Miami Dolphins. Waddle went from +2000 to +1575, the ninth-best odds on the board. Mac Jones had the fourth-best odds at +750 entering NFL Draft night, but fell to +913 odds when his name wasn’t called by San Francisco, but New England at 15. Travis Etienne was another player whose NFL OROY odds were harmed by the team he went to, as the Clemson RB is going to be in a crowded backfield with James Robinson and Carlos Hyde in Jacksonville. Etienne went from +1700 to as long as +2500 at DraftKings.
- [April 21] Trevor Lawrence, who is projected to be taken first overall by the Jacksonville Jaguars in the 2021 NFL Draft, has opened as the clear favorite to win the 2021 NFL OROY award. Justin Fields, who is battling with Mac Jones to be taken third overall by the 49ers, has the second-best odds. Kyle Pitts, a tight end from Florida, has the best odds among non-quarterbacks.
Offensive Rookie of the Year Trends
Here are some recent trends to know before betting on the award:
- Justin Herbert (2020), Kyler Murray (2019), and Dak Prescott (2016) are the only QBs to win the award in the last eight years
- RBs have won the award in two of the last four seasons and in four of the last eight seasons
- Kyler Murray and Cam Newton (2011) are the only first-overall picks to win the award in the last ten years
- Dan Marino is the only QB to win OROY with less than 12 starts in his rookie season
- The award has gone to a player from the NFC in 13 of the last 14 seasons – Vince Young in 2006 is the last AFC player to win it prior to Herbert in 2020
- The Vikings have the most OROY winners with five; there are nine teams who have never had an OROY winner: Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, and Seattle Seahawks
- No TE or offensive lineman has ever won the award
Past NFL OROY Winners
|2014||Odell Beckham Jr|
|2012||Robert Griffin III|
Top Contenders at Each Position
Trevor Lawrence is extremely likely to start at QB in Week 1 for the Jacksonville Jaguars, as is Zach Wilson for the New York Jets. But whoever is drafted by the 49ers at no. 3 might still have to compete with Jimmy Garoppolo. The QB passed on by the 49ers, and Trey Lance, are likely set for camp battles to start for their respective teams.
OROY Winners by Position
|Position||Number of NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Winners|
Top Contenders by Draft Round
Among the 54 Offensive Rookie of the Year award winners, 39 of them were drafted in the first-round of the NFL Draft, and 47 of them were drafted in the first two rounds.
Mike Anderson (RB) of the Denver Broncos is the player selected latest in the draft to win the honors – Anderson was selected 189th overall in 2000.
- Nine of the 11 QBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
- 24 of the 34 RBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
- Six of the nine WRs to win OROY were drafted in the first-round – Anquan Boldin in 2003 was the last non-first-round WR to win the award
Here are the 15 players selected outside of the first-round who have won the award:
OROY Winners Who Weren’t Drafted in 1st Round
|Player||Position||Draft Pos.||Draft Year|
|Dennis Shaw||QB||2nd-rd (30th overall)||1970|
|Sammy White||WR||2nd-rd (54th overall)||1976|
|Carl Pickens||WR||2nd-rd (31st overall)||1992|
|Anthony Thomas||RB||2nd-rd (38th overall)||2001|
|Clinton Portis||RB||2nd-rd (51st overall)||2002|
|Anquan Boldin||WR||2nd-rd (54th overall)||2003|
|Eddie Lacy||RB||2nd-rd (61st overall)||2013|
|Rueben Mayes||RB||3rd-rd (57th overall)||1986|
|Curtis Martin||RB||3rd-rd (74th overall)||1995|
|Alvin Kamara||RB||3rd-rd (67th overall)||2017|
|Troy Stradford||RB||4th-rd (99th overall)||1987|
|Dak Prescott||QB||4th-rd (135th overall)||2016|
|Mike Thomas||RB||5th-rd (108th overall)||1975|
|Don Woods||RB||6th-rd (134th overall)||1974|
|Mike Anderson||RB||6th-rd (189th overall)||2000|