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  • Get the latest odds to win the NFL’s 2020 Offensive Rookie of the Year award
  • Justin Herbert has the NFL OROY award all but locked up according to the odds
  • See how the odds have changed throughout the course of the year

We’re tracking 2020 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from the time they open, through the 2020-2021 NFL season, and right up until the award is handed out. The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our top online sports betting sites.

Top NFL OROY Contenders

  • [February 6, 2021] To the surprise of no one who had been following the odds, Just Herbert has been named the 2020 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year at the NFL Honors
  • [December 29] Herbert has now led the Chargers to three straight wins, and sees his NFL OROY odds improve to a season-best -1600
  • [December 22] Beating the Raiders on Thursday Night Football of Week 15 has seen Justin Herbert’s NFL OROY odds improve from -825 to -1050, implying a 91.3% chance to win the award
  • [December 15] Only three players remain on the board: Justin Herbert, Justin Jefferson, and Tua Tagovailoa. The Chargers’ quarterback tightened his grip on the award after beating the Falcons in Week 14. Herbert’s odds improved from -500 to -825
  • [December 9] Justin Herbert struggled mightily against the Patriots in Week 13, posting a 43.7 passer rating, by far the worst of his career. Herbert’s stranglehold on the NFL OROY loosened as a result, with his odds fading from -1067 to -500. Justin Jefferson’s odds continued to improve, however, going from +1000 to +475
  • [December 3] For the first time this season, Justin Jefferson has the second-best odds to win NFL OROY, though his +1000 odds are a ways away from Justin Herbert who is given -1067 odds after Week 12
  • [November 24] Joe Burrow had been neck-and-neck with Justin Herbert in the NFL OROY odds, but has now been removed from the board after suffering a season-ending injury in Week 11; Herbert’s odds have improved from +117 to -825, and Justin Jefferson has the second-best odds after Tua Tagovailoa was benched against the Broncos
  • [November 17] With both Justin Herbert and Joe Burrow struggling in Week 10, Tua Tagovailoa’s NFL OROY odds have improved from +800 to +383, significantly closing the gap between him and the top two
  • [November 10] Justin Herbert just fell short against the Raiders in Week 9, but another solid performance has him back as the odds-on favorite to win NFL OROY; a great game from Tua Tagovailoa has resulted in his odds improving from +1750 to +800
  • [November 3] Joe Burrow’s win over the Titans in Week 8 has caused a split in the sportsbooks as to who the favorite should be. Herbert remains the favorite based on average odds, but he’s no longer an odds-on favorite.
  • [October 27] After getting the first win of his career in Week 7, Justin Herbert’s NFL OROY odds have reached a new best of -168
  • [October 20] In spite of a great performance in Week 6, Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s NFL OROY odds faded due to the Chiefs signing Le’Veon Bell; Tua Tagovailoa saw his odds improve after being named Miami’s starter in Week 8 (after their bye), and two wide receivers, Justin Jefferson and CHase Claypool, have cracked the top five contenders
  • [October 14] Another strong performance that nearly led to Justin Herbert leading the Chargers to victory over the Saints has resulted in LA’s QB becoming the new favorite to win NFL OROY
  • [October 6] A second consecutive 100-yard game for Justin Jefferson has seen his odds improve from +7125 to +1500 in a matter of two weeks; the Vikings WR now has the sixth-best odds to win NFL OROY
  • [September 29] James Robinson now has the third-best NFL OROY odds after another great game in Week 3; Justin Jefferson’s odds improved from +7125 to +4050 after his huge performance that consisted of 175 receiving yards and a touchdown
  • [September 22] Joe Burrow is back to being favored after a Week 2 performance that saw him throw for 316 yards and three touchdowns; Justin Herbert’s odds improved from +2900 to +1438 after his surprise start; and Jaguars undrafted rookie RB James Robinson received odds for the first time, opening among the top five contenders
  • [September 15] For the first time this season, Joe Burrow is not favored to win NFL OROY; following a strong Week 1 performance, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is now the favorite
  • [September 9] After Washington released Adrian Peterson, Antonio Gibson’s NFL OROY odds improved from +11250 to +2525, putting him among the top 20 contenders; he’s listed as short as +1200 at one sportsbook
  • [July 30] With Damien Williams opting out of the 2020 NFL season, Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s NFL OROY odds have shortened from an average of +463 to +365
  • [June 12] Rams RB Cam Akers, who looks to take over for Todd Gurley, is now a top five Offensive Rookie of the Year contender after his odds shortened from +1950 to +1450; Ke’Shawn Vaughn, whose odds opened at +10000, has cracked the top ten contenders now that Tampa Bay has revealed they foresee a big role for the rookie RB in their offense
  • [April 27] Clyde Edwards-Helaire was the big winner of the NFL Draft, as he was selected 32nd overall by the Kansas City Chiefs, resulting in his odds shortening from from +1900 to +669 (the second-best odds); Zack Moss (Bills), Denzel Mims (Jets), and KJ Hamler (Broncos) all saw their odds plummet after the draft
  • [March 27] Even though we are still a month away from the 2020 NFL Draft, Joe Burrow, the likely no. 1 pick, has opened as the heavy favorite to win 2020 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year

Odds to Win 2020 NFL OROY

Player Pos Team Odds to win 2020 NFL OROY
Justin Herbert QB LAC -1200
Justin Jefferson WR MIN +700
Jonathan Taylor RB IND +900
Joe Burrow QB CIN N/A
Tua Tagovailoa QB MIA N/A
Antonio Gibson RB WAS N/A
Chase Claypool WR PIT N/A
James Robinson RB JAX N/A
Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB KC N/A
CeeDee Lamb WR DAL N/A

*Odds updated December 29

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Offensive Rookie of the Year Trends

Here are some recent trends to know before betting on the award:

  • Dak Prescott (2016) and Kyler Murray (2019) are the only QBs to win the award in the last seven years
  • RBs have won the award in two of the last three seasons and in four of the last seven seasons
  • Kyler Murray and Cam Newton (2011) are the only first-overall picks to win the award in the last nine years
  • Dan Marino is the only QB to win OROY with less than 12 starts in his rookie season
  • The award has gone to a player from the NFC in 13 straight seasons – Vince Young in 2006 is the last AFC player to win it
  • The Vikings have the most OROY winners with five; there are nine teams who have never had an OROY winner: Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, and Seattle Seahawks
  • No TE or offensive lineman has ever won the award

Top Contenders at Each Position

It’s a near certainty that Joe Burrow will start under center for the Bengals in 2020. But depending who drafts them, Tua Tagovailoa and Justin Herbert could also be Day 1 starters for their respective teams.

OROY Winners by Position

Position No. of NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Winners
Quarterback 10
Running Back 34
Wide Receiver 9

Top Contenders by Draft Round

Among the 53 Offensive Rookie of the Year award winners, 38 of them were drafted in the first-round of the NFL Draft, and 46 of them were drafted in the first two rounds.

Mike Anderson (RB) of the Denver Broncos is the player selected latest in the draft to win the honors – Anderson was selected 189th overall in 2000.

  • Eight of the ten QBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
  • 24 of the 34 RBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
  • Six of the nine WRs to win OROY were drafted in the first-round – Anquan Boldin in 2003 was the last non-first-round WR to win the award

Here are the 15 players selected outside of the first-round who have won the award:

OROY Winners Who Weren’t Drafted in 1st Round

Player Position Draft Pos. Draft Year
Dennis Shaw QB 2nd-rd (30th overall) 1970
Sammy White WR 2nd-rd (54th overall) 1976
Carl Pickens WR 2nd-rd (31st overall) 1992
Anthony Thomas RB 2nd-rd (38th overall) 2001
Clinton Portis RB 2nd-rd (51st overall) 2002
Anquan Boldin WR 2nd-rd (54th overall) 2003
Eddie Lacy RB 2nd-rd (61st overall) 2013
Rueben Mayes RB 3rd-rd (57th overall) 1986
Curtis Martin RB 3rd-rd (74th overall) 1995
Alvin Kamara RB 3rd-rd (67th overall) 2017
Troy Stradford RB 4th-rd (99th overall) 1987
Dak Prescott QB 4th-rd (135th overall) 2016
Mike Thomas RB 5th-rd (108th overall) 1975
Don Woods RB 6th-rd (134th overall) 1974
Mike Anderson RB 6th-rd (189th overall) 2000

Archived OROY Odds: 2019, 2018

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.