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  • Get the latest odds to win the NFL’s 2023 Offensive Rookie of the Year award
  • Running back Bijan Robinson is the favorite to win 2023 NFL OROY
  • Track each player’s OROY odds throughout the 2023-24 NFL season

We’re tracking 2023 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from the time they open, through the 2023-2024 NFL season, and right up until the award is handed out. Sports betting apps had opened NFL OROY odds even before the NFL Draft took place, and had Bijan Robinson as the favorite right from the start.

The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our top sportsbooks.

Top NFL OROY Contenders

Even though the NFL Draft odds nailed quarterbacks coming off the board early and often, it is a running back who has opened as the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Former Texas running back Bijan Robinson, who was selected eighth-overall by the Falcons, opened with +450 odds and saw those odds improve to +300 after the first round of the draft. He is now as short as +175.

Robinson’s odds are better than the first-overall pick, Bryce Young, who is given +1500 odds. As you might have expected, the NFL OROY odds did change pretty dramatically following the NFL Draft, since the fit and opportunity are crucial to offensive players having success in their first seasons. These odds will see even more movement in the first couple week of the season, when we get to see these rookies in their first real games and find out how involved they will be in their respective offenses.

Odds to Win 2023 NFL OROY

Player Pos Team Odds to win 2023 NFL OROY
Bijan Robinson RB Falcons +175
Anthony Richardson QB Colts +225
Puka Nacua WR Rams +700
CJ Stroud QB Texans +1200
Jahmyr Gibbs RB Lions +1500
Zay Flowers WR Ravens +1500
Bryce Young QB Panthers +1500
Jordan Addison WR Vikings +1500
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR Seahawks +2200
Quentin Johnston WR Chargers +2500
Rashee Rice WR Chiefs +3000
Dalton Kincaid TE Bills +3000
Jonathan Mingo WR Panthers +5000
Roschon Johnson RB Bears +5000
De’Von Achane RB Dolphins +5000
Jalin Hyatt WR Giants +5000
Tyjae Spears RB Titans +5000
Zach Charbonnet RB Seahawks +6000
Tank Bigsby RB Jaguars +7000
Josh Downs WR Colts +7500

Bijan Robinson is currently the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Robinson is given +175 odds. If you bet $20 on him, you’d stand to win $35 and return $55.

Rounding out the top five OROY contenders are: Anthony Richardson (+225), Puka Nacua (+700), CJ Stroud (+1200), and Jahmyr Gibbs (+1500).

*Odds as of September 18 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure you check out the best DraftKings Sportsbook promo before signing up.

There are plenty of other great bonuses to claim as well including top BetMGM offers and Caesars Sportsbook promos. There is also an excellent Bet365 bonus code for new users to claim and the Bet365 brand has some of the most competitive odds in the business.

Here are some more notes on odds movement:

  • [September 18] Bijan Robinson exploded in Week 2 with 172 yards from scrimmage in helping lead Atlanta to a win over the Packers. Robinson’s NFL OROY odds improved from +250 to +175. In spite of only playing one quarter in Week 2, Anthony Richardson’s odds also improved, going from +500 to +225. The Colts’ QB did score two rushing touchdowns before leaving the game with a concussion. Puka Nacua continues to impress in LA and now has the third-best odds to win OROY. Nacua went from +4000 to +700 after Week 2.
  • [September 11] Anthony Richardson has the second-best odds to win NFL OROY after Week 1. Richardson put forth an encouraging effort and threw for a touchdown while adding one on the ground as well. He overtook Bryce Young for the second-best odds after Young’s odds faded from +500 to +700 after throwing two interceptions in his debut. The biggest moves came from Ravens WR Zay Flowers, who improved from +1800 to +1100 after catching nine balls for 78 yards, and Puka Nacua, who went from extremely long +15000 odds to +4000 after hauling in ten catches for 119 yards.
  • [September 5] Jaxon Smith-Njigba has seen his odds fade from +1500 to +2000 after suffering a wrist injury in Seattle’s second preseason game. JSN’s status for Week 1 is currently looking doubtful. Zay Flowers’ NFL OROY odds are moving in the other direction after dazzling throughout camp. Flowers saw his odds improve from +3000 to +1800.
  • [June 2] With positive reports coming out of Colts camp about Anthony Richardson, the QB has seen his OROY odds improve from +900 to +600, the third-best odds on the board.
  • [April 28] Bijan Robinson, who was already the favorite to win NFL OROY, saw his odds improve from +450 to +300 after being drafted eighth-overall by the Atlanta Falcons. Robinson joins an offense that rushed for the third-most yards per game and fourth-most yards per carry last season. Jaxon Smith-Njigba also saw positive movement after he was drafted by the Seahawks, seeing his odds go from +1000 to +650. Will Levis, who was not taken in the first round, saw his odds fade from +1200 to +2500 with him now likely joining a team where he will play backup for at least a year.
  • [April 21] Just less than a week before the NFL Draft, we saw sportsbooks open NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds. All sportsbooks opened running back Bijan Robinson as the favorite with quarterback Bryce Young close behind.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Offensive Rookie of the Year Trends

Here are some recent trends to know before betting on the award:

  • Justin Herbert (2020), Kyler Murray (2019), and Dak Prescott (2016) are the only QBs to win the award in the last ten years
  • RBs have won the award in two of the last six seasons and in four of the last ten seasons
  • Kyler Murray and Cam Newton (2011) are the only first-overall picks to win the award in the last 11 years
  • Dan Marino is the only QB to win OROY with less than 12 starts in his rookie season
  • The award has gone to a player from the NFC in 13 of the last 16 seasons – before Garrett Wilson, Ja’Marr Chase, and Justin Herbert won the award in back-to-back-to-back seasons, Vince Young was the last AFC player to win OROY (2006)
  • The Vikings have the most OROY winners with five; there are eight teams who have never had an OROY winner: Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, and Seattle Seahawks
  • No TE or offensive lineman has ever won the award

Past NFL OROY Winners

Year OROY Winner
2022 Garrett Wilson
2021 Ja’Marr Chase
2020 Justin Herbert
2019 Kyler Murray
2018 Saquon Barkley
2017 Alvin Kamara
2016 Dak Prescott
2015 Todd Gurley
2014 Odell Beckham Jr
2013 Eddie Lacy

Top Contenders at Each Position

Bryce Young, Bijan Robinson, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Michael Mayer have opened as the favorites at their respective positions.

OROY Winners by Position

Position Number of NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Winners
Quarterback 11
Running Back 34
Wide Receiver 11

Top Contenders by Draft Round

Among the 56 Offensive Rookie of the Year award winners, 41 of them were drafted in the first-round of the NFL Draft, and 49 of them were drafted in the first two rounds.

Mike Anderson (RB) of the Denver Broncos is the player selected latest in the draft to win the honors – Anderson was selected 189th overall in 2000.

  • Nine of the 11 QBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
  • 24 of the 34 RBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
  • Eight of the 11 WRs to win OROY were drafted in the first-round – Anquan Boldin in 2003 was the last non-first-round WR to win the award

Here are the 15 players selected outside of the first-round who have won the award:

OROY Winners Who Weren’t Drafted in 1st Round

Player Position Draft Pos. Draft Year
Dennis Shaw QB 2nd-rd (30th overall) 1970
Sammy White WR 2nd-rd (54th overall) 1976
Carl Pickens WR 2nd-rd (31st overall) 1992
Anthony Thomas RB 2nd-rd (38th overall) 2001
Clinton Portis RB 2nd-rd (51st overall) 2002
Anquan Boldin WR 2nd-rd (54th overall) 2003
Eddie Lacy RB 2nd-rd (61st overall) 2013
Rueben Mayes RB 3rd-rd (57th overall) 1986
Curtis Martin RB 3rd-rd (74th overall) 1995
Alvin Kamara RB 3rd-rd (67th overall) 2017
Troy Stradford RB 4th-rd (99th overall) 1987
Dak Prescott QB 4th-rd (135th overall) 2016
Mike Thomas RB 5th-rd (108th overall) 1975
Don Woods RB 6th-rd (134th overall) 1974
Mike Anderson RB 6th-rd (189th overall) 2000

Archived OROY Odds: 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.