2024-25 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker
- Get the latest odds to win the NFL’s 2024-25 Offensive Rookie of the Year award
- Quarterback Caleb Williams is the early favorite to win 2024-25 NFL OROY
- Track each player’s OROY odds throughout the 2024-25 NFL season
I am tracking 2024-25 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from the time they open, through the 2024-2025 NFL season, and right up until the award is handed out. Sports betting apps opened NFL OROY odds for the 2024-25 season nearly a week before the NFL Draft. These odds, of course, saw significant movement once we did find out where each player would be calling home this year.
The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our top sportsbooks.
Top NFL OROY Contenders
The NFL Draft odds were correct in predicting the Chicago Bears would take Caleb Williams with the first-overall pick, putting him in an offense surrounded by the talents of DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Cole Kmet, D’Andre Swift, as well as the ninth-overall pick Rome Odunze. The new Bears quarterback opened as the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year for the 2024-25 NFL season, and his odds only got better after Chicago added another receiver to his arsenal.
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Marvin Harrison Jr, Malik Nabers, and Rome Odunze, who were the first three receivers off the board in the NFL Draft, all had short odds to win the award prior to the draft. However, both Nabers and Odunze saw their odds fade after being selected by less than ideal teams for their OROY potential. Nabers, whose odds didn’t totally tank, will be catching passes from Daniel Jones in New York this year, while Odunze becomes the third-best receiver on his team behind DJ Moore and Keenan Allen. The receiver who appears to be the biggest winner on draft night was Xavier Worthy, who was drafted by the Chiefs and now moves from a top 13 contender to a top six.
The drafts other top quarterbacks – Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, and JJ McCarthy – all ended up in great spots where they are likely to start Week 1. McCarthy’s new home in Minnesota resulted in the biggest odds improvement among the three.
Odds to Win 2024-25 NFL OROY
Player
|
Best Odds
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Williams, Caleb
|
+200
|
+210
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Harrison Jr, Marvin
|
+600
|
+600
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Daniels, Jayden
|
+650
|
+1000
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
McCarthy, J.J.
|
+800
|
+1000
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Nabers, Malik
|
+900
|
+1400
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Worthy, Xavier
|
+1600
|
+1600
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Maye, Drake
|
+1600
|
+2000
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Odunze, Rome
|
+1800
|
+2500
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Thomas Jr, Brian
|
+2500
|
+2500
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Nix, BO
|
+1600
|
+3000
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Bowers, Brock
|
+2500
|
+4000
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
McConkey, Ladd
|
+4000
|
+3500
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Mitchell, Adonai
|
+3500
|
+4000
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Wright, Jaylen
|
+4000
|
+4000
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Pearsall, Ricky
|
+4000
|
+4000
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Coleman, Keon
|
+5000
|
+2500
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Brooks, Jonathon
|
+5000
|
+3400
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Benson, Trey
|
+4000
|
+5000
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Legette, Xavier
|
+4000
|
+5000
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Corum, Blake
|
+5000
|
+4500
|
-
|
-
|
Caleb Williams is currently the favorite to win NFL OROY for the 2024-25 NFL season. Williams is given +200 odds to take home the award, and his probability to win it based on those odds is 33.3%. If you placed a $20 bet on Williams at +200 odds, you would stand to win $40 and return $60.
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Rounding out the top five OROY contenders are: Marvin Harrison Jr (+600), Jayden Daniels (+650), JJ McCarthy (+800), and Malik Nabers (+900).
*The NFL OROY odds in the table above are gathered from the top online sportsbooks, including DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM, and are updated every 1-2 hours. Be sure you check out the best DraftKings Sportsbook promo before signing up.
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Here are some more notes on odds movement:
- [April 25] The first round of the NFL Draft brought plenty of big OROY odds movement. Starting with quarterbacks, we saw JJ McCarthy drafted tenth-overall by the Vikings, resulting in his odds improving from as long as +1600 to as short as +800. Bo Nix, who was drafted 12th-overall by the Broncos, saw his OROY odds improve from +3500 to +1600, as he expects to walk in and start in Denver. Michael Penix Jr, on the other hand, is now an afterthought in NFL OROY odds, as he went from +1800 to +6000 since he’ll be backing up Kirk Cousins in Atlanta. Malik Nabers, who had the third-best odds prior to the draft, saw his odds fade from as short as +700 to as long as +1400 when he was selected by the Giants. Rome Odunze’s NFL OROY odds suffered a similar fate when he was drafted by the Bears, who now have an awful lot of mouths to feed. Odunze’s odds were as short as +1000 before the draft but are now as long as +2500. The receiver who benefitted the most from the team who drafted him is Xavier Worthy. The new Chiefs wide receiver was as long as +4000 to win OROY before the draft, but is now as short as +1600.
- [April 19] Sportsbooks, namely DraftKings, has opened the odds to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year for the 2024-25 NFL season, despite not knowing where any of these incoming rookies will be playing yet. Caleb Williams has opened as a pretty heavy favorite with +275 odds. Marvin Harrison Jr opened with the second-best odds at +550.
Offensive Rookie of the Year Trends
Here are some recent trends to know before betting on the award:
- CJ Stroud (2023-24), Justin Herbert (2020), Kyler Murray (2019), and Dak Prescott (2016) are the only QBs to win the award in the last ten years
- RBs have won the award in two of the last seven seasons and in four of the last 11 seasons
- Kyler Murray and Cam Newton (2011) are the only first-overall picks to win the award in the last 12 years
- Dan Marino is the only QB to win OROY with less than 12 starts in his rookie season
- The award has gone to a player from the NFC in 13 of the last 17 seasons, but the AFC has won the last four – before CJ Stroud, Garrett Wilson, Ja’Marr Chase, and Justin Herbert won the award in each of the last four seasons, Vince Young was the previous AFC player to win OROY (2006)
- The Vikings have the most OROY winners with five; there are seven teams who have never had an OROY winner: Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, and Seattle Seahawks
- No TE or offensive lineman has ever won the award
Past NFL OROY Winners
| Year | OROY Winner |
|---|---|
| 2023 | CJ Stroud |
| 2022 | Garrett Wilson |
| 2021 | Ja’Marr Chase |
| 2020 | Justin Herbert |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray |
| 2018 | Saquon Barkley |
| 2017 | Alvin Kamara |
| 2016 | Dak Prescott |
| 2015 | Todd Gurley |
| 2014 | Odell Beckham Jr |
Top Contenders at Each Position
Caleb Williams (QB), Marvin Harrison Jr (WR), Brock Bowers (TE), and Jaylen Wright / Trey Benson (RB) have opened as the favorites at their respective positions.
OROY Winners by Position
| Position | Number of NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Winners |
|---|---|
| Quarterback | 12 |
| Running Back | 34 |
| Wide Receiver | 11 |
| FIELD | 0 |
Top Contenders by Draft Round
[Chart Coming After Draft]
Among the 57 Offensive Rookie of the Year award winners, 42 of them were drafted in the first-round of the NFL Draft, and 50 of them were drafted in the first two rounds.
Mike Anderson (RB) of the Denver Broncos is the player selected latest in the draft to win the honors – Anderson was selected 189th overall in 2000.
- Ten of the 12 QBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
- 24 of the 34 RBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
- Eight of the 11 WRs to win OROY were drafted in the first-round – Anquan Boldin in 2003 was the last non-first-round WR to win the award
Here are the 15 players selected outside of the first-round who have won the award:
OROY Winners Who Weren’t Drafted in 1st Round
| Player | Position | Draft Pos. | Draft Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Shaw | QB | 2nd-rd (30th overall) | 1970 |
| Sammy White | WR | 2nd-rd (54th overall) | 1976 |
| Carl Pickens | WR | 2nd-rd (31st overall) | 1992 |
| Anthony Thomas | RB | 2nd-rd (38th overall) | 2001 |
| Clinton Portis | RB | 2nd-rd (51st overall) | 2002 |
| Anquan Boldin | WR | 2nd-rd (54th overall) | 2003 |
| Eddie Lacy | RB | 2nd-rd (61st overall) | 2013 |
| Rueben Mayes | RB | 3rd-rd (57th overall) | 1986 |
| Curtis Martin | RB | 3rd-rd (74th overall) | 1995 |
| Alvin Kamara | RB | 3rd-rd (67th overall) | 2017 |
| Troy Stradford | RB | 4th-rd (99th overall) | 1987 |
| Dak Prescott | QB | 4th-rd (135th overall) | 2016 |
| Mike Thomas | RB | 5th-rd (108th overall) | 1975 |
| Don Woods | RB | 6th-rd (134th overall) | 1974 |
| Mike Anderson | RB | 6th-rd (189th overall) | 2000 |
After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.
