Upcoming Match-ups
  • Get the latest odds to win the NFL’s 2022 Offensive Rookie of the Year award
  • Steelers QB Kenny Pickett is back to being the favorite to win NFL OROY
  • Track each player’s OROY odds throughout the 2022-23 NFL season

We’re tracking 2022 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from the time they open, through the 2022-2023 NFL season, and right up until the award is handed out. Although the NFL Draft is still to come, sports betting apps have already opened odds to win NFL OROY.

The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our top sportsbooks.

Top NFL OROY Contenders

Even though the NFL Draft odds suggested no quarterbacks were going to hear their names called that early on April 28, Malik Willis and Kenny Pickett still opened as the co-favorites to win the NFL OROY award.

The odds were correct, as no quarterback was taken until the 20th-overall pick when the Steelers called Pickett’s name. Pickett still remained the favorite to win NFL OROY after the first-round was complete, but Malik Willis saw his odds fade significantly.

After the NFL Draft wrapped up, we saw Falcons wide receiver Drake London take over as the new favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. London went eighth-overall and expects to slot into the top receiver spot in Atlanta. This was short-lived, though, as Pickett regained the top spot after receiving praise from Pittsburgh’s GM.

Odds to Win 2022 NFL OROY

Player Pos Team Odds to win 2022 NFL OROY
Kenny Pickett QB Steelers +600
Drake London WR Falcons +700
Treylon Burks WR Titans +800
Breece Hall RB Jets +800
Garrett Wilson WR Jets +800
Christian Watson WR Packers +1000
Kenneth Walker III RB Seahawks +1000
Jameson Williams WR Lions +1100
Chris Olave WR Saints +1200
Malik Willis QB Titans +1200
Skyy Moore WR Chiefs +1500
James Cook RB Bills +1500
Desmond Ridder QB Falcons +1600
Jahan Dotson WR Commanders +2000
Matt Corral QB Panthers +2000

*Odds as of July 26 at Caesars Sportsbook. Be sure you check out the best Caesars Sportsbook promo before signing up. 

Kenny Pickett is the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Pickett was drafted 20th-overall by the Steelers. His odds are +500 right now. Drake London and Treylon Burks are listed second with +750 odds to win the award.

Based on the odds, Pickett has a 16.7% chance of winning NFL OROY, while London and Burks each have an 11.8% chance. If you placed a $20 bet on Pickett, the potential profit would be $100, returning $120.

Here are some more notes on odds movement:

  • [May 6] Steelers GM Kevin Colbert praised Kenny Pickett’s readiness today, comparing him to Joe Burrow when he came out of LSU. Colbert believes Pickett basically spent his NFL rookie season at Pitt when he decided to return for a fifth year. All this talk about Pickett being ready to play in the NFL bodes well for his chances to start Week 1, which has resulted in him becoming the favorite to win NFL OROY again. Pickett’s odds improved from +600 to +500, while Drake London, who was favored for a brief few days, has faded to +750, tying him for the second-best odds with Treylon Burks.
  • [May 2] After the conclusion of the NFL Draft, Drake London has become the new favorite to win NFL OROY. London’s odds improved from +600 to +550, while the former favorite, Kenny Pickett, saw his odds fade from +450 to +600. Malik Willis, who wasn’t taken until the third-round by the Titans, saw his odds plummet from +750 to +1400 with the likelihood of him spending his rookie season on the bench behind Ryan Tannehill. James Cook saw his odds go the other way when he was drafted by the Buffalo Bills in the second-round. Cook went from +4600 to +1500. Skyy Moore’s NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds improved significantly as well after finding out he will be a member of the high-powered Chiefs offense. Moore’s odds went from +3000 to +1000. Fellow wide receiver Christian Watson saw the most dramatic movement, though. Watson’s OROY odds went from +5000 all the way to +950 after hearing his name called by the Green Bay Packers, where he may slot in as Aaron Rodgers’ number one option.
  • [April 28] Kenny Pickett has broken away as the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year after the quarterback was drafted by the Pittsburgh Steelers with the 20th-overall pick. Pickett was the first QB to come off the board and the only one taken in the first round. His odds improved from +500 to +450. Malik Willis, who is still waiting to find out which team he’ll be playing for, has seen his odds fade from +500 to +750. Drake London, who was taken by the Falcons with the eighth-overall pick, was the first wide receiver selected in the draft, and has seen his NFL OROY odds go from +1000 to +600. No wide receiver was taken by the Packers or Chiefs in the first round, which was the move that could have really blown up these OROY odds. Treylon Burks did see some improvement, though, going from +1000 to +750 odds after he was drafted by the Titans to fill the void left by AJ Browns’ departure.
  • [April 12] We are still more than two weeks from the 2022 NFL Draft, but NFL OROY odds have opened. The top two quarterbacks in the draft, Malik Willis and Kenny Pickett, have opened as the co-favorites to win Offensive Rookie of the Year with +500 odds each. Running back Breece Hall is third on the board with +800 odds.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Offensive Rookie of the Year Trends

Here are some recent trends to know before betting on the award:

  • Justin Herbert (2020), Kyler Murray (2019), and Dak Prescott (2016) are the only QBs to win the award in the last nine years
  • RBs have won the award in two of the last five seasons and in four of the last nine seasons
  • Kyler Murray and Cam Newton (2011) are the only first-overall picks to win the award in the last 11 years
  • Dan Marino is the only QB to win OROY with less than 12 starts in his rookie season
  • The award has gone to a player from the NFC in 13 of the last 15 seasons – before Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Herbert won the award in back-to-back seasons, Vince Young was the last AFC player to win OROY (2006)
  • The Vikings have the most OROY winners with five; there are nine teams who have never had an OROY winner: Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, and Seattle Seahawks
  • No TE or offensive lineman has ever won the award

Past NFL OROY Winners

Year OROY Winner
2021 Ja’Marr Chase
2020 Justin Herbert
2019 Kyler Murray
2018 Saquon Barkley
2017 Alvin Kamara
2016 Dak Prescott
2015 Todd Gurley
2014 Odell Beckham Jr
2013 Eddie Lacy
2012 Robert Griffin III

Top Contenders at Each Position

Malik Willis and Kenny Pickett are seen as the top QB prospects in the 2022 NFL Draft. The two are not only the co-favorites to win NFL OROY, but also stand well ahead of the rest of the quarterbacks in the odds.

OROY Winners by Position

Position Number of NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Winners
Quarterback 11
Running Back 34
Wide Receiver 10

Top Contenders by Draft Round

Among the 55 Offensive Rookie of the Year award winners, 40 of them were drafted in the first-round of the NFL Draft, and 48 of them were drafted in the first two rounds.

Mike Anderson (RB) of the Denver Broncos is the player selected latest in the draft to win the honors – Anderson was selected 189th overall in 2000.

  • Nine of the 11 QBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
  • 24 of the 34 RBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
  • Seven of the ten WRs to win OROY were drafted in the first-round – Anquan Boldin in 2003 was the last non-first-round WR to win the award

Here are the 15 players selected outside of the first-round who have won the award:

OROY Winners Who Weren’t Drafted in 1st Round

Player Position Draft Pos. Draft Year
Dennis Shaw QB 2nd-rd (30th overall) 1970
Sammy White WR 2nd-rd (54th overall) 1976
Carl Pickens WR 2nd-rd (31st overall) 1992
Anthony Thomas RB 2nd-rd (38th overall) 2001
Clinton Portis RB 2nd-rd (51st overall) 2002
Anquan Boldin WR 2nd-rd (54th overall) 2003
Eddie Lacy RB 2nd-rd (61st overall) 2013
Rueben Mayes RB 3rd-rd (57th overall) 1986
Curtis Martin RB 3rd-rd (74th overall) 1995
Alvin Kamara RB 3rd-rd (67th overall) 2017
Troy Stradford RB 4th-rd (99th overall) 1987
Dak Prescott QB 4th-rd (135th overall) 2016
Mike Thomas RB 5th-rd (108th overall) 1975
Don Woods RB 6th-rd (134th overall) 1974
Mike Anderson RB 6th-rd (189th overall) 2000

Archived OROY Odds: 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.