Upcoming Match-ups
  • Get the latest odds to win the NFL’s 2021 Offensive Rookie of the Year award
  • Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence is the clear favorite to win NFL OROY
  • Track each player’s odds throughout the 2021 NFL season

We’re tracking 2021 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from the time they open, through the 2021-2022 NFL season, and right up until the award is handed out. The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our top sportsbooks.

Top NFL OROY Contenders

  • [June 14] Kyle Pitts’ NFL OROY odds have improved from an average of +1125 to +975, thanks to the Falcons shipping Julio Jones to the Titans. As a result, Pitts will be a top-two option in Atlanta for Matt Ryan. Najee Harris has also seen his odds improve, and is now as short as +500 at DraftKings. You can still find the Steelers running back as long as +1400 at PointsBet, though.
  • [May 3] With Bill Belichick announcing that it’s still Cam Newton’s team in New England, Mac Jones’ NFL OROY odds continue to fade, landing at +1075. On the other hand, Trey Sermon and Michael Carter both saw their odds improve thanks to being drafted into great opportunities. Sermon benefits from being drafted by Kyle Shanahan’s 49ers, where every running back has success. Carter enters a Jets backfield that looks like a wide open contest for the starting role.
  • [April 30] With the 49ers taking Trey Lance third-overall, the quarterback saw his NFL OROY odds improve from +1100 to +663, the third-best odds among all rookies. Jaylen Waddle also saw his Offensive Rookie of the Year odds improve after being selected sixth-overall by the Miami Dolphins. Waddle went from +2000 to +1575, the ninth-best odds on the board. Mac Jones had the fourth-best odds at +750 entering NFL Draft night, but fell to +913 odds when his name wasn’t called by San Francisco, but New England at 15. Travis Etienne was another player whose NFL OROY odds were harmed by the team he went to, as the Clemson RB is going to be in a crowded backfield with James Robinson and Carlos Hyde in Jacksonville. Etienne went from +1700 to as long as +2500 at DraftKings.
  • [April 21] Trevor Lawrence, who is projected to be taken first overall by the Jacksonville Jaguars in the 2021 NFL Draft, has opened as the clear favorite to win the 2021 NFL OROY award. Justin Fields, who is battling with Mac Jones to be taken third overall by the 49ers, has the second-best odds. Kyle Pitts, a tight end from Florida, has the best odds among non-quarterbacks.

Odds to Win 2021 NFL OROY

Player Pos Team Odds to win 2021 NFL OROY at DraftKings
Trevor Lawrence QB JAX +300
Najee Harris RB PIT +500
Trey Lance QB SF +600
Justin Fields QB CHI +700
Zach Wilson QB NYJ +800
Kyle Pitts TE ATL +800
Mac Jones QB NE +1100
Ja’Marr Chase WR CIN +1200
DeVonta Smith WR PHI +1300
Jaylen Waddle WR MIA +1600
Travis Etienne RB JAX +2000
Javonte Williams RB DEN +2000
Trey Sermon RB SF +2500
Kadarius Toney WR NYG +3300
Michael Carter RB NYJ +3300
Rashod Bateman WR BAL +3300
Elijah Moore WR NYJ +4000
Terrace Marshall Jr WR CAR +5000
Rondale Moore WR ARI +6600

*Odds as of June 14

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Offensive Rookie of the Year Trends

Here are some recent trends to know before betting on the award:

  • Justin Herbert (2020), Kyler Murray (2019), and Dak Prescott (2016) are the only QBs to win the award in the last eight years
  • RBs have won the award in two of the last four seasons and in four of the last eight seasons
  • Kyler Murray and Cam Newton (2011) are the only first-overall picks to win the award in the last ten years
  • Dan Marino is the only QB to win OROY with less than 12 starts in his rookie season
  • The award has gone to a player from the NFC in 13 of the last 14 seasons – Vince Young in 2006 is the last AFC player to win it prior to Herbert in 2020
  • The Vikings have the most OROY winners with five; there are nine teams who have never had an OROY winner: Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, and Seattle Seahawks
  • No TE or offensive lineman has ever won the award

Past NFL OROY Winners

Year OROY Winner
2020 Justin Herbert
2019 Kyler Murray
2018 Saquon Barkley
2017 Alvin Kamara
2016 Dak Prescott
2015 Todd Gurley
2014 Odell Beckham Jr
2013 Eddie Lacy
2012 Robert Griffin III
2011 Cam Newton

Top Contenders at Each Position

Trevor Lawrence is extremely likely to start at QB in Week 1 for the Jacksonville Jaguars, as is Zach Wilson for the New York Jets. But whoever is drafted by the 49ers at no. 3 might still have to compete with Jimmy Garoppolo. The QB passed on by the 49ers, and Trey Lance, are likely set for camp battles to start for their respective teams.

OROY Winners by Position

Position Number of NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Winners
Quarterback 11
Running Back 34
Wide Receiver 9
FIELD 0

Top Contenders by Draft Round

Among the 54 Offensive Rookie of the Year award winners, 39 of them were drafted in the first-round of the NFL Draft, and 47 of them were drafted in the first two rounds.

Mike Anderson (RB) of the Denver Broncos is the player selected latest in the draft to win the honors – Anderson was selected 189th overall in 2000.

  • Nine of the 11 QBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
  • 24 of the 34 RBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
  • Six of the nine WRs to win OROY were drafted in the first-round – Anquan Boldin in 2003 was the last non-first-round WR to win the award

Here are the 15 players selected outside of the first-round who have won the award:

OROY Winners Who Weren’t Drafted in 1st Round

Player Position Draft Pos. Draft Year
Dennis Shaw QB 2nd-rd (30th overall) 1970
Sammy White WR 2nd-rd (54th overall) 1976
Carl Pickens WR 2nd-rd (31st overall) 1992
Anthony Thomas RB 2nd-rd (38th overall) 2001
Clinton Portis RB 2nd-rd (51st overall) 2002
Anquan Boldin WR 2nd-rd (54th overall) 2003
Eddie Lacy RB 2nd-rd (61st overall) 2013
Rueben Mayes RB 3rd-rd (57th overall) 1986
Curtis Martin RB 3rd-rd (74th overall) 1995
Alvin Kamara RB 3rd-rd (67th overall) 2017
Troy Stradford RB 4th-rd (99th overall) 1987
Dak Prescott QB 4th-rd (135th overall) 2016
Mike Thomas RB 5th-rd (108th overall) 1975
Don Woods RB 6th-rd (134th overall) 1974
Mike Anderson RB 6th-rd (189th overall) 2000

Archived OROY Odds: 2020, 2019, 2018

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.