2022-23 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker
- Get the latest odds to win the NFL’s 2022 Offensive Rookie of the Year award
- Kenneth Walker III is now the favorite to win NFL OROY
- Track each player’s OROY odds throughout the 2022-23 NFL season
We’re tracking 2022 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from the time they open, through the 2022-2023 NFL season, and right up until the award is handed out. Although the NFL Draft is still to come, sports betting apps have already opened odds to win NFL OROY.
The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our top sportsbooks.
Top NFL OROY Contenders
Even though the NFL Draft odds suggested no quarterbacks were going to hear their names called that early on April 28, Malik Willis and Kenny Pickett still opened as the co-favorites to win the NFL OROY award.
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The odds were correct, as no quarterback was taken until the 20th-overall pick when the Steelers called Pickett’s name. Pickett still remained the favorite to win NFL OROY after the first-round was complete, but Malik Willis saw his odds fade significantly.
After Week 1, we see George Pickens and Jahan Dotson listed as the co-favorites. We had a new favorite after Week 2: Drake London. Saints wide receiver Chris Olave was given the best odds to win the award after Week 4. Olave was joined by Dameon Pierce as the two were co-favored to win the award following Week 5. We had another new favorite after Week 6: Breece Hall. Unfortunately, Hall tore his ACL in Week 7, moving Kenneth Walker III atop the board. Injury resulted in the top of the board seeing a new name again after Week 14, as Garrett Wilson took over for Walker III. Ahead of Week 18, Walker took back over as the favorite.
Odds have not reopened following Week 18, as is the case for every other NFL player award. There is a chance we see NFL OROY odds again closer to the awards show.
Odds to Win 2022 NFL OROY
Player | Pos | Team | Odds to win 2022 NFL OROY |
---|---|---|---|
Kenneth Walker III | RB | Seahawks | -110 |
Garrett Wilson | WR | Jets | +150 |
Brock Purdy | QB | 49ers | +500 |
Kenny Pickett | QB | Steelers | +2000 |
Christian Watson | WR | Packers | +2500 |
Chris Olave | WR | Saints | +2500 |
Brian Robinson Jr | RB | Commanders | +2500 |
Isiah Pacheco | RB | Chiefs | +4000 |
Tyler Allgeier | RB | Falcons | +10000 |
*Odds as of January 3 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Be sure you check out the best FanDuel Sportsbook promo before signing up.
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Kenneth Walker III is the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. His odds are -110 right now.
Based on the odds, Walker has a 52.4% chance of winning NFL OROY. If you placed a $20 bet on the RB, the potential profit would be $18.20, returning $38.20.
Here are some more notes on odds movement:
- [January 3] After a second straight quiet week for Garrett Wilson—only recorded 18 receiving yards on three receptions in Week 17—Kenneth Walker III has taken back over as the NFL OROY favorite. Wilson was held in check by Walker’s Seahawks, while Seattle’s rookie RB ran for 133 yards and a touchdown on 23 carries. Walker went from +500 odds to win the award to -110. Wilson faded from -200 to +150.
- [December 19] Garrett Wilson has moved to the odds-on favorite to win NFL OROY, as his odds improved from +150 to -120 after pulling in four receptions for 98 yards against the Lions in Week 15.
- [December 12] After Kenneth Walker missed Week 14 due to injury, Garrett Wilson has taken over as the new favorite to win NFL OROY. Wilson’s odds improved from +250 to +175 after he logged six catches for 78 yards against the Bills. Walker now has the second-best odds, fading from +150 to +300. Brock Purdy, who only received odds a week ago, moved from +20000 to +2000 after a great first start against the Bucs.
- [December 5] Kenneth Walker left the Seahawks Week 13 game with a jammed ankle and there has not been any timetable for the running back’s return. Walker’s NFL ORY odds went from -200 to +150, but he does remain the favorite at the moment.
- [November 28] After his second straight week with just eight rushing yards, Dameon Pierce has seen his odds dip from +400 to +800. The dip has resulted in Pierce falling to third on the board, allowing Chris Olave to move into second.
- [November 21] After Christian Watson hauled in two more touchdowns in Week 11, totaling five in a two-week span, the Packers wide receiver saw his NFL OROY odds improve from +6000 to +1600, which are the fourth-best odds on the board.
- [November 15] Kenneth Walker has become the odds-on favorite to win NFL OROY, as his odds improved from +110 to -150. It is the first time this season that we have seen anyone with better than +100 odds to win the award.
- [November 8] After running for 109 yards and two touchdowns against the Cardinals in Week 9, Kenneth Walker’s NFL OROY odds are nearing even money. He has improved from +185 to +110. This award is looking to be a two-horse race halfway through the season, with Walker and Dameon Pierce both getting better than 2-1 odds.
- [October 24] Sadly, Breece Hall tore his ACL in Week 7 – his first game played after becoming the favorite to win NFL OROY. With Hall likely done for the season, fellow RB Kenneth Walker III has taken over as the new favorite. Walker’s odds improved from +750 to +200 after running for 168 yards and two touchdowns in the Seahawks win over the Chargers in Week 7. Both DraftKings and FanDuel have refunded all bets on Hall to win OROY as a nice move to their customers.
- [October 18] After rushing for 116 yards in the Jets’ win over the Packers in Week 6, Breece Hall is the new favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Hall’s odds improved from +700 to +275. Kenneth Walker III also saw major odds movement, as he went from +2500 to +750 in his first game without Rashaad Penny.
- [October 10] Dameon Pierce has seen his odds improve from +650 to +500, which is tied with Chris Olave for the best odds to win NFL OROY. Pierce becomes the co-favorite after 113 yards from scrimmage and a touchdown against the Jaguars in Week 5.
- [October 3] Chris Olave’s odds have shortened from +800 to +500 after catching four passes for 67 yards and a touchdown against the Vikings in London. Meanwhile, Kenny Pickett made his debut in Pittsburgh and despite throwing three interceptions his odds have shortened from +1600 to +1200. The backup to the backup, Bailey Zappe was forced into action for the Patriots after Brian Hoyer went down injured, and his OROY odds are now +2200
- [September 27] After a huge game where he pulled in nine receptions for 147 yards, the Saints’ Chris Olave has seen his NFL OROY odds improve from +1200 to +700, the second-best odds to win the award. Romeo Doubs’ eight receptions for 73 yards and a touchdown saw his odds move from+1600 to +900.
- [September 19] Drake London recorded eight receptions for 86 yards and a touchdown in Week 2. London’s nice day has resulted in him becoming the new favorite to win NFL OROY. His odds improved from +1000 to +600.
- [September 12] With Mitchell Trubisky getting the Steelers a win in Week 1, Kenny Pickett’s NFL OROY odds faded from +900 to +1400, signaling the rookie’s time may not be nearing. Oddly enough, George Pickens, who only had one catch for three yards in his debut, is now the co-favorite alongside Jahan Dotson, who hauled in two touchdowns against the Jaguars, to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Dotson was +2250 entering Week 1, but is now just +900.
- [September 7] Despite seeing Mitchell Trubisky win the QB battle in Pittsburgh, Kenny Pickett remains the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. He leads the field by a very slim margin, though. Pickett’s odds are +875 while all of George Pickens, Dameon Pierce, Chris Olave, and Breece Hall are shorter than +1100. Pierce, who has received a lot of hype this offseason, has seen his odds improve from +5000 at opening to +1000 now, which are third-best on the board.
- [May 6] Steelers GM Kevin Colbert praised Kenny Pickett’s readiness today, comparing him to Joe Burrow when he came out of LSU. Colbert believes Pickett basically spent his NFL rookie season at Pitt when he decided to return for a fifth year. All this talk about Pickett being ready to play in the NFL bodes well for his chances to start Week 1, which has resulted in him becoming the favorite to win NFL OROY again. Pickett’s odds improved from +600 to +500, while Drake London, who was favored for a brief few days, has faded to +750, tying him for the second-best odds with Treylon Burks.
- [May 2] After the conclusion of the NFL Draft, Drake London has become the new favorite to win NFL OROY. London’s odds improved from +600 to +550, while the former favorite, Kenny Pickett, saw his odds fade from +450 to +600. Malik Willis, who wasn’t taken until the third-round by the Titans, saw his odds plummet from +750 to +1400 with the likelihood of him spending his rookie season on the bench behind Ryan Tannehill. James Cook saw his odds go the other way when he was drafted by the Buffalo Bills in the second-round. Cook went from +4600 to +1500. Skyy Moore’s NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds improved significantly as well after finding out he will be a member of the high-powered Chiefs offense. Moore’s odds went from +3000 to +1000. Fellow wide receiver Christian Watson saw the most dramatic movement, though. Watson’s OROY odds went from +5000 all the way to +950 after hearing his name called by the Green Bay Packers, where he may slot in as Aaron Rodgers’ number one option.
- [April 28] Kenny Pickett has broken away as the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year after the quarterback was drafted by the Pittsburgh Steelers with the 20th-overall pick. Pickett was the first QB to come off the board and the only one taken in the first round. His odds improved from +500 to +450. Malik Willis, who is still waiting to find out which team he’ll be playing for, has seen his odds fade from +500 to +750. Drake London, who was taken by the Falcons with the eighth-overall pick, was the first wide receiver selected in the draft, and has seen his NFL OROY odds go from +1000 to +600. No wide receiver was taken by the Packers or Chiefs in the first round, which was the move that could have really blown up these OROY odds. Treylon Burks did see some improvement, though, going from +1000 to +750 odds after he was drafted by the Titans to fill the void left by AJ Browns’ departure.
- [April 12] We are still more than two weeks from the 2022 NFL Draft, but NFL OROY odds have opened. The top two quarterbacks in the draft, Malik Willis and Kenny Pickett, have opened as the co-favorites to win Offensive Rookie of the Year with +500 odds each. Running back Breece Hall is third on the board with +800 odds.
Offensive Rookie of the Year Trends
Here are some recent trends to know before betting on the award:
- Justin Herbert (2020), Kyler Murray (2019), and Dak Prescott (2016) are the only QBs to win the award in the last nine years
- RBs have won the award in two of the last five seasons and in four of the last nine seasons
- Kyler Murray and Cam Newton (2011) are the only first-overall picks to win the award in the last 11 years
- Dan Marino is the only QB to win OROY with less than 12 starts in his rookie season
- The award has gone to a player from the NFC in 13 of the last 15 seasons – before Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Herbert won the award in back-to-back seasons, Vince Young was the last AFC player to win OROY (2006)
- The Vikings have the most OROY winners with five; there are nine teams who have never had an OROY winner: Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, and Seattle Seahawks
- No TE or offensive lineman has ever won the award
Past NFL OROY Winners
Year | OROY Winner |
---|---|
2021 | Ja’Marr Chase |
2020 | Justin Herbert |
2019 | Kyler Murray |
2018 | Saquon Barkley |
2017 | Alvin Kamara |
2016 | Dak Prescott |
2015 | Todd Gurley |
2014 | Odell Beckham Jr |
2013 | Eddie Lacy |
2012 | Robert Griffin III |
Top Contenders at Each Position
Malik Willis and Kenny Pickett are seen as the top QB prospects in the 2022 NFL Draft. The two are not only the co-favorites to win NFL OROY, but also stand well ahead of the rest of the quarterbacks in the odds.
OROY Winners by Position
Position | Number of NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Winners |
---|---|
Quarterback | 11 |
Running Back | 34 |
Wide Receiver | 10 |
FIELD | 0 |
Top Contenders by Draft Round
Among the 55 Offensive Rookie of the Year award winners, 40 of them were drafted in the first-round of the NFL Draft, and 48 of them were drafted in the first two rounds.
Mike Anderson (RB) of the Denver Broncos is the player selected latest in the draft to win the honors – Anderson was selected 189th overall in 2000.
- Nine of the 11 QBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
- 24 of the 34 RBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
- Seven of the ten WRs to win OROY were drafted in the first-round – Anquan Boldin in 2003 was the last non-first-round WR to win the award
Here are the 15 players selected outside of the first-round who have won the award:
OROY Winners Who Weren’t Drafted in 1st Round
Player | Position | Draft Pos. | Draft Year |
---|---|---|---|
Dennis Shaw | QB | 2nd-rd (30th overall) | 1970 |
Sammy White | WR | 2nd-rd (54th overall) | 1976 |
Carl Pickens | WR | 2nd-rd (31st overall) | 1992 |
Anthony Thomas | RB | 2nd-rd (38th overall) | 2001 |
Clinton Portis | RB | 2nd-rd (51st overall) | 2002 |
Anquan Boldin | WR | 2nd-rd (54th overall) | 2003 |
Eddie Lacy | RB | 2nd-rd (61st overall) | 2013 |
Rueben Mayes | RB | 3rd-rd (57th overall) | 1986 |
Curtis Martin | RB | 3rd-rd (74th overall) | 1995 |
Alvin Kamara | RB | 3rd-rd (67th overall) | 2017 |
Troy Stradford | RB | 4th-rd (99th overall) | 1987 |
Dak Prescott | QB | 4th-rd (135th overall) | 2016 |
Mike Thomas | RB | 5th-rd (108th overall) | 1975 |
Don Woods | RB | 6th-rd (134th overall) | 1974 |
Mike Anderson | RB | 6th-rd (189th overall) | 2000 |