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  • Get the latest NFL Draft odds, including which player will be taken first overall in 2022
  • Spencer Rattler is favored to be the first overall pick in the 2022 NFL Draft
  • Track the odds leading up to Draft night

At SBD, we’re tracking all the NFL Draft odds and props available across all sportsbooks. Among others, we will have odds to be taken with the first overall pick in the 2022 NFL Draft, which team will have the first overall pick, and many more as the year goes on.

The odds in the graphs below are an average from multiple sportsbooks and will be updated with every major change.

Odds to Be Selected First Overall in 2022 NFL Draft

Odds to Be No. 1 Pick

Player Odds
Kayvon Thibodeaux (EDGE) +150
Spencer Rattler (QB) +225
Sam Howell (QB) +500
Matt Corral (QB) +600
Carson Strong (QB) +600
Malik Willis (QB) +800
Derek Stingley Jr (CB) +1200
DeMarvin Leal (EDGE) +1600
Evan Neal (OT) +2000
JT Daniels (QB) +2000

*Odds as of September 29

Here are some notes on the odds movement we’ve seen:

  • [September 29] Oregon pass-rusher Kayvon Thibodeaux has become the new favorite to be taken first-overall in the 2022 NFL Draft, despite dealing with an ankle injury early in the season. Thibodeaux becoming the favorite is more about Oklahoma’s Spencer Rattler struggling early in the season, though.
  • [July 27] Spencer Rattler remains the favorite to be taken first overall at most sportsbooks, but some list UNC quarterback Sam Howell as the favorite to go first overall
  • [May 13] Oklahoma quarterback Spencer Rattler has opened as the favorite to be selected first overall in the 2022 NFL Draft

Last 5 First Overall Picks

Year 1st Overall Pick
2021 Trevor Lawrence (QB)
2020 Joe Burrow (QB)
2019 Kyler Murray (QB)
2018 Baker Mayfield (QB)
2017 Myles Garrett (DE)

Here are a few trends to note with the first overall pick:

  • Notre Dame, USC, and Oklahoma are tied for the most first overall picks coming from their respective schools with five each
  • Here’s the positional breakdown of the 86 total first overall picks: 34 have been quarterbacks, 23 running backs, 15 defensive linemen, seven offensive linemen, three wide receivers, three linebackers, and one defensive back
  • The first overall pick has been a quarterback in each of the last four drafts, and six of the last seven
  • No running back has been selected first overall since Ki-Jana Carter in 1995
  • Three of the last four first overall picks won the Heisman Trophy in their final college season – Trevor Lawrence, the most recent first overall pick, did not

Odds to Select First Overall in 2022 NFL Draft

Odds to Pick First in NFL Draft

Team Odds
Jacksonville Jaguars +300
Detroit Lions +350
New York Jets +350
Houston Texans +450
New York Giants +700
Chicago Bears +1400
Washington Football Team +2500
Atlanta Falcons +2500
Philadelphia Eagles +2500
Pittsburgh Steelers +2500

To start the 2021 NFL season, the Houston Texans had the lowest NFL win total. This would suggest they were the favorite to get the first pick in the 2022 NFL Draft at this point. The Detroit Lions were just ahead of them.

  • [September 29] After the first three weeks of the NFL season, the Jacksonville Jaguars have emerged as the favorites to get the first pick in the 2022 NFL Draft. The Lions and Jets are just behind the Jaguars in the odds.

Teams to Select First in Past Drafts

Year Team with 1st Pick
2021 Jacksonville Jaguars
2020 Cincinnati Bengals
2019 Arizona Cardinals
2018 Cleveland Browns
2017 Cleveland Browns

Here are a few trends when it comes to the teams selecting first overall:

  • The Colts (both as Baltimore and Indianapolis) and Rams (as Cleveland, St Louis, and Los Angeles) are tied for the most times picking first overall with seven each
  • Three teams have never selected first overall: the Denver Broncos, Seattle Seahawks, and Baltimore Ravens
  • The first overall pick has been traded five times, most recently in 2016 when the Rams traded up for Jared Goff
  • A team from the AFC North has had the first overall pick in three of the last five seasons
  • The Cleveland Browns (2017-18), Cincinnati Bengals (1994-95), and Philadelphia Eagles (1936-37) are the only three teams to ever select first overall in back-to-back drafts

Archived NFL Draft odds: 2021

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.