2021 NFL Divisional Odds Tracker

We are tracking the odds to win all eight divisions for the 2021 NFL season. Get the most recent odds to win all eight divisions in the 2021 NFL season, and see how the odds change throughout the season.

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• AFC East / North / South / West
• NFC East / North / South / West

The New England Patriots have won the AFC East in 11 of the last 12 seasons, and 16 of the last 18. The Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills (last year) are the teams to take it from the Pats in that timeframe.

The Buffalo Bills were suffering through the longest drought. Prior to their 2020 AFC East championship, they had not won the division since 1995.

Odds to Win the AFC East

Odds as of October 18.

Here are some notes on the AFC East odds movement:

• [October 11] After beating the Chiefs in Week 5, the Bills’ odds to win the AFC East are incredibly short.
• [October 4] The Bills have found their groove after a disappointing Week 1 loss, reeling off three straight impressive wins. The result has been their odds to win the AFC East moving as short as -500.
• [September 20] Buffalo is back to being the heavy favorites to win the AFC East after shutting out the Dolphins in Week 2. Miami’s odds slipped to +370 with the loss and rib injury to Tua Tagovailoa, which fortunately doesn’t sound serious.
• [September 12] The Bills remain the odds-on favorites to win the AFC East after being upset by the Steelers in Week 1. The Dolphins saw their odds improve slightly after beating the Patriots.
• [August 31] After cutting Cam Newton and naming Mac Jones their starter, the Patriots’ AFC East odds have not changed.
• [August 17] Buffalo remains the odds-on favorite to win the AFC East, but Miami’s odds have faded after Week 1 of the NFL Preseason. They are now given the same odds as the Patriots to win the division.
• [February 10] The Bills have opened as the favorites to win the AFC East after taking the division crown from the Pats for the first time in 11 years. New England’s odds opened at a distant +480, behind the Dolphins in the pecking order as well.

Three different teams have won the AFC North in the last six seasons. The Cleveland Browns are the odd team out, not having won the division since 1989.

Odds to Win the AFC North

Odds as of October 18.

Here are some notes on the AFC North odds movement:

• [October 3] The Ravens are now odds-on favorites to win the AFC North after beating the Broncos in Denver.
• [September 20] Baltimore is back to being the favorite to win the AFC North after upsetting Kansas City in Week 2. Cleveland is a close second after beating the Texans for their first win of the season.
• [September 18] The Ravens experienced some AFC North odds movement later in the week after losing to the Raiders on Monday night of Week 1. On Tuesday morning, Baltimore was still favored to win the division. But Cleveland has now taken the title, as Baltimore’s odds slip to +165.
• [August 17] The Steelers’ AFC North odds have worsened to +500 after their suspect offensive line hasn’t shown much promise through two preseason games.
• [February 10] Despite the Steelers winning the division last year, the Baltimore Ravens have opened as the favorites to win the AFC North in 2021.

The AFC South has been claimed by the Houston Texans in six of the last ten seasons. Last year, the Tennessee Titans won their first division title since 2008.

Odds to Win the AFC South

Odds as of October 18.

Here are some notes on the AFC South odds movement:

• [October 3] Despite losing to the Jets in Week 4, the Titans are still heavy odds-on favorites to win the AFC South.
• [September 20] With the Colts dropping to 0-2, and Carson Wentz dealing with some ankle injuries, the Titans have become heavy favorites to win the AFC South.
• [September 12] The Titans remain the odds-on favorites to win the AFC South despite getting destroyed by the Cardinals in Week 1. The Texans were the only team in the division to win Week 1, but still have the longest odds on the board.
• [August 17] With Colts quarterback Carson Wentz’ Week 1 status up in the air, the Titans have become odds-on favorites to win the AFC South.
• [July 26] The Titans and Colts are now listed as co-favorites to win the AFC South, as money has continued to come in on Tennessee after they acquired Julio Jones.
• [June 7] The Titans’ NFL divisional odds have gone from +130 to +110 after they acquired Julio Jones from the Falcons via trade. As a result, the Colts are no longer odds-on favorites to win the AFC South.
• [February 10] The Titans have opened as the favorites to win the AFC South in the 2021 NFL season.

The Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos are the only two teams to have claimed the AFC West in the last 11 seasons, with the former having won it each of the last five seasons.

The Chargers have not won the division since 2009 and you have to go back to 2002 to see the last time the Raiders sat atop the AFC West.

Odds to Win the AFC West

Odds as of October 18.

Here are some notes on the AFC West odds movement:

• [October 17] The Chargers’ reign atop the AFC West odds board was short-lived. After getting crushed by the Ravens in Week 6, LA’s odds worsened to +130, allowing the Chiefs to reinstate themselves as the favorites.
• [October 11] For the first time in a few years, the Kansas City Chiefs are not favored to win the AFC West. The Chargers now have the best odds to win the division after the Chiefs dropped to 2-3, and LA pulled out a big win against the Browns in Week 5.
• [September 26] The Chiefs remain the odds-on favorites to win the AFC West, despite losing to the Chargers at home in Week 3. Kansas City’s odds are nearing even-money, though.
• [September 20] Despite looking up at the Broncos and Raiders in the AFC West standings, the Chiefs remain the heavy favorites to win the division. Las Vegas’ odds to win the AFC West improved dramatically after beating the Steelers in Week 2, giving them wins over Baltimore and Pittsburgh to start the season.
• [September 12] The AFC West looked strong on Sunday of Week 1, with all three teams winning. The Chiefs narrowly escaped with a win over the Browns, the Chargers beat the Washington Football Team, and the Broncos beat up on the Giants. Denver is the only team who saw any sort of significant odds movement after their win.
• [July 26] After being as short as +400, the Broncos’ AFC West odds have faded to +550, falling back behind the Chargers again, as the likelihood of Denver acquiring Aaron Rodgers dwindles.
• [May 3] The Broncos have gone from the worst odds to win the AFC West, listed as long as +1500, to the second-best at +550, thanks to the possibility of them acquiring Aaron Rodgers from the Packers. The Chiefs odds went from -400 to -305, as a result.
• [February 10] To the surprise of no one, the Kansas City Chiefs have opened with the best odds to win the AFC West. To the surprise of some, the Chargers have the second-best odds as Justin Herbert enters his second season in the league.

The NFC East has not had a repeat winner since the Philadelphia Eagles won four straight from 2001-2004. Three different teams have won the division in the last three years, with Washington being the reigning NFC East champion.

Odds to Win the NFC East

Odds as of October 18.

Here are some notes on the NFC East odds movement:

• [September 20] Dallas is now the odds-on favorite to win the NFC East after beating the Chargers in Week 2. Philadelphia and Washington are tied for the second-best odds to win the division.
• [September 12] The Cowboys remained favored to win the NFC East after losing a thriller to the Bucs in the season-opener. Washington also still has the second-best odds after losing to the Chargers and seeing Ryan Fitzpatrick go down with a hip injury. The Eagles no longer have the worst odds in the division after beating the Falcons, though.
• [August 31] Dallas’ odds to win the NFC East have worsened a little with news of Dak Prescott still not being 100%. Washington’s odds have reached a season-best of +200.
• [August 17] The Washington Football Team has seen their divisional odds fade slightly after the first week of preseason football.
• [March 21] The Eagles no longer have the second-best odds to win the NFC East after Washington signed free agent QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, moving them into the second spot behind the Cowboys. Many sportsbooks don’t even give the Eagles the third-best odds. The Cowboys are also no longer odds-on favorites at most sportsbooks.
• [February 10] With Dak Prescott returning from injury, and signed long-term, the Cowboys have opened as the odds-on favorites to win the NFC East in 2021.

Three different teams have won the NFC North in the last four years, with the Packers being back-to-back champs entering 2021. The Detroit Lions are the odd team out, as they haven’t won the division since 1993. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won the division more recently (1999).

Odds to Win the NFC North

Odds as of October 18.

Here are some notes on the NFC North odds movement:

• [September 13] The Packers remain the odds-on favorite to win the NFC North, despite an embarrassing performance in Week 1 against the Saints. No other team in the division got a win either, though.
• [August 17] With Aaron Rodgers prepping to start Week 1 for the Packers, the reigning NFC North champions are back to being heavy favorites to win the division, pushing the Vikings back down the board.
• [July 26] Green Bay is back to being the odds-on favorite to win the NFC North now that Aaron Rodgers has reportedly revealed that he plans to play for the Packers in 2021.
• [July 24] For the first time since the summer of 2020, the Green Bay Packers are not favored to win the NFC North. With Aaron Rodgers continuing to hold his ground on not playing for the Packers this season, the Vikings have become the new favorites to win the division.
• [July 5] The Packers’ odds to win the NFC North continue to fade as Aaron Rodgers has shown no signs of interest in returning to the team.
• [May 3] The NFC North odds have seen major movement with the reports of Aaron Rodgers wanting out of Green Bay surfacing. The Packers went from -250 favorites to just -110. The Vikings improved from +350 to +225, while the Bears went from +650 to +325 after drafting Justin Fields.
• [February 10] The Packers have opened as odds-on favorites to win the NFC North in 2021.

The New Orleans Saints became the second team to repeat as NFC South champions in 2018, joining the Panthers, who won the division from 2013-2015. New Orleans has also now surpassed Carolina for the most consecutive division titles with four.

Odds to Win the NFC South

Odds as of October 18.

Here are some notes on the NFC South odds movement:

• [September 20] The Buccaneers remain heavy favorites in the odds to win the NFC South, which should come as no surprise after they beat up on the Falcons in Week 2. What is surprising is the Saints still having the second-best odds to win the division after losing to the Panthers, who have the third-best odds, on Sunday.
• [September 12] The Saints saw their divisional odds improve to as short as +300 after upsetting the Packers in Week 1. The Bucs remain the odds-on favorites after they beat the Cowboys on opening night.
• [August 17] The Buccaneers’ NFC South odds have reached a season-best after Week 1 of the NFL Preseason. On the other hand, neither Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill looked overly impressive for New Orleans in their first preseason game.
• [June 7] The Falcons’ divisional odds have not changed since dealing Julio Jones to the Titans, as they were already listed at long odds of +800.
• [February 10] With Drew Brees retiring, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have opened as the odds-on favorites to win the NFC South.

The Seahawks reign as the NFC West champions. All four teams have won the division in the last six years.

Odds to Win the NFC West

Odds as of October 18.

Here are some notes on the NFC West odds movement:

• [October 18] The Cardinals are now the odds-on favorites to win the NFC West. This comes after Arizona extended their record to 6-0 with a win over the Browns.
• [October 11] The Cardinals and Rams are now co-favorites to win the NFC West, while the 49ers and Seahawks have seen their divisional odds fall off with each suffering through injuries at quarterback.
• [October 3] Sportsbooks still list the Rams as the favorites to win the NFC West, despite Arizona putting a beating on them in Week 4. The Cardinals saw their divisional odds improve, but only to +175.
• [September 26] The Rams have taken over as the favorites in the odds to win the NFC West after beating the Bucs in Week 3. San Francisco suffered a tough loss to Green Bay, and Seattle falls to the bottom of the division with a loss to the Vikings.
• [September 20] The 49ers have broken away as the favorites to win the NFC West after Week 2. San Francisco came out of Philadelphia with a win while the Rams struggled a little more in picking up their win in Indianapolis.
• [September 13] Every single team in the NFC West recorded a win in Week 1. The Rams looked good in a win at home against the Bears, and the other three put together solid performances on the road. The 49ers and Rams are now co-favorites at some sportsbooks.
• [August 17] For the first time this season, the 49ers are listed as the favorites to win the NFC West.
• [March 29] After moving up to the third overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, the 49ers odds to win the NFC West have improved. Some sportsbooks have them listed as co-favorites with the Rams.
• [February 10] With Matthew Stafford locked in as their new quarterback, the Los Angeles Rams have opened as the favorites to win the NFC West.

Archived NFL Divisional odds: 2020, 2019

Matt McEwan

NFL NBA MLB NHL NCAAF NCAAB Editor-in-Chief

Editor-in-Chief

After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.

NFL NBA MLB NHL NCAAF NCAAB

After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.