2025-26 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker – Henderson Takes Over as Favorite
By Matt McEwan
Updated:
- Get the latest odds to win the NFL’s 2025-26 Offensive Rookie of the Year award
- TreVeyon Henderson is the favorite to win NFL OROY
- Track each player’s OROY odds throughout the 2025-26 NFL season
I am tracking 2025-26 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from the time they open, through the 2025-2026 NFL season, and right up until the award is handed out. All sportsbooks make NFL OROY odds available throughout the season, with some brief downtimes expected during games. The highly-coveted RB from Boise State, Ashton Jeanty, who was drafted by the Raiders, opened as the favorite, but both Jeanty and Cam Ward, the first-overall pick, have fallen down the board.
The NFL OROY odds table below surfaces up the best odds for each player (that are available in your region), while also letting you compare to their opening odds. The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our top sportsbooks.
Top NFL OROY Contenders
TreVeyon Henderson is currently the favorite to win NFL OROY for the 2025-26 NFL season. Henderson is given +190 odds to take home the award, and his probability to win it based on those odds is 34.5%. A $20 bet on the new Patriots RB would stand to profit $38 and return $58.
Henderson had a fantastic game against the Bills in Week 15, totaling 161 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns. It was only his second game with 100+ yards from scrimmage this season, but he has at least 80 in six straight games now.
Tet McMillan was the favorite prior to Week 15’s games, but another low yardage output (just 25 yards), and seeing his touchdown streak end, resulted in McMillan’s OROY odds fading.
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Here are the top NFL OROY contenders following Week 15:
- TreVeyon Henderson (+190 best odds)
- Emeka Egbuka (+205)
- Tet McMillan (+275)
- Jaxson Dart (+600)
- Tyler Warren (+2000)
With a number of the top picks from the draft struggling early in the season, we have seen a lot of movement in the NFL OROY odds. Here are the players who saw their OROY odds improve the most after Week 15:
- TreVeyon Henderson: the Patriots RB saw his odds to win OROY improve from an average of +1900 to as short as +800 after his huge performance in Week 15.
And then the players who saw their odds fade most notably:
- Jaxson Dart: in spite of his stats looking pretty good, throwing for 246 yards and two touchdowns while adding 63 yards on the ground, sportsbooks lengthened Dart’s OROY odds from an average of +240 to as long as +600 after he lost to the lowly Commanders.
The NFL OROY odds in the table above are gathered from the top online sportsbooks, including DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM, and are updated every 15 minutes. Be sure you check out the best DraftKings promo cost before signing up. There are plenty of other great bonuses to claim as well including top BetMGM offers and Caesars Sportsbook promos. There is also an excellent Bet365 bonus code for new users to claim and the Bet365 brand has some of the most competitive odds in the business.
Here are some more notes on odds movement:
- [December 16] A monster performance against the Bills in Week 15 was the reason for TreVeyon Henderson taking over as the OROY favorite for the first time.
- [November 25] It only took a 35-yard, 1 touchdown performance from Tet McMillan for sportsbooks to move him to the new OROY favorite after Week 12.
- [November 11] Egbuka took back over as the favorite following a 115-yard performance that was paired with Dart suffering a concussion and his head coach being fired.
- [October 14] A big win over the Eagles in Week 6, paired with Emeka Egbuka suffering a hamstring injury, saw Jaxson Dart take over as the clear favorite to win OROY.
- [September 22] A quiet Week 3 from Tyler Warren allowed Emeka Egbuka to take over as the OROY favorite.
- [September 16] Though some sportsbooks were still favoring Ashton Jeanty after Week 2, the majority were calling Colts tight end Tyler Warren the favorite following another strong game to start his NFL career.
- [August 15] Emeka Egbuka’s NFL OROY odds improved from +3000 to +2375 after it started to become more clear that Chris Godwin would not be ready for Week 1, and might miss more than a couple weeks. Tyler Shough saw his odds go the other way, worsening from +1250 to +2125, as he struggled to separate himself from Spencer Rattler in the Saints’ QB battle.
- [July 10] Omarion Hampton saw his average OROY odds shorten from +1250 to +1100 after his backfield mate, Najee Harris, reportedly suffered an eye injury from a July 4 fireworks incident. With Harris sidelined, Hampton was expected to see more of the preseason work.
- [May 6] Sportsbooks started to cool a little on Tyler Shough’s OROY odds. DraftKings was giving him as short as +1200 odds immediately after the draft, but they lengthened those odds to +2200 likely due to a lack of money coming in. Will Howard, on the other hand, saw his odds improve dramatically at certain sportsbooks, going from an average of +5250 after the draft wrapped up, to as short as +2500 at DraftKings. This is the result of no deal being signed between the Steelers and Aaron Rodgers at this point.
- [April 26] In spite of falling all the way to the 5th round, where the Browns selected him at 144th-overall, sportsbooks still felt Shedeur Sanders wound up in a good enough home for his OROY probabilities. Sanders was getting +800 odds to win the award pre-draft, but his odds only slipped to +1500 after his draft free-fall.
- [April 25] Tyler Shough saw some of the most significant odds movement after Day 2 of the NFL Draft, as the Saints made him the 40th-overall pick. The former Louisville QB is believed to have a chance to see the field right away with Derek Carr suffering through a shoulder injury, where the severity and timeline for return is unknown after the draft. Shough’s OROY odds opened at a distant +6000, but improved to as short as +1200 at DraftKings. His odds could still be found as long as +2200, though. Another player who saw massive movement was RJ Harvey, who was drafted 60th-overall by the Broncos. Harvey did not even have opening odds at BetRivers ahead of the draft, but FanDuel opened him at +17000 after the first round. His odds shortened to +5000 after joining Sean Payton’s offense.
- [April 24] For whatever reason, NFL OROY odds opened much later this year than in previous seasons. It could have been the uncertainty around how much offense Travis Hunter would play, or maybe just sportsbooks setting a new precedent of not opening themselves up to potential exposures before they know which teams these rookies will be playing for. Regardless, NFL OROY odds opened the day of the draft and saw Ashton Jeanty open as a heavy +250 favorite. Cam Ward, Travis Hunter, and Shedeur Sanders also opened with odds shorter than 9-1.
Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.
Offensive Rookie of the Year Trends
Here are some recent trends to know before betting on the award:
- Jayden Danirels (2024-25), CJ Stroud (2023-24), Justin Herbert (2020), Kyler Murray (2019), and Dak Prescott (2016) are the only QBs to win the award in the last 11 years
- RBs have won the award in two of the last eight seasons and in four of the last 12
- Kyler Murray and Cam Newton (2011) are the only first-overall picks to win the award in the last 13 years
- Dan Marino is the only QB to win OROY with less than 12 starts in his rookie season
- The award has gone to a player from the NFC in 14 of the last 18 seasons, but the AFC has won four of the last five; before CJ Stroud, Garrett Wilson, Ja’Marr Chase, and Justin Herbert won the award in four of the last five, Vince Young was the previous AFC player to win OROY (2006)
- The Vikings have the most OROY winners with five; there are seven teams who have never had an OROY winner: Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, and Seattle Seahawks
- No TE or offensive lineman has ever won the award
Past NFL OROY Winners
| Year | OROY Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Jayden Daniels |
| 2023 | CJ Stroud |
| 2022 | Garrett Wilson |
| 2021 | Ja’Marr Chase |
| 2020 | Justin Herbert |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray |
| 2018 | Saquon Barkley |
| 2017 | Alvin Kamara |
| 2016 | Dak Prescott |
| 2015 | Todd Gurley |
Top Contenders at Each Position
Cam Ward (QB), Emeka Egbuka (WR), Tyler Warren (TE), and Ashton Jeanty (RB) opened as the favorites at their respective positions.
OROY Winners by Position
| Position | Number of NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Winners |
|---|---|
| Quarterback | 13 |
| Running Back | 34 |
| Wide Receiver | 11 |
| FIELD | 0 |
Top Contenders by Draft Round
Among the 58 Offensive Rookie of the Year award winners, 43 of them were drafted in the first-round of the NFL Draft, and 51 of them were drafted in the first two rounds.
Mike Anderson (RB) of the Denver Broncos is the player selected latest in the draft to win the honors – Anderson was selected 189th overall in 2000.
- 11 of the 13 QBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
- 24 of the 34 RBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
- Eight of the 11 WRs to win OROY were drafted in the first-round – Anquan Boldin in 2003 was the last non-first-round WR to win the award
Here are the 15 players selected outside of the first-round who have won the award:
OROY Winners Who Weren’t Drafted in 1st Round
| Player | Position | Draft Pos. | Draft Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Shaw | QB | 2nd-rd (30th overall) | 1970 |
| Sammy White | WR | 2nd-rd (54th overall) | 1976 |
| Carl Pickens | WR | 2nd-rd (31st overall) | 1992 |
| Anthony Thomas | RB | 2nd-rd (38th overall) | 2001 |
| Clinton Portis | RB | 2nd-rd (51st overall) | 2002 |
| Anquan Boldin | WR | 2nd-rd (54th overall) | 2003 |
| Eddie Lacy | RB | 2nd-rd (61st overall) | 2013 |
| Rueben Mayes | RB | 3rd-rd (57th overall) | 1986 |
| Curtis Martin | RB | 3rd-rd (74th overall) | 1995 |
| Alvin Kamara | RB | 3rd-rd (67th overall) | 2017 |
| Troy Stradford | RB | 4th-rd (99th overall) | 1987 |
| Dak Prescott | QB | 4th-rd (135th overall) | 2016 |
| Mike Thomas | RB | 5th-rd (108th overall) | 1975 |
| Don Woods | RB | 6th-rd (134th overall) | 1974 |
| Mike Anderson | RB | 6th-rd (189th overall) | 2000 |
Archived OROY Odds:
Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert
With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.