2025-26 NFL Coach of the Year Odds Tracker

• Get the latest odds to win the 2025-26 NFL Coach of the Year award
• Mike Vrabel is the NFL COY favorite
• Track how the NFL COY odds change throughout the course of the 2025-26 NFL season

The Associated Press has been handing out an NFL Coach of the Year award since 1957. Below you’ll find the odds to win the 2025-26 NFL COY award. The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from multiple sportsbooks.

The NFL Coach of the Year award is not always awarded to the best head coach in the league. Often, it goes to the coach who turned around a bad team early in his tenure, or one whose team still won a lot of games while playing without some of their stars.

It’s hard to predict which coaches will see their teams suffer through some bad injury luck, but it is easy to identify the candidates to turn around bad or underachieving teams. This is why we saw Ben Johnson, who took over a Bears team who greatly underachieved last season, listed as the early favorite to win NFL COY, and have coaches like Mike Vrabel, who took over a bad Patriots team, Pete Carroll, who is in his first year as the Raiders head coach, and Liam Coen, who took on an underachieving Jaguars team, all listed with short odds prior to kickoff.

See how the Coach of the Year odds have changed throughout the season, as well as the best odds you can find for each coach below.

2025-26 NFL Coach of the Year Award Odds & Favorites

Mike Vrabel is given the best odds to win the 2025-26 NFL Coach of the Year award. Vrabel’s odds are listed at an average of -248. These odds implies he has a 71.3% chance to win the award. If you bet $20 on the Patriots’ head coach, your potential profit would be $8.06 while returning $28.06.

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Vrabel had been lingering as a close second in the odds starting in October, as his Patriots had taken over the top spot in the AFC East, notably knocking off the Bills. New England’s Week 10 signature win over the Bucs was enough for sportsbooks to make Vrabel the favorite, and he has followed that up with three more wins, putting the Patriots in the top seed in the AFC.

With the Bears recent run of success, Ben Johnson has climbed back up the board and has the second-best odds entering Week 14.

The top NFL Coach of the Year contenders after Week 13 are:

1. Mike Vrabel, Patriots (-248 consensus odds)
2. Ben Johnson, Bears (+285)
3. Mike Macdonald, Seahawks (+650)
4. Shane Steichen, Colts (+2350)
5. Liam Cohen, Jaguars (+2500)

The coaches making the most notable rise up the NFL COY odds after Week 13 are:

• Ben Johnson: a massive win over the Eagles on Black Friday saw Johnson’s Coach of the Year odds improve from an average of +850 to +285. If Chicago can manage to beat the Packers in Week 14, I think we will see Johnson take over as the new favorite.

And the coaches who saw their odds fall most notably include:

• Shane Steichen: the Colts head coach sat as the favorite to win Coach of the Year for the majority of the first half of the season, but his team has started to fall off, losing three of their last four. The result has been his COY odds fading from an average of +460 to +2350.

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Here are some more notes on the movement we have seen:

• [November 11] Though Steichen’s Colts also recorded a win in Week 10, it wasn’t as impressive as Mike Vrabel and the Patriots’ win over the Buccaneers, according to sportsbooks. This is what led to Vrabel taking over as the COY favorite following Week 10.
• [September 16] Shane Steichen took over as the new favorite after beating the Broncos, and helping Daniel Jones throw for 316 yards against what was believed to be a stingy Denver defense.
• [September 9] Liam Cohen became the new favorite to win Coach of the Year after his Jaguars put together a convincing win over the Panthers in Week 1.
• [August 29] Ben Johnson reclaimed the best odds to win Coach of the Year after the Bears’ starting offense put together some encouraging drives during the preseason.
• [August 15] Bettors had to be appreciating Jonathan Gannon, as the Cardinals’ coach saw his odds improve from an average of +2500 in late-June to +1700 in mid-August.
• [July 22] Mike Vrabel overtook Ben Johnson as the favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year. Neither saw their odds move much at this time, and it was likely just the result of money coming in on Vrabel.
• [March 14] After the Bears added three new starting offensive linemen during free agency, acquiring two of them via trades, as well as bolstering the interior of their defense, Ben Johnson’s NFL Coach of the Year odds improved from +700 to +550.
• [March 7] Pete Carroll was already among the COY favorites prior to the Raiders acquiring Geno Smith, but most sportsbooks did not adjust his odds after the trade. ESPN Bet, however, quickly moved Carroll from +1400 to +1000 after the former Seahawks head coach was reunited with his quarterback.
• [February 12] The opening 2025-26 NFL Coach of the Year odds favor Ben Johnson, who is a first-time head coach and accepted the Bears job. Sportsbooks obviously like the talent Johnson is inheriting in Chicago, and understand he would be a front-runner in the eyes of the voters if he was able to get Caleb Williams going after a rough rookie season.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

AFC vs NFC

AFC NFC

A coach from the AFC has won NFL COY in four of the last six seasons.

Odds for Past Winners

Since 1991, all but one NFL Coach of the Year winner has led their team to at least ten wins in taking home the honor. The lone winner without ten wins was Brian Daboll three seasons ago, whose Giants only went 9-7-1. Daboll’s turnaround was still significant enough, as he took over a team that went 4-13 the previous season and made a QB who had firmly been labeled a bust look very serviceable.

The only other notable from that streak above is Bruce Arians, who led the Colts to a 9-3 record as head coach after taking over for Chuck Pagano after he stepped away for health reasons. The Colts did still win 11 games, though.

Past Coach of the Year Winners

The 2021-22 NFL season was the first time we saw the regular season schedule expanded to 18 weeks, with each team playing 17 games. This is why you see the extra game in all the COY winners since that season.

We have not seen a coach win the honor in back-to-back years since Joe Gibbs in 1982 and 1983.

Archived NFL Coach of the Year odds:

• 2024
• 2023
• 2022
• 2021
• 2020
• 2019