2025-26 NFL Win Totals: Regular Season Win Over/Unders

By Matt McEwan
Updated:
- See NFL win totals for the 2025-26 NFL season
- The Bills, Ravens, Chiefs, and Eagles currently have the highest NFL win totals at sportsbooks
- Find the best regular season win over/under odds for all teams
The NFL win totals for the 2025-26 season opened on April 4, well before the NFL Draft or the schedule release. Both of those offseason events brought some movement to specific teams’ regular season win over/unders, and we are likely to see a little more movement due to money ahead of kickoff. For now, you can see what movement each team has experienced to this point, as well as the best sportsbook (odds) to bet each team’s over or under below.
NFL Win Totals
The teams with the highest regular season wins over/unders are the Bills, Ravens, Chiefs, and Eagles at 11.5. However, Buffalo is the team given the best odds (-160) to go over their win total. The Saints and Browns, the two teams with the biggest question marks at QB, have the lowest regular season win over/unders at just 5. Cleveland is favored to go under that win total, while the Saints are favored to go over, though.
You can check out the graph below to see how each team’s NFL win total has changed since opening.
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NFL win totals are updated daily and the best odds for each over/under are surfaced from top sportsbooks, including DraftKings and FanDuel. If you haven’t already signed up, check out the best FanDuel promo code to claim upon registering.
Here are some more notes on NFL win totals movement:
- [May 20] The Saints saw their win total drop from 6.5 to 5.5 after Derek Carr announced his retirement, leaving rookie Tyler Shough as the team’s probable QB come Week 1.
- [April 4] Opening NFL win totals projected the Bills to win the most games in the 2025-26 season. Buffalo’s regular season wins over/under opened at an average of 11.8. The lowest was Cleveland at 5.
Past NFL Team Records
While teams can make drastic changes from one season to the next, it’s worth knowing how many wins each team racked up last year, as well as over the past three seasons.
How to Read NFL Win Total Odds
If this is your first time looking at NFL win totals, the numbers above might be incomprehensible. The easiest way to read win totals is in the table format, where the first column lists the teams, the second column lists the opening win total (what the line originally was), the third column lists the current win total, the fourth column lists the over odds, and the fifth column lists the under odds.
It’s easiest to understand using examples. Let’s say you want to bet on the Arizona Cardinals, the first team on the list. Looking at the second column, you can see their original win total was set at 6.5. The third column tells you their current win total (which you can bet) has moved up to 7.5. If they win eight or more games, they have hit the over. If they win seven or fewer games, they have hit the under. The odds in columns four and five determine the payout for over bettors and under bettors, respectively.
If you wager $100 on Arizona to go over 7.5 at +124 odds, you will profit $124 if they win eight or more games. If you wager $100 on Arizona to go under 7.5 at -152 odds, you will profit $65.79 if they win fewer than eight games.
How to Bet on NFL Win Totals
Once you have found the wager you would like to make, betting on NFL win totals is as simple as placing any other type of bet. Find the NFL win totals section at your sportsbook of choice and click on the over or under. Be warned, though, that different sportsbooks list the over/under options in different orders.
Some sportsbooks will list the option (over or under) with the shorter odds first. This means you could see the over or under listed as the first option to click. Other sportsbooks keep it uniform and just list the over first and the under second. Just be sure you double-check you have loaded the correct bet into your bet slip before actually placing the wager.
Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.
Another thing to consider is how each team has fared last year and in the previous few seasons. Teams can change drastically from one year to another, but some teams manage to keep their coaching staffs and core players together year-after-year. Here’s a quick look at each team’s record last season as well as their average wins over the last three years:
NFL Win Totals Betting Tips
Before you do start making any bets, it’s important to note that there are 272 possible wins available in a 17-game season, but sportsbooks often go over that number in their opening win totals.
This year, the average sum of wins at each sportsbook was 273.4, which is 1.4 wins more than possible. It is often a little more like this because the general public is typically optimistic and bets overs.
If you’re looking for my opinion, I love the Vikings (8.5) and Cowboys (7.5) to go over their regular season win over/unders. I don’t think JJ McCarthy is going to be a step backwards from Sam Darnold – I think Kevin O’Connell got the most out of Darnold, just as he will McCarthy – who helped Minnesota win 14 games last season. I also think 7.5 is far too low for a Cowboys team that won seven last year without Dak Prescott for more than half the season, and won 12 games in each of the previous three seasons.
The unders I like the most are the Texans (9.5) and Seahawks (8.5). I think Houston’s offensive line is going to be a problem again, and feel they will face some stiffer competition within their division this year. I am betting Seattle’s under because I do not believe in Sam Darnold.
You should also consult my proper method for calculating NFL strength of schedule before making any win totals bets, as well as my NFL record predictions.
Archived Win Totals:

Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert
With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.