2025-26 NFL Conference Championship Odds Tracker

I am tracking the odds to win the 2026 AFC and NFC Championships all season long—also read as which two teams will play in Super Bowl 60—from the moment they opened on February 21. The graphs containing NFL conference championship odds below have been generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources.

You can see the most recent odds to win each NFL conference, as well as how the odds to win the AFC Championship and NFC Championship have changed throughout the course of the 2025-26 NFL season below.

AFC | NFC

Odds to Win AFC Championship

The Kansas City Chiefs are the favorites to win the AFC Championship after Week 7. Buffalo has stumbled as of late, losing two straight games, allowing the Chiefs to catapult up the board and find themselves given better odds. The longest odds you can get on the Chiefs are +250.

A $20 bet on the Chiefs at those odds would stand to profit $50 and return $70, while their implied probability to win the conference from those odds is 28.6%.

Baltimore had been the favorite entering Week 1, but their loss to the Bills saw their odds fade a little, and then their poor effort against the Chiefs in Week 4 saw their odds really tumble, allowing the Chiefs to kickstart their move back up the board.

Some of the biggest risers in AFC Championship odds after Week 7 include: the Colts, who went from an average of +750 entering Week 7, to +512 after improving to 5-1 in a dominant win over the Chargers; and the Patriots, who improved from +1675 to +1400 after hammering the Titans to continue distancing themselves from the Bills in their division.

The teams who saw their odds worsen most notably after Week 7 were: the Chargers, whose struggles continued in their loss to the Colts, sending their AFC Championship odds from +875 to +1500; and the Steelers, whose NFL conference odds faded from +1325 to +1850 after they let old man Flacco carve them up on TNF, leaving the door open in their division.

AFC Conference odds in the table above are updated every 20-30 minutes from DraftKings, FanDuel and other top sportsbooks; if you’re not with DraftKings yet, be sure to check out our DraftKings promo code before making any bets.

Track AFC Championship Odds

The Chiefs opened as the favorites to win the AFC Championship, but were overtaken by the Ravens in late-June, which was movement likely caused by the signing of Jaire Alexander. The Ravens remained the favorites until losing to the Bills in Week 1, allowing Buffalo to take over as the new favorite.

Here are some notes on the AFC Championship odds movement:

• [October 15] With Buffalo’s record falling to 4-2 after a Week 6 loss to the Falcons, some sportsbooks started to favor the Kansas City Chiefs to win the AFC.
• [September 16] After Joe Burrow suffered what might be a season-ending turf toe injury, sportsbooks wrote the Bengals off, tanking their odds from +1080 to +2920.
• [September 9] The Bills mounted a fourth-quarter comeback against the Ravens in Week 1, which resulted in Buffalo overtaking Baltimore as the favorite to win the AFC.
• [August 20] Sportsbooks made it quite clear that they did not agree with Shane Steichen’s assessment of Daniel Jones giving Indianapolis a better chance of winning than Anthony Richardson. The Colts’ AFC Championship odds dipped from an average of +3850 to as long as +6000 after Jones was named the starter.
• [March 12] After acquiring DK Metcalf from the Seahawks, the Steelers saw their NFL Conference futures improve from +2750 to +2250. I think it’s likely we see Pittsburgh’s odds improve a little further if they manage to land Aaron Rodgers in free agency. Their top two WRs are among the best in the league, but they still need someone to distribute the ball.
• [February 21] Yet again, the Kansas City Chiefs opened as the favorites to win the AFC Championship with slightly longer than 3-1 odds. The Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills opened in the same tier as the Chiefs, both getting odds shorter than +400. There was a significant drop to the next team, the Bengals, at just shorter than +900 odds. The team with the biggest difference in opening AFC Championship odds year-over-year was the Broncos, who opened at +6000 last year, but had the seventh-best opening odds at +1733. The Jets’ odds were a lot different from last season as well, seeing just shorter than 57-1 odds this season versus their +1500 odds from last season.

Some trends to consider before placing any wagers on who will win the 2024 AFC Championship game:

• The New England Patriots have won 11 AFC Championships, the most conference championships of any team in the NFL
• The Chiefs have won five of the last six AFC Championships
• Three AFC teams have never been to a Super Bowl: Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, and Jacksonville Jaguars
• The Patriots have won three of the last nine AFC Championships, and four of the last 11, but all came with Tom Brady under center
• No AFC South team has won an AFC Championship since 2010, when the the Indianapolis Colts did so with Peyton Manning

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Odds to Win NFC Championship

The Lions are the favorites to win the NFC Championship with +350 odds. If you bet $20 on Detroit, you would stand to win $70 and return $90. Based off those odds, the probability of the Lions winning the NFC Championship this season is 22.2%.

Green Bay had been the favorites to win the NFC ahead of Week 7, but another uninspiring win over the lowly Cardinals has seen the Lions jump ahead of them.

The team who saw their NFC Championship odds improve most notably after Week 7 were the Seahawks, who went from +1450 to +1275 after a very good win over the Texans on MNF.

The NFC team who saw their odds worsen most notably was the Commanders, who really disappointed against the Cowboys and also potentially lost Jayden Daniels to another injury. Washington’s odds faded from +1425 to +2950.

NFC Championship Odds

The Philadelphia Eagles opened as the favorites to win the 2025-26 NFC Championship and held the title all offseason. However, in spite of a 2-0 start, they saw the Packers overtake them as the favorites following Week 2. That only lasted one week, though, after Green Bay was upset by the Browns in Week 3. After some shuffling, the Lions emerged as the new favorites after Week 7.

Here are some notes on the NFC Championship odds movement:

• [October 21] Detroit became the NFC favorites for the first time after a dominant Week 7 win over the Buccaneers, while the Packers posted another uninspiring victory.
• [October 15] The Packers regained the favorite status after Week 6, when they beat the Bengals and the Eagles were upset by the Giants.
• [September 23] Philadelphia took back over as the favorites to win the NFC Championship after the Packers were upset by the Browns in Week 3.
• [September 16] The Packers logged another extremely impressive win in Week 2, beating the Commanders with ease, and while the Eagles did beat the Chiefs in Arrowhead, it wasn’t a very convincing one. The result was the Packers taking over as the favorites to win the NFC, marking the first time someone other than the Eagles were favored this season.
• [September 9] Green Bay’s odds got notably better after a very impressive Week 1 victory over the Lions. This movement gave them the second-best odds at the time.
• [August 29] The Packers acquiring Micah Parsons really shook up the NFC Championship odds. While the Eagles did not see much movement as the favorites, their odds did worsen a touch from +330 to +380. The Lions, who have to deal with Green Bay twice as fellow NFC North teams, saw their odds worsen from an average of +496 to as long as +700. The Packers’ odds improved from an average of +1008 to as short as +650, leaping the Rams, Commanders, and 49ers on the board.
• [July 22] Bettors must have started believing in JJ McCarthy, as Minnesota’s NFC Championship odds steadily improved from an average of +2100 back in March to an average of +1167 ahead of the preseason.
• [March 12] The LA Rams saw their NFC title odds improve from +1225 to +1050 after re-signing Matthew Stafford and adding Davante Adams in free agency. The Minnesota Vikings, on the other hand, saw their odds fade from +1600 to +2100 after losing Sam Darnold in free agency, leaving second-year pro JJ McCarthy as the projected starter at this point.
• [February 21] The Philadelphia Eagles opened as the favorites to win the NFC Championship with shorter than 3-1 odds. The Lions were a close second at opening with just longer than +400 odds. The NFC team with the biggest difference in opening odds year-over-year is the Commanders, who opened last season at 55-1 odds to win the NFC Championship, but had the fourth-best opening odds this season at +900. The 49ers were one of the bigger surprises at opening, as they were given the third-best odds in spite of missing the playoffs last season.

Some trends to consider before placing any wagers on who will win the 2024 NFC Championship game:

• Since 1999, only one team has repeated as NFC Champions: the Seattle Seahawks in 2014 and 2015
• The NFC’s no. 1 or 2 seed has represented the conference in the Super Bowl 12 of the last 14 years—it has not happened in two of the last five years
• No NFC North team has won an NFC Championship since 2011 when the Green Bay Packers accomplished the feat
• The Detroit Lions are the only NFC team who has never won the conference championship

Archived NFL Conference Championship Odds:

• 2025
• 2024
• 2023
• 2022
• 2021
• 2020