2026-27 NFL Conference Championship Odds Tracker

I will be tracking the odds to win the 2027 AFC and NFC Championships all season long—also read as which two teams will play in Super Bowl 61. I captured the opening odds and will be plotting the conference championship odds at key points throughout the offseason, as well as after each week of the season.

You can also see the most recent odds to win each NFL conference in the 2026-27 season, with the best odds to bet surfaced up for each team. You can, however, compare the odds from multiple sportsbooks to see any major differences in the market.

AFC | NFC

Odds to Win AFC Championship

The Buffalo Bills are the consensus favorites to win the AFC Championship. In spite of losing to the Broncos in the Divisional Round of the Playoffs last season, and then making a change at head coach, every sportsbook currently has the Bills listed as the AFC favorites. Their odds are listed as long as +550 but as short as +475. Even at their longest odds (+550), that still gives the Bills a 15.4% probability to win the conference this season. A $20 bet on Buffalo at their +550 odds would stand to win $110 and return $130.

The top contenders to win the AFC Championship, according to the betting odds, are as follows:

1. Buffalo Bills
2. Baltimore Ravens
3. Kansas City Chiefs
4. Los Angeles Chargers
5. New England Patriots

One of the things I always find interesting is comparing opening odds from this year to last year, showcasing which teams have seen their expectations dramatically change in just one year. Here are some of the teams with the biggest differences in opening odds:

• New England Patriots: the Patriots opened last season with lengthy +4333 odds to win the AFC Championship – their odds weren’t much better than the Jets’. But, as we all know, they went on and did win the AFC Championship, and have opened this season with much shorter +700 odds.
• Kansas City Chiefs: the Chiefs opened as the favorites to win the AFC last season with very short +303 average odds. But they missed the playoffs last season, and now open with notably longer +750 odds for the 2026-27 season.
• Jacksonville Jaguars: though the Jags only opened with the eighth-best odds to win the AFC this season, their +1050 odds imply a pretty decent chance in Liam Cohen’s second season with the team. It’s a massive improvement from their +4833 opening odds from last year.
• Miami Dolphins: the Dolphins opened this season with the worst odds to win the AFC. We’re talking worse than the Jets, Raiders, Browns, and Titans, as they were given +11000 consensus odds. Just one year ago, they were at least given respectable +2500 odds at opening.

AFC Conference odds in the table above are updated every 20-30 minutes from DraftKings, FanDuel and other top sportsbooks; if you’re not with DraftKings yet, be sure to check out our DraftKings promo code before making any bets.

Track AFC Championship Odds Movement

Here are some notes on the AFC Championship odds movement:

• [February 9] the Buffalo Bills opened as the favorites to win the 2027 AFC Championship. Their +550 odds were slightly better than the Ravens, Chiefs, and Chargers. It’s worth mentioning that nine teams opened with shorter than 13-1 odds to win the AFC, though, signaling a lengthy list of legitimate contenders. Last year’s rise of the Patriots and Broncos is being respected, while sportsbooks believe the Ravens and Chiefs will bounce back from their poor seasons last year.

Some trends to consider before placing any wagers on who will win the 2027 AFC Championship game:

• The New England Patriots have won 12 AFC Championships, the most conference championships of any team in the NFL
• The Chiefs have won five of the last seven AFC Championships
• Three AFC teams have never been to a Super Bowl: Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, and Jacksonville Jaguars
• No AFC South team has won an AFC Championship since 2010, when the the Indianapolis Colts did so with Peyton Manning

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Odds to Win NFC Championship

The Seattle Seahawks are the favorites to win the NFC Championship with odds as long as +520. While their longest odds are worse than the Rams, which is why you’ll see LA listed atop the odds table above, their consensus odds to win the NFC are a bit better than LA’s. If you bet $20 on Seattle at their +520 odds, you would stand to win $104 and return $124. These odds imply a 16.1% chance for the Seahawks to repeat as NFC Champions.

Based on the odds, the top five contenders to win the NFC Championship are as follows:

1. Seattle Seahawks
2. LA Rams
3. Green Bay Packers
4. Philadelphia Eagles
5. Detroit Lions

And then here are some of the teams who are going through major adjustments to their expectations this season versus last year:

• Seattle Seahawks: the Seahawks opened as the NFC favorites with +450 consensus odds, which is much better than their +2933 odds at opening last year. This is what happens when you win a Super Bowl!
• Philadelphia Eagles: this time last year, the Eagles were celebrating a dominant Super Bowl victory while preparing to defend their championship with almost all of their key players returning. Sportsbooks saw them as extremely heavy favorites with +295 odds. However, the loss of Kellen Moore at OC was not easy to overcome as the Eagles were bounced in the Wild Card Round. Their NFC Championship odds were still +725 at opening this year, but that’s a very different outlook than a year ago.
• Washington Commanders: After a run to the NFC Championship game the previous season, Washington opened last year with +900 odds to win the NFC Championship. But an ugly, injury-filled season that saw them miss the playoffs (eliminated early) has resulted in their NFC Championship odds opening at a lengthy +2750 this year.

Track NFC Championship Odds Movement

Here are some notes on the NFC Championship odds movement:

• [February 9] after winning Super Bowl 60, the Seahawks opened as the favorites to win the NFC in the 2026-27 season. Their +450 odds were slightly better than the Rams’ 475 odds. These two teams stood well above the field at opening, as the next-best on the board was the Packers at +725 odds.

Some trends to consider before placing any wagers on who will win the 2027 NFC Championship game:

• Since 1999, only one team has repeated as NFC Champions: the Seattle Seahawks in 2014 and 2015
• The NFC’s no. 1 or 2 seed has represented the conference in the Super Bowl 13 of the last 15 years—it has not happened in two of the last six years
• No NFC North team has won an NFC Championship since 2011 when the Green Bay Packers accomplished the feat
• The Detroit Lions are the only NFC team who has never won the conference championship

Archived NFL Conference Championship Odds:

• 2026
• 2025
• 2024
• 2023
• 2022
• 2021
• 2020