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Packers’ Super Bowl Odds Shortened to +850 After Defeating Cardinals on TNF

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Updated Oct 28, 2021 · 10:00 PM PDT

Aaron Rodgers celebration
Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers pumps his fist in the closing seconds of their 24-21 win over the Arizona Cardinals Thursday, Oct. 28, 2021, in Glendale, Ariz. (AP Photo/Darryl Webb)
  • The Green Bay Packers now have the third shortest odds to win the Super Bowl after defeating the Arizona Cardinals 24-21 on Thursday Night Football
  • Green Bay has won seven straight, and owns a conference best 5-1 record versus NFC opponents
  • Read below for analysis on whether or not the Packers are worth betting to win it all at their new price

No Davante Adams, no problem. With Aaron Rodgers’ number one weapon back home on the COVID-19 list, Green Bay walked into Arizona on Thursday Night Football and promptly handed the Cardinals their first loss of the season.

The 24-21 victory was the Packers’ seventh straight and it prompted online sportsbooks to significantly shorten their championship price tag. Green Bay is now a top-three contender to win its second Super Bowl in the Rodgers era, behind only Buffalo and defending champion Tampa Bay on the odds board.

Super Bowl 56 Odds

Team Odds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +500
Buffalo Bills +550
Green Bay Packers +850
Los Angeles Rams +950
Baltimore Ravens +1000
Arizona Cardinals +1100
Dallas Cowboys +1200
Kansas City Chiefs +1300

Odds as of Oct. 28th at FanDuel.

The Packers’ Super Bowl odds went from +1100 to +850 following their win over the Cardinals, while Arizona’s odds followed the opposite path of Green Bay’s, lengthening from +850 to +1100.

Rodgers and Co. now sit atop the NFC standings at 7-1, and what makes this latest victory so impressive was the sheer amount of talent they were missing in addition to Adams.

Packers Earn Much Needed Rest

Green Bay was without it’s number two and number three receivers in Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Allen Lazard as well, plus a whole cast of All-Pro players. Left tackle David Bakhtiari, corner Jaire Alexander, and edge rusher Za’Darius Smith were all out, as was center Josh Meyers, while tight end Robert Tonyan left the game in the third quarter.

With so many key pieces missing, the Packers got a huge performance from their running game and an inspiring effort from their heavily scrutinized defense – more on them later.

Head coach Matt LaFleur devised an excellent game plan and Rodgers executed it to perfection. The reigning MVP led long, methodical drives, wearing out the Cardinals’ defense while keeping his own fresh. Green Bay dominated the time of possession 37:35 to 22:25, and engineered four double-digit play drives.

Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon shouldered the majority of the offensive workload racking up 110 and 78 total yards respectively, while Rodgers dink and dunked his way down the field primarily throwing to Randall Cobb and a cast of inexperienced receivers.

Green Bay now has a seemingly insurmountable lead in the NFC North and are the front runners for the number one seed in the conference. They’ll have 10 days to prepare for Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, which should allow most, if not all, of their stars enough time to get healthy.

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Green Bay’s Defense Stands Tall

The Packers’ defense has been under scrutiny all season, but they’ve started to turn the corner. They stepped up last week holding to Washington to only 10 points, and under the prime time lights did an excellent job of limiting Arizona’s potent offense. Green Bay held the NFL’s fourth highest scoring offense to 334 yards, while forcing three turnovers.

They sealed the game with a Rasul Douglas interception in the end zone, a player who just three weeks ago was on the Cardinals practice squad.

The Packers have now forced 14 turnovers in eight games, which is just four fewer than they did all of last season. They’ve racked up at least two turnovers in six of eight games, while making steady progress in the pass rush department. Green Bay’s defense was in Kyler Murray’s face for most of the game, racking up two more sacks to given them 20 on the season.

After surrendering touchdowns on their opponents first 15 red zone trips this season, the Packers have now kept enemy offenses out of the end zone on five of their past eight red zone drives against.

A Daunting Schedule Awaits

Over the next four weeks, Green Bay will play at both KC and Minnesota, while hosting Seattle and the LA Rams. They still have both Baltimore and Cleveland on their schedule as well, but a victory like they one they just had over Arizona could be season defining.

At 7-1, with a cast of All-Pro players set to return, you have to like the Packers’ championship prospects. Don’t forget, this is a team that has made back-to-back NFC Championship games, and were just a blown coverage assignment and a questionable 4th down play call away from a Super Bowl appearance last February.

When healthy, they have an offense capable of leading the league in scoring, like they did last season, and a defense capable of slowing down even the most explosive offenses. That’s a recipe for success, and a team that is definitely worth a Super Bowl wager at +850.

It also doesn’t hurt that they have the reigning MVP, and one of the greatest quarterbacks to ever play under center. As Rodgers would say “how can you not be romantic about football”.

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