Packers vs Colts Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets for Sunday Week 11
- It’s a showdown between NFL division leaders as the Green Bay Packers face the Indianapolis Colts
- Current record: 11-10, +4.21 units won
- The best prop wagers to play out of this tilt are listed below
The 7-2 Green Bay Packers (NFC North) and 6-3 Indianapolis Colts (AFC South) both currently rule over their respective NFL divisions.
The Packers are the NFL’s #3 scoring offense (30.3 points per game) while the Colts are the league’s #1 defense (290.4 yards per game).
The Colts are 1.5-point home favorites for this game with a 4:25pm EST kickoff. Check out our updated injury reports, as well as other betting options. Let’s start with the lines for player props.
Packers vs Colts Player Props
| Quarterback | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers (GB) | 24.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) | 278.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) | 1.5 (Ov -200 | Un +159) |
| Philip Rivers (IND) | 24.5 (Ov -106| Un -118) | 270.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) | 1.5 (Ov -200 | Un +159) |
| Runnning Backs | Rush Attempts | Rush Yards | Rush and Receiving Yards |
| Aaron Jones (GB) | 14.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) | 52.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101) | 85.5 (Ov +100 | Un -120) |
| Jamaal Williams (GB) | N/A | 21.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) | 36.5 (Ov -125 | Un +100) |
| Jordan Wilkins (IND) | 8.5 (Ov -115 | Un -108) | 34.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) | 43.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105) |
| Nyheim Hines (IND) | 7.5 (Ov +115| Un -143) | 30.5 (Ov -117 | Un -107) | 62.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105) |
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | 8.5 (Ov -137 | Un +110) | 34.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) | 46.5 (Ov -110 | Un -115) |
| Wide Receivers + Tight Ends | Receptions | Receivng Yards | Longest Reception |
| Aaron Jones (GB) | 3.5 (Ov -143 | Un +115) | 27.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) | 12.5 (Ov -115 | Un -110) |
| Jamaal Williams (GB) | N/A | 11.5 (Ov -143 | Un +115) | 8.5 (Ov -125 | Un +100) |
| Davante Adams (GB) | N/A | 85.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) | N/A |
| Robert Tonyan (GB) | 3.5 (Ov +138 | Un -175) | 34.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) | N/A |
| TY Hilton (IND) | 3.5 (Ov -108 | Un -115) | 40.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) | 18.5 (Ov -105 | Un -118) |
| Nyheim Hines (IND) | 3.5 (Ov 118 | Un -106) | 27.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) | 13.5 (Ov +100| Un -125) |
| Zach Pascal (IND) | 3.5 (Ov +126 | Un -157) | 35.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) | 17.5 (Ov -118 | Un -105) |
| Michael Pittman Jr (IND) | 4.5 (Ov +126 | Un -157) | 49.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) | 20.5 (Ov -105 | Un -118) |
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | N/A | 8.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) | N/A |
All props taken Nov. 14th from DraftKings/FanDuel/BetMGM
Prop #1: Rodgers Will Double Down On TD Passes
It’s true that the Colts are the best pass defense that Aaron Rodgers and the Packers will face this season. Indy is #2 in the league at stopping the pass (198.7 yards per game) and are tied for second in TD passes allowed per game (1.2).
Aaron Rodgers with the 78-yard DIME for the TD 😯
(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/pEUGQb6X6u
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) November 15, 2020
It’s also true that the Colts haven’t seen a QB with the capabilities of Rodgers this season. He’s first in the NFL in TD pass percentage (8.3) and second in the league in TD passes (26).
It’s tempting to go with the value and the Colts but Rodgers is too talented to bet against.
Pick: Aaron Rodgers over 1.5 touchdown passes (-200), 1 unit
Taylor Out Of Favor
When Marlon Mack was lost for the season, circumstances seemed to be aligning perfectly for rookie Jonathan Taylor. But as the season wears on, the Colts appear to be growing wary of giving him the ball.
Jonathan Taylor trucks this DB 😤
(via @nflnetwork)pic.twitter.com/nGz9Oq9ReE
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) November 13, 2020
Taylor carried the ball 26 times in a Week 2 win over Minnesota. He’s been handed the rock just 24 times in total over the past three games and gained 61 yards. His single-game high for rushing yardage over these three contests is 27 yards.
Pick: Jonathan Taylor under 34.5 yards rushing (-112), 1 unit.
Packers vs Colts Touchdown Props
| Player | Odds To Score First TD | Odds To Score Any TD |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones (GB) | +600 | -139 |
| Davante Adams (GB) | +650 | -134 |
| Robert Tonyan (GB) | +1200 | +160 |
| Allen Lazard (GB) | +1400 | +190 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling (GB) | +1600 | +240 |
| Jamaal Williams (GB) | +2000 | +300 |
| Aaron Rodgers (GB) | +4000 | +700 |
| Jace Sternberger (GB) | +5000 | +800 |
| Nyheim Hines (IND) | +950 | +125 |
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | +1000 | +135 |
| Jordan Wilkins (IND) | +1100 | +150 |
| Michael Pittman Jr (IND) | +1600 | +250 |
| TY Hilton (IND) | +1600 | +250 |
| Zach Pascal (IND) | +2000 | +300 |
| Trey Burton (IND) | +2000 | +300 |
| Philip Rivers (IND) | +4500 | +800 |
Who Are the Best Bets To Score a Touchdown?
Nyheim Hines has scored four of his six touchdowns this season over the past three games. He’s becoming a go-to option for the Colts in the red zone.
Three of his four TDs were pass receptions. All three of them were of a distance of 13 yards or more, showing that Hines can make tacklers miss.
All Nyheim Hines does is catch TDs and land front flips. 🤸♂️
📺 CBS pic.twitter.com/hrCMyhLpST
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) November 1, 2020
Packers wideout Davante Adams is on a four-game TD-scoring streak. He’s scored seven times over the course of those four games.
Rodgers has targeted Adams 51 times during his hot streak, so you know he’ll be looking for Adams a lot.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling’s 78-yard receiving TD was the longest by a Packers player since Jordy Nelson’s 80-yard TD in Week 2, 2014 vs the Jets
Valdes-Scantling has 3 receiving TD of 40+ yards in 2020, currently the most in the NFL#Packers
— NFL Research (@NFLResearch) November 15, 2020
Marquez Valdes-Scantling leads the NFL in yards per reception (21.0). He’s caught 22 balls and four of them went for TDs.
Over the past three games, Valdes-Scantling snared seven passes and three were TDs.
- Nyheim Hines anytime TD (+125), 1 unit
- Davante Adams anytime TD (-134), 1 unit
- Marquez Valdez-Scantling anytime TD (+240), 1 unit
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
