Packers vs Dolphins Props – Can Green Bay Keep Up Scoring Pace With Miami?
- Player props are available for the Packers vs Dolphins Week 16 matchup
- Get the odds for Aaron Rodgers, Tua Tagovailoa, Jaylen Waddle and the rest of the playmakers on each roster
- A look at some of the Packers vs Dolphins player props can be found below with predictions
Getting back in the win column was nice, but we only split our picks and still ended up losing small units in an absolute shootout between the Vikings and Colts.
This week, we’re digging up player props for the Packers vs Dolphins — two teams fighting for their playoff lives in their respective conferences.
After freezing temperatures in Buffalo, Miami returns to Hard Rock Stadium, where it is expected to be around 50 degrees at kickoff, with a 36% chance of precipitation.
Let’s share the available prop bets and our favorite bets.
Packers vs Dolphins Player Props
| Passer | Interceptions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers (GB) | OFF | 251.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 1.5 (O +100 | U -130) |
| Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) | 0.5 (O -125 | U -110) | 271.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 1.5 (O -160 | U +120) |
| Rusher | Longest Rush | Rushing Yards | Rush + Rec Yards |
| Aaron Jones (GB) | OFF | 54.5 (O -115 | U -115) | OFF |
| Receiver | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
| Allen Lazard (GB) | OFF | 43.5 (O -115 | U -115) | OFF |
| Christian Watson (GB) | OFF | 53.5 (O -115 | U -115) | OFF |
| Jaylen Waddle (MIA) | OFF | 63.5 (O -125 | U -110) | OFF |
| Robert Tonyan (GB) | OFF | 21.5 (O -115 | U -115) | OFF |
| Tyreek Hill (MIA) | OFF | 87.5 (O -115 | U -115) | OFF |
Odds as of Dec 23 at DraftKings Sportsbook
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Prop #1: Tua Tagovailoa Pass Yards
The Dolphins might want to exploit the Packers’ weak run defense that surrenders 148.9 yards per game (4th worst), but in the end, passers gonna pass, y’all.
It’s been a tough stretch for the Dolphins, but they’ll have better conditions at home to get back to that devastating pass game that vaulted them into the playoff picture.
What a start for Trent Sherfield and the @MiamiDolphins! 😱
📺: #MIAvsSF on FOX
📱: Stream on NFL+ https://t.co/PMTJ1jGqFs pic.twitter.com/7jnZwDDMYH— NFL (@NFL) December 4, 2022
Yes, the Packers boast the 2nd-best pass defense in the NFL, holding teams to 185.1 yards per game. But Tua went up against the vaunted 49ers D three weeks ago and tossed for 295 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions.
He threw for 234 against the Bills, but that was in frigid weather that turned into a blizzard for the entire fourth quarter. Prior to that, Tagovailoa was finding holes in a good Buffalo defense too.
Look for Tua to have a big one on Christmas Day.
Pick:
- Tagovailoa OVER 271.5 passing yards (-115); 1 unit to win 0.87 units
Prop #2: Jones Rush Yards & Rodgers Pass TD’s
Part of the reason Miami boasts a top-10 run defense is that teams need to abandon that part of the game to keep up with them. The Fins have faced the seventh-fewest rushes against in the NFL.
Last time out, Aaron Jones finished with 90 yards rushing on 17 carries. Volume is the key here: in the six games Jones has 13 or more carries, he’s cruised past this figure each time, cracking 100+ on four occasions.
Aaron Jones take the toss from Rodgers to the house for SIX #GoPackGo pic.twitter.com/AOrs3m6u6j
— IKE Packers Podcast (@IKE_Packers) December 20, 2022
The Dolphins have allowed a player to push past this mark in five of their last eight contests.
Miami is also tied with the other Florida teams for the 3rd-most TD passes allowed this season with 24. This might be a good chance to sprinkle on Rodgers at plus odds, even though he’s gone under this total in two straight.
In a game where the Pack are going to likely need more than the 20.5 points they average, this represents great value. In the five games Green Bay have gone for 27 or more points, he’s thrown for at least two majors in four of them.
Pick:
- Jones OVER 54.5 rushing yards (-115); 1 unit to win 0.87 units
- Rodgers OVER 1.5 passing TD (+100); 1.5 units to win 1.5 units
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Packers vs Dolphins Scoring Props
| Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Any TD |
|---|---|---|
| Raheem Mostert (MIA) | +475 | -165 |
| Tyreek Hill (MIA) | +600 | -125 |
| Aaron Jones (GB) | +800 | -115 |
| Jeff Wilson Jr (MIA) | +700 | +100 |
| Christian Watson (GB) | +1000 | +120 |
| AJ Dillon (GB) | +1000 | +120 |
| Jaylen Waddle (MIA) | +900 | +135 |
| Allen Lazard (GB) | +1500 | +205 |
| Mike Gesicki (MIA) | +1900 | +340 |
| Trent Sherfield (MIA) | +2200 | +370 |
| Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) | +2200 | +400 |
Packers vs Dolphins Touchdown Scorer Odds
Jaylen Waddle broke a 4-game TD drought last time out against the Bills. The two previous games where he scored a touchdown, he’s followed up the next game with another.
Jones is the odds-on favorite to score for the Packers, but AJ Dillon has four TDs in his last three games, including two last time out against the Rams.
And don’t sleep on Christian Watson (+120), who finally cooled against LA, failing to find paydirt for a fifth straight game. He’s a good bet to get back on track.
Pick:
- Watson ANYTIME TD scorer (+120); 1 unit to win 1.2 units
- Week 15 Record: 2-2; Overall Record: 23-33, -9.79 units
Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
