Upcoming Match-ups

Patriots’ Super Bowl Odds Remain at +350 After Releasing Antonio Brown

Antonio Brown at practice
The average Super Bowl odds of the New England Patriots remain unchanged at +350 following the release of wide receiver Antonio Brown. Photo from @NESN (Twitter).
  • The New England Patriots have released wide receiver Antonio Brown just 11 days after signing him
  • New England’s odds of winning Super Bowl 54 remain unchanged at +350
  • The Patriots were due to pay Brown the first installment of his $9 million signing bonus on Monday

Anyone who suggested that Antonio Brown would have no impact on the odds of the New England Patriots winning Super Bowl 54 has been proven correct.

The Patriots released the troubled yet talented wide receiver on Friday and it didn’t cause a dent in the chances of New England winning the big game.

Before Brown’s release, the Patriots were +350 in the Super Bowl odds.

Super Bowl 54 Odds

Team Odds
New England Patriots +350
Kansas City Chiefs +600
Los Angeles Rams +800
Dallas Cowboys +1200
Green Bay Packers +1200

Odds taken on 09/20/19. 

After his release was announced Friday afternoon, the Patriots remained unchanged at odds of +350.

Patriots Games

Let’s be honest here – the Patriots really didn’t need Brown. They signed the NFL’s problem child because they could afford to take the risk.

It’s how they’ve always operated under head coach Bill Belichick. And it’s because of Belichick’s iron-fist rule that they can take such chances.

Teams often speak of the importance of a winning culture. No squad in pro sports owns a more locked-in culture of success than the NFL team in New England.

It’s why they weren’t afraid to take a chance and find out what Brown could do for them, when every other NFL team was ducking for cover.

New England Can Take Chances

Sometimes in the past when they’ve gone all in on malcontents, it’s come up aces. But even when it does, the moment the player became difficult, he was shown the door by the Pats.

New England loved Randy Moss when he was scoring 23 touchdowns for them in 2007. But when he became a disruptive presence in 2010, he was quickly dispatched elsewhere. That messy divorce with Moss impacted the Patriots so much that they only finished 14-2.

The following season, they added two more troubled souls in Washington Redskins defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth and Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Chad Johnson (a.k.a. Ochocinco). Neither came close to panning out, and New England slumped to 13-3.

Brown Out?

The move won’t cause a misstep in New England. In two games, the Pats have outscored the opposition 76-3. By comparison, in 2007, their 16-0 season, the Patriots outscored the opposition 76-28 in their first two games.

Brown accounted for just six of those points.

If the Patriots hold the New York Jets and third-string quarterback Luke Falk to nine points or fewer on Sunday in their Week 3 meeting, they’ll set a record for the fewest points allowed by a team through its first three games during the Super Bowl era.

New England is a 22.5-point favorite over the Jets.

The 2001 Green Bay Packers and 2004 Seattle Seahawks each held their first three opponents to a combined 13 points.

The Patriots Will Be Just Fine, Thank You

Sports Illustrated opted to put New England’s signing of Brown into sports betting terminology. When they made the move, the Patriots were playing with house money.

They’re way ahead of the game, so taking on a high-risk wager wasn’t all that concerning. If it cashed in, the more for the merrier. Now that it’s crapped out, they move on unscathed.

Deflategate. The Aaron Hernandez murder trial. Owner Robert Kraft’s misadventures in a rub and tug.

None proved capable of distracting the Patriots from their mission. Compared to those, Brown isn’t even a blip on the radar.

With or without him, New England was always going to be Super favorites.

That hasn’t changed.

Author Image
Discussion

Let's have fun and keep it civil.