Spread Moving Quickly in Packers vs Chiefs Game, Already Up from 3 to 5.5
- Kansas City will be playing its first full game without Patrick Mahomes
- Aaron Rodgers is coming off a five-TD game with a perfect passer rating
- Green Bay is 2-0 ATS on the road this season
Coming off a third straight victory, the Green Bay Packers (6-1) will be seeking four in a row when the NFC North leaders travel to Kansas City for a Sunday Night Football matchup against the Chiefs (5-2) in Week 8 (Oct. 27, 8:20 PM ET).
As of Wednesday morning, the point spread for the game listed Green Bay as 5.5-point favorites — up from when the Packers vs Chiefs spread opened at 3 earlier this week.
Will the odds hold firm for the Packers, who are facing a Chiefs team without star quarterback Patrick Mahomes? Is there any value betting on a K.C. team playing at home in primetime?
Green Bay Packers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | -5.5 (-105) | -230 | O 47.5 (-110) |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +5.5 (-115) | +190 | U 47.5 (-110) |
*Odds taken October 23.
As mentioned, the point spread opened at a field goal in favor of the Packers and has steadily increased, moving to 4 and then 5 by the end of the evening on Tuesday. Just before midnight, the spread increased to 5.5 in favor of the Packers.
Green Bay has won three straight games and leads the NFC North at 6-1. The Packers have been solid against the spread too, posting a 5-2 ATS record heading into their Week 8 matchup against the Chiefs. They have also gone 2-0 ATS on the road this season.
However, bettors should take note that the Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against Kansas City.
Aaron Rodgers Heating Up At Right Time
Another reason there’s been heavy movement in the point spread has been the play of Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who dissected the Oakland Raiders defense this past weekend. Rodgers completed 25-of-31 attempts for 429 yards and five touchdown passes, also finishing with a perfect quarterback rating of 158.3.
Even more impressive, he did it without number-one receiver Davante Adams.
The Chiefs, meanwhile, are just trying to hang on while Mahomes recovers from a dislocated kneecap injury suffered in Week 7. This will be the first full game Kansas City plays without the erstwhile NFL MVP favorite and reigning award winner, leaving the ball in the hands of journeyman quarterback Matt Moore.
.@CoachMLaFleur didn't know if he was more impressed by @TheJimmyGraham's clutch catch or stellar spike ?@insidetheNFL | @packers pic.twitter.com/l3SXLPkIuv
— NFL Films (@NFLFilms) October 22, 2019
Kansas City is still one of the top offensive teams in the NFL — averaging 28.9 points per game (third-most). Only the New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens are averaging more points per game.
Can The Chiefs Still Be Dangerous On Offense?
With Mahomes out of the picture for the time being, can Moore carry the Chiefs offensively on Sunday?
Moore was serviceable in relief during Kansas City’s win over the Broncos last Monday, completing 10-of-19 passes for 117 yards. He also had a touchdown pass to Tyreek Hill.
DON’T LET MATT MOORE GET HOT pic.twitter.com/FUlvtPpVn4
— Barstool Sports (@barstoolsports) October 18, 2019
There’s no question the Chiefs will rely more heavily on the run to take some pressure off Moore. The Packers defense is also allowing the ninth-most rushing yards per game, giving Andy Reid added incentive to pound the ball on the ground.
Surprisingly, this will be the first regular-season meeting between these two clubs since September 2015, when the Packers posted a 38-28 home win at Lambeau Field. Over the last three meetings, Green Bay has gone 2-1 ATS vs the Chiefs.
Kansas City Listed As Enticing +190 Underdogs
Betting on the moneyline? The Chiefs come in as intriguing +190 underdogs, while the Packers head to Arrowhead as -230 favorites.
The point total for this game opened at 48 and was as high as 49 before dropping back down to its current over/under of 47.5.
Both teams are 4-3 O/U this season, and this game should be another high-scoring affair, especially on the Green Bay side. KC’s defense gives up the eight-most yards per game and has surrendered 30-plus points twice in its last four outings.
Pick: Green Bay Packers (-5.5, -105)
Angelo Montilla is a writer, visual design instructor and graphic designer based on the East Coast. As a journalism graduate, his experience in the media industry spans more than 15 years and includes work with Nation Network, SportsBreak, Featurd, Hockey Writers and the Windsor Star.
