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NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages for Chargers vs Jaguars Saturday Night Football

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Updated Jan 14, 2023 · 10:00 AM PST

Trevor Lawrence celebrating with Christian Kirk
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) celebrates with wide receiver Christian Kirk (13) after his touchdown catch during regular-season finale against the Tennessee Titans on January 7, 2023. Syndication Florida Times Union

  • Jacksonville is getting 63% of the spread money in Chargers vs Jaguars public betting splits ahead of their Wild Card matchup
  • A whopping 71% of the money and over 61% of the total money is going on the under
  • Read below for the public betting splits and trends for Chargers vs Jaguars

It might be the most intriguing matchup of Wild Card weekend.

The AFC South-champion Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8, 5-3 home) will host the Los Angeles Chargers (10-7, 5-4 away) in the nightcap of the opening Saturday night of Wild Card playoff action.

The Chargers vs Jaguars matchup will feature two of the premier young pivots in the NFL, with third-year pivot Justin Herbert and 2nd-year man Trevor Lawrence each dipping their foot into playoff waters for the first time.

In the Chargers vs Jaguars betting preview, the public is leaning on the home team. According to the NFL public betting trends, 63% are picking the Jags to cover the spread.

Let’s break it down further in the Chargers vs Jaguars public betting splits and key trends.

Chargers vs Jaguars ATS Betting Splits

There’s been some movement on this line, which currently sits with the Chargers as 2.5-point road favorites.

As late as January 9, some books had the Jaguars as the 0.5-point favorites, and while most have settled at 2.5, Caesars Sportsbook currently has a 1.5-point spread in favor of LA.

The Chargers were one of the best bets in the NFL in the regular season, running an 11-5-1 mark against the spread. Only four other teams — the Giants, Bengals and Lions — covered at a better percentage than the Bolts.

That hasn’t stopped the betting public to skew to the home side, who are a sparkling 4-0-0 ATS as a home ‘dog. Our own model has the game going in the Jags’ favor 24.5-21 in the Chargers vs Jaguars picks.

LA has dominated the recent head-to-head matchups, running a perfect 5-0-0 ATS in the last five meetings in Jacksonville and 9-1-0 in their last 10 overall against the Jaguars.

How much stock do you put into those numbers? The Jags have been historically bad, and Doug Pederson’s program just started this season, claiming a division title and home playoff date.

These two teams did meet in Week 3, with Jacksonville whipping the Chargers 38-10. Jacksonville was a 6.5-point favorite.

Los Angeles vs Jacksonville Total Betting Splits

This number has stayed fairly consistent throughout the week, never dipping below 46.5 and never running over 48. At DraftKings, this total is set at 47.5.

The betting public is going low, with 71% of the money and 61% of the bets taking the under. These teams aren’t offensive juggernauts — LA is averaging 23 points per game (13th) and Jaguars are at 23.8 (10th) — but they can assume the identity from time to time.

For Jacksonville, they finished the year 7-2 in their final nine and they scored 27 points or more five times.

Los Angeles finished 5-2 to end the year, but they were a little less potent on offense, failing to cross that 27-point threshold five times.

LA might find offense a little tougher in this one as well, as the Chargers vs Jaguars injury report has Mike Williams (back) out, and he won’t be back unless LA makes an improbable run to the Super Bowl.

Perhaps those extra targets might spread to Austin Ekeler and Keenan Allen, something to consider when looking at the Chargers vs Jaguars player prop bets.

That might not help Herbert, though, who has just six TD passes in his last six games, and has thrown for three or more majors just three times this season.

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Chargers vs Jaguars Moneyline Splits

While the betting public likes Jacksonville to cover, they’ve also got the Chargers to win outright at a 59.4% clip.

As short as -105 to start the week at Caesars, most books have the Bolts in the -135 to -140 range. If you’re siding with Jacksonville to cover and want to take them to win outright, you can find them at some books at +125 odds. At DraftKings, they’re in at +120.

The Chargers finished 5-4 on the road in the regular season. Since their bye in Week 8, they followed each road win with a road loss. If you’re keeping tabs, the ended the regular season with a loss at Denver.

For Jacksonville, they enter the postseason with five straight wins, and have just a single loss since their Week 11 bye. However just two of their six wins came against playoff-bound teams, though they did beat both the Ravens and Cowboys.

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