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Trubisky’s MVP Odds Fade to 55-1 After Lousy Game vs Packers; Bears QB Was as Short as 28-1 Prior

Mitchell Trubisky, Bears QB, in his civvies
Mitchell Trubisky won't be all smiles when he sees how far his MVP odds dropped after Chicago's Week 1 loss to Green Bay. Photo by Camrongood (Wiki Commons) [CC License].
  • The MVP odds of Chicago QB Mitchell Trubisky jumped to 55-1 following the Bears’ Week 1 loss to Green Bay
  • Trubisky passed for just 228 yards, no TDs, and one INT in a 10-3 loss to the Packers
  • Before the ugly Week 1 performance, his MVP odds were as short as 28-1

You can’t spell Mitchell Trubisky without the M. But you can go a long way down the 2019 NFL MVP odds before you’ll see Trubisky’s named spelled out on the list.

As the Chicago Bears and Trubisky took an opening-week tumble, falling 10-3 at Soldier Field to the Green Bay Packers, his NFL MVP odds also went into free fall.

Prior to Thursday’s kickoff, some sportsbooks listed Trubisky as short as 28-1 (+2800) to win the MVP award this season, while other sportsbooks were less bullish and moved his line to +5000.
His average odds across the leading sportsbooks was +3800.

Mitchell Trubisky 2019 NFL MVP Odds

Date Odds
Trubisky’s Pre-Week 1 MVP Odds +5000
Trubisky’s Post-Week 1 MVP Odds +5500

*All odds herein taken 9/06/19.

After the game, Trubisky’s odds fell to as long as +5500.

Trubisky Leaves Bears Fans Wanting

Any way you did the math, Trubisky’s Week 1 performance added up to abysmal failure.

He went 26 for 45 through the air, a 57.8% completion rate. But those 26 completions amounted to just 228 yards and a dreadful 5.1 yards per attempt.

There were no touchdowns, an appalling 62.1 passer rating, and worst of all, a fourth-quarter interception that cost the Bears any chance to win the game. He didn’t spot wide-open receivers. He forced balls into areas where there weren’t openings.

Earlier in the week, Trubisky reasoned that the Bears offense worked best when it was balanced. Yet in their loss to the Packers, Chicago, a team that averaged 121.1 yards on the ground per game last season, handed it off just a dozen times.

Mike Davis was Chicago’s leading rusher, gaining 19 yards on five carries.

Packers Force Bears To Plan B

Green Bay’s defensive philosophy wasn’t complicated. The Packers sought to take away Trubisky’s first passing option and force him to improvise.

It proved to be brilliant strategy. Trubisky’s secondary gameplan was to cut and run. He ran the ball himself three times. He was sacked on five occasions.

On the interception, he foolishly tried to jam an end-zone pass into double coverage. Under pressure, Trubisky threw off his back foot and lobbed it in there, just asking for it to be picked off.

Inconsistency continues to be Trubisky’s nemesis. Even last season, when he led the Bears to the NFC North title, his game-to-game performance was a never-ending roller-coaster ride.

In six games, his passer rating soared above 100. However, in another six games, it dipped below 80.

An Unlikely MVP Candidate

If you were putting money down on Trubisky and considered that his NFL MVP candidacy was one with legitmacy, there’s some swamp land up for sale in Florida with your name all over it.

At his best, he’s a game manager, cut from the same cloth as Alex Smith. It’s unlikely he’ll win you a game but if he can just avoid losing games, that’s a bonus.

Compared to Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers, Detroit’s Matthew Stafford and Minnesota’s Kirk Cousins, is not far-fetched to make the case that Trubisky is the weakest starting QB in the NFC North.

It’s only Trubisky’s third NFL season. Perhaps he’s still developing into what he can be, and time and experience will eventually elevate his game.

At the moment, he continues to make the same mistakes that have plagued him – forcing passes that aren’t there, and missing open receivers that are there.

Week 1 showed what the smart money already knew – Trubisky isn’t an NFL MVP candidate.

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