- The Green Bay Packers are the Super Bowl betting favorite after Week 18 games
- Tennessee Titans lock up AFC’s top seed with win over Houston
- Check out the updated Super Bowl odds after Sunday’s games
Well, that was an eventful, first-ever Week 18.
With just the Raiders and Chargers currently duking it out in the NFL’s regular-season finale, the most updated 2022 Super Bowl odds are in, and there was some volatility.
The biggest earth-shaker started when the Indianapolis Colts — heading into the final game of the season with the 11th-best title odds — laid an egg in Jacksonville.
That opened the door for the Pittsburgh Steelers, who are quite literally zombies from the Walking Dead. They just keep coming. A team that started the week with the lowest Super Bowl odds at +55000 are in the dance, shooting all the way up to +7000 odds.
But there was other significant movement, including the fellas from Music City climbing to their highest point of the year yet.
Let’s run down the significant lines after the early and late Sunday starts.
2022 Super Bowl Odds
|Green Bay Packers||+380|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+500|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+750|
|Los Angeles Rams||+950|
|New England Patriots||+2100|
|San Francisco 49ers||+2400|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+4100|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+4400|
Odds as of Jan 9 from FanDuel.Advertising Disclosure
Titans Top Seed in AFC
It’s a Cinderella story, for sure, but it does set the scene for potential chaos in the playoffs.
The Tennessee Titans outlasted the Houston Texans 28-25 in their season finale, locking up the top seed in the AFC, and the coveted first-round bye.
No contender needed that extra week more than the Titans, who could have Derrick Henry back running wild and setting up Tennessee for a deep run.
— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) January 9, 2022
Ryan Tannehill bounced back from his worst performance of the season against these same Texans, when he threw a career-high four interceptions in a 22-13 loss in November.
On Sunday, he was 23-for-32 for 287 yards and four TD passes. Even better news? Prized offseason pickup Julio Jones appears healthy, and caught his first TD pass of the season.
Julio Jones snags his first TD as a Titan 🙌
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) January 9, 2022
Tennessee has been living on the fringes of the Super Bowl odds, but oddsmakers had to give them their due. They jump from +1300 odds to +850, alone in fifth behind only the Packers, Chiefs, Buccaneers and Bills.
There’s a lot to like here, and putting a wager on a top seed hardly seems ridiculous.Advertising Disclosure
Packers, Chiefs Top Betting Favorites
No matter the results from Week 18, only slight odds movement and no leapfrogging of fading happened among the NFL’s betting favorites.
Aaron Rodgers looked dominant as ever in a first-half of work for the top-seed Packers.
Rodgers dime to Lazard for 6 🔥
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) January 9, 2022
He was 14-for-18 for 138 yards and two beauty TD strikes to Alan Lazard, before giving way to Jordan Love in an eventual 37-30 loss to the Lions.
Green Bay’s odds slightly shorten from +400 to +380. As long as Rodgers stays healthy, watch out.
The Chiefs played Saturday and beat the Broncos 28-24. Denver had the game in their lap, until Melvin Ingram delivered the boom on Melvin Gordon, forcing a fumble that Nick Bolton scooped and took to the house.
That turned a Denver 21-20 lead into a 28-21 deficit that would end up being the winning points.
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) January 9, 2022
Patrick Mahomes has learned to operate within the confines of what the defense is giving him, as he tossed for 270 yards and two scores on 44 attempts.
Crazy that a team that doesn’t look so right, with an offense that’s not so dominant, and a defense that’s about league average is probably the scariest team in the AFC. That’s the power of Mahomes, and a reason why they hold steady in second at +500 odds.
Buccaneers, Bills Round Out Top 4
Perhaps it’s the amazement of Tom Brady — or the end-of-year Panthers’ defense — but for a team that’s hurting in the pass-catching and running back department, Tampa still whipped Carolina 41-17.
NEW CAREER HIGH FOR TOM BRADY‼️
Brady set a personal record for passing yards in a season (5,309+) … AT AGE 44 🐐 pic.twitter.com/kCKvpFxqiH
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) January 10, 2022
Brady threw for 326 yards and three majors, two to Mike Evans and one to Le’Veon Bell, while KeShawn Vaughn and Scotty Miller ran in two others in the rout.
The injury woes should be a concern, however, even if the Bucs are the 2-seed and defending champs.
Maybe it won’t show up so much against the Eagles in the Wild Card round, but defenses tend to get a little craftier and squeeze off reliable options deeper into the postseason. Tampa fades slightly from +700 to +750.
As for Buffalo, it took them a while to finally dent the Jets, but they did just enough in a 27-10 win to secure the AFC East title.
Josh Allen is the first player in #NFL history with 4,000 yards passing and 750 yards rushing in a season.
— Jeff Kerr (@JeffKerrCBS) January 10, 2022
Maybe the Bills were playing it tight all along, but has anyone questioned why they never let Josh Allen rip it in their loss in a windstorm to New England? He’s got plenty arm and showcased it in similar conditions Sunday, throwing for 239 yards and a pair of scores, while also running for 63 yards.
The Bills shorten from +850 to a tie with Tampa for third at +750. My money is on Allen to deliver this season. He’s that good.
Wasted Wagers or Value?
The Arizona Cardinals continue to work their way out of the title favorite picture, now sitting at +1700 odds, fading from +1400 after a 38-30 loss to the Seahawks. Since a 7-0 start, and a 10-2 record that was tops in the NFL, the Cardinals have lost four of five, and couldn’t beat a woeful Seattle team to win the NFC West title.
RASHAD PENNY pic.twitter.com/YEGmvLR5E1
— Barstool Sports (@barstoolsports) January 10, 2022
Their offense has lost a step since DeAndre Hopkins went down with a torn MCL. They’re targeting a potential divisional round return, but that’s iffy right now.
The team that they’re playing, however, isn’t exactly gliding into Wild Card weekend. The Rams blew a 17-0 lead to lose 27-24 in overtime to the 49ers. Matthew Stafford looked like gangbusters in the first half, but then faltered badly in the second half, tossing two more interceptions.
The 49ers win and are heading to the NFL playoffs!
Rookie Ambry Thomas gets the game-winning INT on Matthew Stafford.
— The Athletic (@TheAthletic) January 10, 2022
They hold steady at +950, and as long as they don’t have to play San Fran — who’ve beat them now six straight times — they still have a good defense and offense that could carry them to the title game in their home stadium.