NFL Week 11 Player Props – Best Props to Bet for Sunday, November 19
- Online sportsbooks have released NFL Week 11 player props for Sunday, November 19, 2023
- We’re loading up on Dolphins and Lions in this week’s props as they have favorable matchups
- See all of this week’s top passing, rushing, receiving and touchdown props to target for NFL Week 11
Another full weekend of NFL action is here giving us a full card of matchups to pour over and select our weekly NFL player props from. This week’s theme is loading up on players from the Lions and Dolphins who play at home to weak defensive teams. As well as taking some running backs in Breece Hall and Saquon Barkley who may need to carry the load offensively in their matchups. Read up for our full Week 11 player props here.
Week 11 NFL Player Props
| Prop | Odds | Risk |
|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff over 276.5 passing yards | -118 | 1 unit |
| Tua Tagovailoa over 269.5 passing yards | -118 | 1 unit |
| Saquon Barkley over 69.5 rushing yards | -115 | 1 unit |
| Breece Hall over 88.5 rushing & receiving yards | -114 | 1 unit |
| Amon-Ra St Brown over 84.5 receiving yards | -118 | 1 unit |
| Sam LaPorta over 44.5 receiving yards | -122 | 1 unit |
| CeeDee Lamb 80+ receiving yards | -130 | 1 unit |
| TJ Hockenson over 56.5 receiving yards | -115 | 1 unit |
| Tyreek Hill anytime touchdown | -130 | 1 unit |
In our Week 11 player props we have nine picks with five coming from the Lions and Dolphins including Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St Brown, Sam LaPorta, Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill. We’re also targeting two New York running backs and CeeDee Lamb
When it comes to how to bet on NFL player props, there are endless options and you can bet on almost any position group of players. Read on for our top NFL Week 11 player props for Sunday.
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Week 11 Passing Props – Jared Goff Over 276.5 Passing Yards
We took Jared Goff in our NFL props last week against a weak Chargers pass defense and he went off for 333 yards and two touchdowns. He now has 14 TDs to just 5 INTs. His last four games have seen him throw for 333, 272, 284 and 353 yards.
Overall Goff is ffith in league passing and now he gets another poor defensive team in Chicago. The Bears are 26th in passing yards allowed giving up an average of 248.2.
In the Bears last game Bryce Young only threw for 185 yards but Young has been having an awful rookie reason. In the two games prior Derek Carr threw for 220 yards and 2 TDs and Justin Herbert threw for 298 yards and 3 TDs.
Both of these teams have been some of the few that have played more games to the Over than Under this season as well. Detroit is 5-4 and Chicago is 6-4. Goff should be able to pick apart this Bears defense and if Justin Fields returns and gives the Bears offense a jolt and this turns into a shootout, that also plays into a scenario where Goff racks up the yards.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Jared Goff over 276.5 passing yards (-118); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
Jared Goff telling @tracywolfson what kind of attitude the @Lions coaching staff has with their 4th down calls
"Ballsy… I don't know if I can say that, but ballsy." pic.twitter.com/KNr812tKqt
— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) November 13, 2023
Week 11 Passing Props – Tua Tagovailoa Over 269.5 Passing Yards
The Raiders may have just won two games but those came against two of the worst quarterbacks in the league in Zach Wilson and Tommy DeVito.
Even at that, Wilson threw for 263 yards last week.
Now they get one of the best quarterbacks in the league off a week of rest in Tua Tagovailoa who is tied for first in touchdowns (19), third in passing yards (2,609) and third in YPG (289.9). Miami’s offense is first in points and yards per game and anything other than a home route over the Raiders would be shocking.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Tua Tagovailoa over 269.5 passing yards (-118); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
Week 11 Rushing Props – Saquon Barkley Over 69.5 Rushing Yards
It’s our first of two New York running backs to include in your Week 11 player props.
First up, it’s Saquon Barkley of the Giants who goes to Washington to face a divisional rival in the Commanders. The Commanders are heavy 9-point favorites in the NFL spreads. The Commanders have a good offense, but poor defense, ranked 21st in rushing 29th in passing.
The Giants really aren’t good anywhere and they’ll struggle to do much in the passing game with Tommy DeVito. They do have one of the top running backs in the game in Barkley, who despite only playing seven games, is still 11th in league rushing. The Giants don’t score and neither does Barkley with only 1 rushing TD this season.
But Barkley is still averaging just over 81 yards rushing per game. He had 66 last week in a blowout to the Cowboys, and 90 and 128 the games prior.
Washington just allowed the combo of Kenneth Walker (63), Zach Charbonnet (44) and Geno Smith (13) to rush for a combined 120 yards last week. Walker also added 64 yards receiving on one catch.
If the Giants are to have any chance in this game Barkley will need to be leaned on and could do similar.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Saquon Barkley over 69.5 rushing yards (-114); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
Breece Hall just turned the screen pass into a 35-yard gain 😳
📺: #NYJvsLV on NBC
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus https://t.co/lfCP1NFAnO pic.twitter.com/aCOdKjJEkr— NFL (@NFL) November 13, 2023
Week 11 Rushing Props – Breece Hall Over 88.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards
And now to the green side of New York, where we look to another running back in Breece Hall, also hitting the road to play a divisional rival when the Jets meet the Bills.
We’re in a similar spot here where the Jets have no passing game. Zach Wilson may link up with Garrett Wilson for a few big plays, but they too will need some serious help from the run game to have a chance of upsetting the Bills again. It was something they did in Week 1 and Hall was a big part of that rushing for 127 yards.
Now he’s rarely had a game like Week 1 since. He did rush for 177 yards versus the Broncos but otherwise his next high is just 56 yards. However, he’s become more effective in the receiving game as the season has worn on, making at least three catches in each of his past six games.
His combined rushing and receiving totals of late have read: 75, 60, 93, 93, 194 and 69 in those six games.
The Bills defense has fallen off as the injuries keep piling up and they’re only 19th in rushing defense giving up 115.2 YPG. Last game Javonte Williams had 79 rushing yards to go with 31 yards receiving (110 total) against them with the Broncos.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Breece Hall over 88.5 rushing & receiving yards (-114); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
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Week 11 Receiving Props – Amon-Ra St Brown Over 84.5 Receiving Yards
Just like we played Goff last week versus a weak defense and played Amon-Ra St Brown alongside him in our NFL player props, we’ll do the same this week and pair the two together in our Week 11 player props.
St Brown caught 8/9 passes for 158 yards and 1 TD last week. That extends his streak to four games in a row where he’s topped the 100-yard mark (156, 108, 102 and 124) and gives him 100 or more yards in 6/8 games this season.
With 821 total yards St Brown is eighth in league receiving and he should have another big day at home versus the Bears.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Amon-Ra St Brown over 84.5 receiving yards (-118); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
Week 11 Receiving Props – Sam LaPorta Over 44.5 Receiving Yards
The 60 receptions that the Bears have allowed to tight ends this season ranks 31st or the second-most. The 492 yards allowed is not quite as bad (21st) but does average out to 49.2 yards allowed per game.
That would come in over this week’s receiving yardage prop for the Lions’ Sam LaPorta which is set at 44.5.
Last week LaPorta finished with just 40 yards, but he’s gone over 44.5 yards in six of his past eight games.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Sam LaPorta over 44.5 receiving yards (-122); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
Week 11 Receiving Props – CeeDee Lamb 80+ Receiving Yards
Lost among all of my Dolphins and Lions player props, I almost forgot CeeDee Lamb.
The Cowboys are also big favorites in Carolina which could mean big things for Lamb. Now yes, Carolina has contained their opponents’ top receivers in recent weeks, but they haven’t faced anyone like Lamb when playing the Bears, Colts or Texans.
When they played the Dolphins, Tyreek Hill went off for 163 yards. Amon-Ra St Brown missed out when they played the Lions, but Josh Reynolds finished with 76. And the week before that Justin Jefferson had 85.
Lamb is third in league receiving yards and his recent stat lines blow all of those numbers away finishing with 151, 191, 158 and 117 yards in his last four games on catches of 11, 11, 12 and seven.
Take him over his receptions total of 6.5, over his yardage prop of 83.5 or pay a little extra juice and simply go 80+ yards at DK.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: CeeDee Lamb 80+ receiving yards (-130); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Week 11 Receiving Props – TJ Hockenson Over 56.5 Receiving Yards
Last week’s 27-19 Vikings win over the Saints saw Minnesota tight end TJ Hockenson have a career day catching 11/15 passes for 134 yards and a touchdown. In fact, Hockenson had the best half of football in NFL history becoming the first tight end to finish with 10 or more catches, 125 or more yards and a touchdown in a single half of football ever, doing so in the first half.
The Broncos have been better defensively of late and they’ve held Dalton Kincaid to 51 yards and Travis Kelce to 58 yards receiving in their past two games.
On the season as a whole though, only five teams have allowed more receptions to tight ends than Denver. And the 620 yards they’ve given up are the most.
Hockenson has finished with 134, 69, 88 and 86 yards receiving his past four games, all numbers that would easily fly over this week’s prop total of 56.5. That’s also a number he’s exceeded in six of his past eight games.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: TJ Hockenson over 56.5 receiving yards (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Week 11 Touchdown Props – Tyreek Hill Anytime Touchdown
If we’re backing Tua in our NFL Week 11 props, then we need to back his favorite target Tyreek Hill in some way as well. Hill didn’t put up much yardage versus the Chiefs (62) or score a touchdown, but did catch eight passes for the thrid straight game and the sixth time in nine games.
Prior to that Germany game, Hill had finished with 112, 88, 163 and 181 yards in the four games prior. He also found the endzone in each of those four games. He’s also done so in 7/9 games this season for a total of eight scores.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Tyreek Hill anytime touchdown (-130); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
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Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com
