- Online sportsbooks have released NFL Week 14 player props for Sunday, December 10, 2023
- Can CeeDee Lamb find the endzone for the fifth-straight game when he and the Cowboys play host to Philly on SNF?
- See all of this week’s top passing, rushing, receiving and touchdown props to target for NFL Week 14
It’s time to dive deep into the individual matchups for this weekend’s slate of NFL action on Sunday, December 10. This week I’ve come up with six Week 14 player props where I feel these players have a chance to exploit good matchups and cash you some tickets in the prop markets.
Week 14 NFL Player Props
|Brock Purdy over 1.5 passing yards
|Justin Fields over 60.5 rushing yards
|Zach Moss over 69.5 rushing yards
|Deebo Samuel over 49.5 receiving yards
|Michael Pittman Jr over 6.5 receptions
|CeeDee Lamb anytime touchdown
My Week 14 player props feature plays on two 49ers, rushing props for Justin Fields and Zach Moss and another big day for Michael Pittman and Deebo Samuel.
When it comes to how to bet on NFL player props, there are endless options and you can bet on almost any position group of players. Read on for our top NFL Week 14 player props for Sunday from a collection of the best sports betting sites.
Week 14 Passing Props – Brock Purdy Over 1.5 Passing TDs
Brock Purdy is coming off a 314-yard, four-touchdown day in last week’s 42-19 thumping of the Eagles.
San Fran may not get as motivated to route the Seahawks, but it’s still a divisional rival whom the 49ers have beaten in four-straight games and by an average of 16 points, including a 31-13 win in Seattle on Thanksgiving.
Purdy only threw for 209 yards and one touchdown in that game but that was the only game in his past four where he didn’t throw for three or more scores. His TD totals in his last four games have been four, one, three and three.
Dak Prescott just shredded this Seahakws pass defense for 299 yards and three TDs last week. All I’m asking for is two TDs from Purdy this week.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Brock Purdy Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-150); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Week 14 Rushing Props – Justin Fields Over 60.5 Rushing Yards
In recent games opposing quarterbacks have rushed for 58, 39 and 104 yards against the Lions.
This week they get Justin Fields who is third in quarterback rushing yards with 400 despite only playing in eight games. Each of the other QBs in the top 11 have played in 12 or 13 games.
That gives him an average of 50 rushing yards per game. Since returning from injury Fields has rushed for 59 and 104 yards in his past two games.
This game is expected to have heavy winds which could impact the passing game, resulting in even more rushing, and likely more rushing for Fields. Now one thing to consider is that Fields has only gone over 60 yards one time this season. But, that one time was versus Detroit.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Justin Fields over 60.5 rushing yards (-114); risk 1 unit at FanDuel
Justin Fields in 3 games against the Lions the last two years:
• 147 rushing yards on 13 carries
• 132 rushing yards on 10 carries
• 104 rushing yards on 18 carries
100+ rushing yards is +400 at DraftKings
— Connor Allen (@ConnorAllenNFL) December 8, 2023
Week 14 Rushing Props – Zach Moss Over 69.5 Rushing Yards
The Jaguars vs Bengals game is expected to have heavy winds this week which should affect the passing games, which are already compromised with backup quarterbacks on both sides.
But regardless, these are two bad defenses. Cincinnati is dead-last in yards allowed per game (32nd) and Indianapolis is 26th. Just looking at each team’s run defense, Cincy is 27th and Indy is 26th.
The Jags only rushed for 49 yards versus the Bengals on MNF, but prior to that the Bengals had given up 148, 96 and 150 yards on the ground in the three previous games.
Zach Moss has 723 yards on the year with most of those coming earlier this year with Jonathan Taylor out. Taylor is out again so you can feel confident backing Moss in the Week 14 prop markets. Moss has rushed for 51 and 55 yards in his last two games and if you take out the game versus New England where he only had one carry, his average rushing yards in the other ten games is 72.1.
That fall almost right on his standard prop total of 71.5. ESPN BET allows you to choose some different numbers so let’s drop this a little to over 69.5.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Zach Moss over 69.5 rushing yards (-135); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
Week 14 Receiving Props – Deebo Samuel Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
In the Week 14 NFL props, 49ers’ receiver Deebo Samuel is given a receiving total prop right around the 50-yard mark.
That’s a number he blew way over last week against the Eagles finishing with four catches for 116 yards and two touchdowns. He also easily went over that number against this same Seahawks team on Thanksgiving, finishing with seven catches for 79 yards.
The game prior he also had 63 yards and if you average his total 590 yards from the season and take out the two games where he saw zero and one target, he’s averaging 73.75 YPG in his other eight games. Only one time in those eight games did he fail to hit 50 yards.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Deebo Samuel over 49.5 receiving yards (-120); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
.@GardnerMinshew5 🤝 Michael Pittman Jr. 🔥
— Up & Adams (@UpAndAdamsShow) December 6, 2023
Week 14 Receiving Props – Michael Pittman Jr Over 6.5 Receptions
Michael Pittman gets a good matchup versus a Bengals secondary that ranks 27th in passing yards allowed per game.
Cincy has given up 80 receptions to opposing tight ends which is a league-high, but the Colts don’t throw to that position often with Kylen Granson being their leading TE with only 20 catches. The Jaguars TE Evan Engram was the leading Jags receiver last week with 82 yards. So let’s focus on where the Colts do throw the ball to and that’s to Pittmann.
Pittman has 87 receptions, 889 yards and four touchdowns. His last three games have seen him finish with 11 catches (105 yards), 10 catches (107 yards) and eight catches (84 yards).
Since Week 10 he ranks second in both targets (13.7) and receptions (9.7) per game. All I’m asking for in my Week 14 player props is for him to finish with at least seven.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Michael Pittman Jr over 6.5 receptions (-135); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
Week 14 Touchdown Props – CeeDee Lamb Anytime Touchdown
It’s now four games in a row where CeeDee Lamb has found the endzone for the Dallas Cowboys. Last week he also topped the 100-yard mark in receiving with 116 yards against the Seahawks. That’s the fifth time in seven games he’s brought down more than 100 yards.
The Eagles are not a strong pass defense. They rank 29th in passing yards allowed per game and mid-pack in yards allowed per pass attempt at 17th.
But here’s the real damning stat and what makes Lamb a great play in the Week 14 player props. The Eagles have given up the most touchdowns to wide receivers this season with 21. How bad is that? The Commanders are second-worst having allowed 20, and the third-worst team is the Jaguars and they’ve only allowed 14.
Philly has given up 42 and 34 points in the past two games and have seen Deebo Samuel finish with 116 yards and two scores for the 49ers and Gabe Davis finish with 105 yards and a score for the Bills in those games.
Expect a heavy dose of Dsk Prescott to Lamb on SNF and Lamb finding his way into the endzone to cash our touchdown prop bets.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: CeeDee Lamb anytime touchdown (-145); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
Before you make your NFL Week 14 player props this weekend, be sure to head on over to one of the top football betting apps this weekend to grab an exciting sportsbook bonus for your NFL prop bets.
Season NFL Props Record: 47-40, +0.67 units